Bristol North West

[lbarnes]

May 13, 2020 21:54:45 GMT @barnabymarder said:

Most piscine MPs in recent years seem to have been Tories. These include Stephen Crabb, Marcus Fysh, Chris Grayling and Amber Rudd. We in the Labour Party of course hope to winkle them out in due course

Labour have had Peter Pike, Ann Chovy, Jimmy Ray, Ulf Dabs and more flounders and minnows than you could shake a fishing rod at.

[yellowperil]

May 14, 2020 2:40:55 GMT @barnabymarder said:

I once canvassed a voter called Brian Codd and he was a Tory, too. Haddock is a known surname but I don't think there's ever been an MP called that. Of course fishiness is also something found in the SNP too. I would do anything to knock them off their perch.

AP Herbert in his alter ego of Albert Haddock?

[finsobruce]

May 14, 2020 2:40:55 GMT @barnabymarder said:

I once canvassed a voter called Brian Codd and he was a Tory, too. Haddock is a known surname but I don't think there's ever been an MP called that. Of course fishiness is also something found in the SNP too. I would do anything to knock them off their perch.

Admiral Nicholas Haddock, MP for Rochester (1734-46) - a seafaring haddock!

and his son also Nicholas, MP for Rochester (1754-61)

and before the Admiral, his father Sir Richard Haddock, MP for Aldeburgh (Feb-Aug 1679) and New Shoreham (1685)

Edit: Pete got there first with his dad, while I was working my way backwards in the History of Parliament...

[Pete Whitehead]

Also Sir Richard Haddock who was MP for New Shoreham (1685-89?) and was thought to be the inspiration for Sir Francis Haddock (Captain Haddock of Tintin fame's ancestor)

[Merseymike]

I really should self flagellate for continuing this line of discussion but didn't Austin Mitchell when MP for Grimsby, change his name to Austin Haddock by deed poll for a couple of months (he was a well known Lexiteer and resolutely opposed to the Common Fisheries policy)

[yellowperil]

May 14, 2020 8:18:27 GMT Merseymike said:

I really should self flagellate for continuing this line of discussion but didn't Austin Mitchell when MP for Grimsby, change his name to Austin Haddock by deed poll for a couple of months (he was a well known Lexiteer and resolutely opposed to the Common Fisheries policy)

We should all thank Mike for his Gladstonian intervention, but now the question is, if Mitchell changed his name to Haddock by deed poll, did he then get caught?

[Robert Waller]

2011 Census

Age 65+ 16.8% 313/650
Owner-occupied 60.7% 463/650
Private rented 13.6% 359/650
Social rented 23.6% 135/650
White 86.8% 483/650
Black 4.1% 118/650
Asian 5.3% 216/650
Managerial & professional 34.0%
Routine & Semi-routine 25.6%
Degree level 32.4% 133/650
No qualifications 21.4% 386/650
Students 10.9% 124/650

2021 Census

Owner occupied 60.6% 392/573
Private rented 17.3% 331/573
Social rented 22.0% 110/573
White 83.2%
Black 4.6%
Asian 6.5%
Managerial & professional 36.0% 196/573
Routine & Semi-routine 23.1% 308/573
Degree level 40.1% 100/573
No qualifications 15.8% 392/573




General Election 2019: Bristol North West

Party Candidate Votes % ±%

Labour Darren Jones 27,330 48.9 -1.8
Conservative Mark Weston 21,638 38.7 -3.1
Liberal Democrats Chris Coleman 4,940 8.8 +3.6
Green Heather Mack 1,977 3.5 +1.2

Lab Majority 5,692 10.2 +1.3

Turnout 55,885 73.3 +1.6

Labour hold

Swing 0.7 C to LD

[YL]

The Boundary Commission proposals here remove the easternmost of its current wards, Lockleaze, which is transferred to the new Bristol North East, and they add Bishopston & Ashley Down ward from the oversized Bristol West; the latter change increases the constituency's foothold in the very liberal/"progressive" inner north Bristol belt. Both wards are estimated to be Labour voting and the partisan effect will be small; the Electoral Calculus estimates show an increase of a few hundred in the notional Labour majority.

[greenhert]

Still enough to ensure that the Conservatives will not be recapturing this former key marginal seat anytime soon.

[rockefeller]

2015 feels like a lifetime ago here.

[batman]

May 14, 2020 8:18:27 GMT Merseymike said:

I really should self flagellate for continuing this line of discussion but didn't Austin Mitchell when MP for Grimsby, change his name to Austin Haddock by deed poll for a couple of months (he was a well known Lexiteer and resolutely opposed to the Common Fisheries policy)

very late answering Mike's question, but the answer is, yes he did, apparently.

[Deleted]

Nov 27, 2022 16:43:09 GMT greenhert said:

Still enough to ensure that the Conservatives will not be recapturing this former key marginal seat anytime soon.

I don’t think it makes much difference because, as you say, this is a former key marginal.
Like Brighton Kemptown it is (it would seem) likely to favour Labour in most circumstances for the foreseeable, and unlikely to be a battleground seat for a bare Tory majority.
It is quite amazing how quickly seats can change in that regard.

[The Bishop]

Nov 27, 2022 18:03:32 GMT rockefeller said:

2015 feels like a lifetime ago here.

Still more so the 2010 result, which might as well have come from another universe now.

[Deleted]

Nov 28, 2022 13:50:52 GMT The Bishop said:

Nov 27, 2022 18:03:32 GMT rockefeller said:

2015 feels like a lifetime ago here.

Still more so the 2010 result, which might as well have come from another universe now.

I feel like I can barely even recall what politics was like back then.
The past decade has been so… cluttered with events.

[nodealbrexiteer]

A version of this seat was also exit polled in Feb 74 albeit by the BBC/Harris team.

[Pete Whitehead]

2019 Notional result on proposed new boundaries

Lab	28578	48.9%
Con	21427	36.7%
LD	4222	7.2%
Grn	4089	7.0%
BxP	81	0.1%
Majority	7151	12.2%