Aberdeen South Apr 9, 2020 17:42:31 GMT
Post by southpaw1 on Apr 9, 2020 17:42:31 GMT
The Aberdeen South constituency is a mainly affluent constituency covering the whole of the south side of the city on both sides of the River Dee and extends westwards along the Dee valley to include the suburbs of Cults, Bieldside, Miltimber and Peterculter.
Throughout its history, it has elected mainly Unionist / Conservative MP's to parliament. However, in the 1966 election, a Labour MP topped the poll - a young man by the name of Donald Dewar. Subsequently failing to hold the seat at the next election to the Tory's Iain Sproat, Dewar would go on to become one of Scotland's most iconic politicians and the first First Minister of the Scottish Parliament in 1999 before his untimely death a year later.
The seat continued to elect Conservatives up until 1997 with the exception of 1987 when Labour's Frank Doran took the seat. But during the Labour landslide of 1997, parliament's first ever wheelchair bound member, Anne Begg triumphed in what was touted as a 3 way marginal with the popular local Lib Dem, Nicol Stephen coming into contention.
Begg held the seat in 2001 with an increased vote and eventually amassed 18 years in the House of Commons before succumbing to the SNP juggernaut in 2015.
The Tories won the seat back in 2017 with an excellent performance from Ross Thomson but his 2 years as an MP was dogged, fairly or unfairly with controversy and he never stood for a 2nd term. The SNP duly won back the seat in 2019.
Traditionally, Labour's strongest areas within the seat were the council / ex council estate wards of Kincorth, Torry and Tullos in the far south of the city although these were previously in the old Kincardine & Deeside prior to 1997 and must have voted tactically to extent at the time. 'New Labour' would've have appealed to the lower middle class areas of Duthie and Ferryhill and contributed to the increase in Labour's share in 2001.
The Tories fight back in the wealthy, middle class areas of Mannofield, Seafield, Queens Cross, Broomhill and Rubislaw which is where one of the largest man made holes in Europe is located where it is estimated over 6 million tonnes of granite was excavated over a 200 year period and where Aberdeen earns the name 'The Granite City'.
The Conservatives are also strong in the suburban / semi rural Cults, Bieldside and Milltimber but less so in the more mixed Peterculter which is easily the Lib Dems strongest ward.
For many years, the SNP had struggled to make an impact in this predominately unionist seat but even here, the SNP is now the dominant party as they are throughout the majority of Scotland now. Many of the ex Labour areas will now be strongly nationalist and even the wealthy areas will have decent SNP vote nowadays.
Given it's history, it's hard to rule out any one of the 4 main parties winning here again although Labour were squeezed to a paltry 8% of the vote at the last election and will surely now be decades away from regaining it again.