some random exit polls/election day polls for other ballots
Apr 26, 2023 22:09:30 GMT
Georg Ebner likes this
Post by nodealbrexiteer on Apr 26, 2023 22:09:30 GMT
Revised information from post in 'Interesting Electoral Facts' re 2001 exit poll(what Sky News did):
original post:
Sky News:
Again no exit poll but they did a non scientific phone in poll with a share forecast of Lab 49%,Con 34%, Lib Dem 13%,Oth 4%(average error 4.15%). This and the other 2 networks exit polls were allegedly used by Professor Michael Thrasher according to the announcement on Sky's website below to forecast shortly after the close of polls a 165 Lab majority but again without a YouTube video I can't verify it(and he can't remember doing such a forecast in an email to me).
'As the poll closed last night, Sky News announced that of 27,125 Sky digital viewers that had chosen to vote on its Sky News Active poll - 49% voted Labour, 34% Conservatives, 13% Liberal Democrats and 4% Other. Based on this non-scientific result, along with other exit polls - Sky News' psephologist, Professor Michael Thrasher, then predicted, just after 10pm, that Labour would win by a majority of 165 - almost exactly the actual final majority. This is compared with BBC's exit poll predicting a 160 majority, and ITN's predicting a 175 majority.'
What I do remember from the night is at 10pm there was a caption saying Sky (News) Forecast: Labour Landslide Victory and some mention that it was based on polling data from around the country but it didn't say what data and no precise forecast seat numbers were given until results started to come in.
REVISED INFORMATION(FROM DIGITAL SPY):
Sky News’ interactive service, Sky News Active, received over 335,000 votes over the course of the election campaign.
The figures demonstrate the popularity and ease-of-use of the voting service – available to Sky digital viewers, which was launched in March this year. The service often received well over five times the votes registered on Sky News’ online service for the same question.
Sky News Active’s flexibility meant that as stories broke, Sky News was able to ask viewers to respond– affording an almost instantaneous gauge of public opinion:
When asked on election day, Who did you vote for today? 27,000 people responded. At 10.01pm on election night, the results were released – 49% of viewers said they voted Labour, 34% Conservatives, 12% Liberal Democrats, and 5% Other. Whilst non-scientific – as Sky digital viewers choose to vote, the results were in line with those of the ‘scientific’ exit polls, as well as the final results.
The question on 17th May, Prescott punch – did he do the right thing? prompted a record response. Of nearly 38,000 people who voted over the course of the day, 61% said they supported Prescott’s response, against 39% who disapproved of the Deputy PM’s actions.
After William Hague resigned the morning after the election [Friday, 8th June], viewers were asked Who should lead the Conservatives? 44% thought Kenneth Clarke should lead the Party, compared to 29% favouring Michael Portillo, and a further 21% preferring Ann Widdecombe.
Sky News’ Political Editor, Adam Boulton, said, "All the technology worked and our election day poll was interesting - it was only about 10% off. That was a significant experiment for us. I think that will create some difficulties for the opinion pollsters."
Other interesting results over the campaign included:
Does Britain need tougher asylum laws? Of 11,994 votes: Yes 87% No 13%.
Race - should it be an election issue? Of 11,035 votes: Yes 62% No 38%.
original post:
Sky News:
Again no exit poll but they did a non scientific phone in poll with a share forecast of Lab 49%,Con 34%, Lib Dem 13%,Oth 4%(average error 4.15%). This and the other 2 networks exit polls were allegedly used by Professor Michael Thrasher according to the announcement on Sky's website below to forecast shortly after the close of polls a 165 Lab majority but again without a YouTube video I can't verify it(and he can't remember doing such a forecast in an email to me).
'As the poll closed last night, Sky News announced that of 27,125 Sky digital viewers that had chosen to vote on its Sky News Active poll - 49% voted Labour, 34% Conservatives, 13% Liberal Democrats and 4% Other. Based on this non-scientific result, along with other exit polls - Sky News' psephologist, Professor Michael Thrasher, then predicted, just after 10pm, that Labour would win by a majority of 165 - almost exactly the actual final majority. This is compared with BBC's exit poll predicting a 160 majority, and ITN's predicting a 175 majority.'
What I do remember from the night is at 10pm there was a caption saying Sky (News) Forecast: Labour Landslide Victory and some mention that it was based on polling data from around the country but it didn't say what data and no precise forecast seat numbers were given until results started to come in.
REVISED INFORMATION(FROM DIGITAL SPY):
Sky News’ interactive service, Sky News Active, received over 335,000 votes over the course of the election campaign.
The figures demonstrate the popularity and ease-of-use of the voting service – available to Sky digital viewers, which was launched in March this year. The service often received well over five times the votes registered on Sky News’ online service for the same question.
Sky News Active’s flexibility meant that as stories broke, Sky News was able to ask viewers to respond– affording an almost instantaneous gauge of public opinion:
When asked on election day, Who did you vote for today? 27,000 people responded. At 10.01pm on election night, the results were released – 49% of viewers said they voted Labour, 34% Conservatives, 12% Liberal Democrats, and 5% Other. Whilst non-scientific – as Sky digital viewers choose to vote, the results were in line with those of the ‘scientific’ exit polls, as well as the final results.
The question on 17th May, Prescott punch – did he do the right thing? prompted a record response. Of nearly 38,000 people who voted over the course of the day, 61% said they supported Prescott’s response, against 39% who disapproved of the Deputy PM’s actions.
After William Hague resigned the morning after the election [Friday, 8th June], viewers were asked Who should lead the Conservatives? 44% thought Kenneth Clarke should lead the Party, compared to 29% favouring Michael Portillo, and a further 21% preferring Ann Widdecombe.
Sky News’ Political Editor, Adam Boulton, said, "All the technology worked and our election day poll was interesting - it was only about 10% off. That was a significant experiment for us. I think that will create some difficulties for the opinion pollsters."
Other interesting results over the campaign included:
Does Britain need tougher asylum laws? Of 11,994 votes: Yes 87% No 13%.
Race - should it be an election issue? Of 11,035 votes: Yes 62% No 38%.
