Chingford & Woodford Green

[John Chanin]

Apr 8, 2020 10:19:41 GMT jacoblamsden said:

The demographic change in this seat is a bit more varied than suggested by the write-up - there are certainly a lot of Asians moving into Woodford Green/East Chingford, but the areas to the west and south of the constituency are more influenced by Edmonton and Walthamstow respectively - areas where there are more blacks than Asians. Also, there are signs that Highams Park in particular is attracting a fair number of the Guardian-reading set. North Chingford by contrast has seen much less change and continues to resemble areas to the north such as Loughton.

I changed the profile as a result of your comments, but it looks like I was right the first time.  The asian population has doubled, while the black population has increased by just 1%.  My comments were based on my knowledge of Woodford, where my mother lived until her recent death.

[Andrew_S]

Estimate of how each ward in the proposed seat would have voted at the 2019 general election based on local election results.

	Con	Lab	LD	Grn	Brx	Oth
Bridge	2384	2583	384	103	118	25
Churchfields	3059	4110	837	47	53	11
Monkhams	3134	1638	370
Chingford Green	3193	2224	324
Endlebury	3326	1899	206
Hale End & Highams Park	2556	4184	382
Hatch Lane	2584	2632	277
Larkswood	3209	2920	253
Valley	2578	2697	244
	26023	24887	3277	150	171	36

The wards in the proposed constituency were previously in these seats. Estimate for divided wards.

Bridge: Ilford North
Churchfields: 1/3rd Ilford North, 2/3rds Chingford & Woodford Green.
Monkhams: Chingford & Woodford Green
Chingford Green: Chingford & Woodford Green
Endlebury: Chingford & Woodford Green
Hale End & Highams Park: Chingford & Woodford Green
Hatch Lane: Chingford & Woodford Green
Larkswood: Chingford & Woodford Green
Valley: Chingford & Woodford Green