Australian General Election

[Deleted]

My god he's a shit.

[iainbhx]

Sept 7, 2013 11:51:23 GMT seanf said:

What does Palmer United stand for?

Probably whatever pops into his head at that moment in time.

[iainbhx]

Sept 7, 2013 11:58:55 GMT Sibboleth said:

Basic pattern very clear now (obviously). Some of the closer seats will do weird things, but that won't be sorted for days.

There may be wacky transfer effects in the very close seats (and, of course, in the senate).

[Deleted]

No reference to Gillard at all in Rudd's speech.

[The Bishop]

Sept 7, 2013 11:59:44 GMT @rlemkin said:

My god he's a shit.

Care to elaborate?

[Davıd Boothroyd]

Sept 7, 2013 11:26:39 GMT Davıd Boothroyd said:

For the benefit of viewers in Hans Crescent, let's have an early look at the Wikileaks Party:

New South Wales: 1.02%
Victoria: 1.95%

Currently running at

New South Wales 0.75%
Victoria 1.09%
Western Australia 0.53%

[finsobruce]

Sept 7, 2013 12:05:03 GMT Davıd Boothroyd said:

Sept 7, 2013 11:26:39 GMT Davıd Boothroyd said:

For the benefit of viewers in Hans Crescent, let's have an early look at the Wikileaks Party:

New South Wales: 1.02%
Victoria: 1.95%

Currently running at

New South Wales 0.75%
Victoria 1.09%
Western Australia 0.53%

another door closes......not that it was ever really open.

[Andrew_S]

ABC are predicting Labor will lose Capricornia and Petrie, both in Queensland.

[Deleted]

Sept 7, 2013 12:16:42 GMT Andrew_S said:

ABC are predicting Labor will lose Capricornia and Petrie, both in Queensland.

Interesting couple of results. Petrie was one of the few marginal Labor seats in QLD not to switch to the LNP last time.

[iainbhx]

The NSW and VIC Senate predictors are fixed. Do not have a hot drink in your hand when looking at the VIC ones.

[Richard Allen]

What caused the massive swing in Tasmania?

[am]

Amazingly tight margins. AV is so interesting. Margin of victory in 26 seats under 3% & 10 seats under 1%. Next election in 3 years will be competitive.

[The Bishop]

Sept 7, 2013 12:43:32 GMT Richard Allen said:

What caused the massive swing in Tasmania?

A state government (ALP controlled) that is currently about as popular as anthrax.

[iainbhx]

Sept 7, 2013 12:43:32 GMT Richard Allen said:

What caused the massive swing in Tasmania?

A pretty inept coalition of Labour and the Greens at the state government level.

[iainbhx]

Sept 7, 2013 12:45:35 GMT The Bishop said:

Sept 7, 2013 12:43:32 GMT Richard Allen said:

What caused the massive swing in Tasmania?

A state government (ALP controlled) that is currently about as popular as anthrax.

The Anthrax Defamation League called, they are upset.

[Andrew_S]

Looks like the Coalition are going to win about 91 seats, 46% of the primary vote, 53% of the 2PP.

[Davıd Boothroyd]

Can't help but notice that the electorate with the biggest swing to the ALP at the moment is the one where the Liberal candidate is Vietnamese (Fowler, NSW).

Biggest swing away from the ALP, outside Tasmania, is Lalor, Vic - the seat formerly represented by Julia Gillard.

[timrollpickering]

The ACT is normally forgotten but the Liberals' Senate seat is currently bobbing along just below quota. However they seem likely to retain against a Green surge thanks to transfers from the Animal Justice Party angry about the Green minister in the territory ALP/GRE coalition government authorising a kull of kangaroos.

However the ACT uses STV for territory elections and has a relatively low number of candidates on the ballot paper so the below the line votes may tip the balance.

[Andrew_S]

On ABC News they're currently going through all 150 results. Great stuff.

[Andrew_S]

ABC News seemed to think Eden-Monaro would be a Labor hold a bit earlier but now it's too close to call:

www.abc.net.au/news/federal-election-2013/guide/emon/