Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Sept 11, 2013 12:34:40 GMT
How could you ever have doubted it?
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Post by Andrew_S on Sept 11, 2013 13:44:09 GMT
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,036
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Post by Sibboleth on Sept 11, 2013 16:09:41 GMT
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Post by finsobruce on Sept 11, 2013 19:53:40 GMT
Great news! for obvious and nominative reasons.
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Post by Andrew_S on Sept 11, 2013 22:28:39 GMT
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Sept 11, 2013 23:00:59 GMT
Would have thought the bit below explains it - Labor had found a popular candidate and thrown the kitchen sink at it in 2010, thinking that it was the only chance of gaining a seat in WA. Didn't work, and there wasn't the resource to target it this time.
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,036
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Post by Sibboleth on Sept 11, 2013 23:02:24 GMT
Because Labor ran Alannah MacTiernan (an extremely popular former state transport minister who had been a local state MP) there in 2010 but not in 2013. MacTiernan was elected MP for Perth this election.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Sept 12, 2013 9:54:39 GMT
Overnight Capricornia has gone away from the ALP, who were looking like they might have narrowly retained it. I think McEwen, Vic has also flipped from ALP to Liberal since the last update.
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 16,036
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Post by Sibboleth on Sept 12, 2013 10:23:50 GMT
Coalition tends to do better in late counts, alas.
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Post by timrollpickering on Sept 12, 2013 12:18:23 GMT
There's a new battle in the ALP, this time to get Kevin Rudd to step down as an MP. It's getting quite vicious.
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Post by Andrew_S on Sept 12, 2013 14:05:54 GMT
Since yesterday ABC News have changed Lingiari from "Labor Retain" to "Labour Ahead". Maybe they think postal votes could make a difference there having seen them make perhaps a bigger than expected difference in some other seats: www.abc.net.au/news/federal-election-2013/guide/ling/
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Post by iainbhx on Sept 12, 2013 16:49:29 GMT
There's a new battle in the ALP, this time to get Kevin Rudd to step down as an MP. It's getting quite vicious. Vicious or vicious by Australian standards?
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Post by Andrew_S on Sept 12, 2013 17:41:29 GMT
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Post by timrollpickering on Sept 12, 2013 18:12:33 GMT
There's a new battle in the ALP, this time to get Kevin Rudd to step down as an MP. It's getting quite vicious. Vicious or vicious by Australian standards? Rudd seems to bring viciousness to a whole new level.
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Post by Andrew_S on Sept 13, 2013 15:31:53 GMT
ABC News has called the following seats for the Liberals: Petrie, Reid, Capricornia, Eden-Monaro, Dobell, Barton.
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Post by Andrew_S on Sept 13, 2013 15:53:16 GMT
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Post by marksenior on Sept 13, 2013 16:05:57 GMT
No they are still saying likely Palmer gain .
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Post by Andrew_S on Sept 13, 2013 16:39:59 GMT
No they are still saying likely Palmer gain . Their front page predicts the Coalition to win 92 seats. The only way that can happen is if Fairfax goes to the Liberals. I've checked the other possibilities — unless there's a miraculous turnaround in Indi and Sophie Mirabella holds the seat which looks very unlikely. (Also assuming Parramatta stays with Labor).
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Post by timrollpickering on Sept 14, 2013 11:49:18 GMT
It's possible they're making predictions about the postal votes yet to come. Normally these favour the major parties and usually the incumbent party; also they're less likely to follow the HTVs.
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Post by Andrew_S on Sept 14, 2013 16:16:49 GMT
Latest two-party preferred figures from Australia: Liberal/National Coalition: 53.38% Labor: 46.62% Still about 2 million 2PP votes to be counted. vtr.aec.gov.au/
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