I've not been able to post on this due to pressure of work but at least two members of Parliament are stepping down: Neil Costa, health minister, Gibraltar Liberal Party member for family reasons and Lawrence Llamas because of differences of opinion in the GSD/because he's a preening idiot (delete as appropriate).
For reference, the Gibraltar Social Democrats are the centre right party although it's all much of a muchness. The big thing will be whether GSD defector Marlene Hassan Nahon can get more than her own seat with Together Gibraltar at the expense of the GLP, to the extent that the next government is a GSLP/TG one. The GSD don't look like they're going anywhere really, too much infighting and sniping at the government who for all their failings have delivered some good infrastructure stuff.
My partner hasn't been to Gibraltar (regular posters may recall that I lived and worked there for a while and visited on business for several years) but I'm thinking a flying visit before the election might be fun.
I haven't posted about this for a while (indeed, at all) but you can follow this on GBC online now. It looks like- from the exit poll and some friends who are in the rooms at the count- that it's a big win for the GSLP/Liberal alliance, keeping 10 seats in the 17 seat parliament (they actually wanted an increase in total seats but scrapped that when they realised it was about as popular as a bacon sandwich in a mosque)--7 GSLP and 3 Liberal- with the GSD on 5 (down two compared to last time) with Together Gibraltar- headed by GSD defector Marlene Hassan Nahon- on 2. It looks really close between the GSD and TG, 23 and 21-22 per cent respectively but thanks to the voting system and i grained habits the GSD will do much better. If, however, there is a tie or TG actually get more votes, I think it's curtains for the GSD.
I've been impressed with the TG campaign-the reason they won't do as well as they should is the promise to get away from an economy driven by perpetual construction and the serious threats they've made to the jobs for the boys culture that infects Gibraltar at every level.