Slovak elections

[greenhert]

OLANO topped the poll in every region even though they only polled 25% of the vote nationally. Progressive Slovakia-SPOLU just missed out on the coalition threshold of 7%...

[finsobruce]

Mar 1, 2020 14:00:28 GMT @goodoldcause2 said:

Mar 1, 2020 13:53:51 GMT Devil Wincarnate said:

It looks like having two identical Hungarian parties, one of whom lay down with dogs and the other who were inept, has turned out to be a bad idea.  The first time in the democratic era where the Magyars have had no parliamentary representation.

As Hungarian-speakers are just under 10% of the population, that's quite an achievement.

Proof that you can always make a difficult situation worse (see labour party, brexit , VAR technology, etc etc etc).

[Georg Ebner]

The regional&local elections were held yesterDay.
And resulted surprisingly - despite the ... impressive show of the federal antiFico-coalition - not in strong increases for Smer-SocialDem. or the Pellegrini-troop.
The - usually antiFico - inCumbents were generally reelected.

volby.sme.sk/regionalne-volby/2022/vysledky

www.cas.sk/vuc-volby/2022/

hnonline.sk/slovensko/96048842-kompletne-vysledky-spojenych-volieb-2022-kto-sa-stal-zupanom-primatorom-a-poslancom-velky-prehlad

[Georg Ebner]

If the presidential election yesterDay had had an instant runOff (via ranked vote) Pellegrini would have narrowly won (51-54%). Perhaps he would also in 1 week, but in the scheduled 2 weeks it will - even, if he won't make any mistakes - be very doubtful.

[Georg Ebner]

AKO had performed best for round I:

...but has not released anyThing. Ipsos came second and had it few days ago as a total tossUp:

[Georg Ebner]

Rumours, that the turnOut is higher than in round I, especially in the partly Hungarian south.
Ipsos projected, that the former would favour Pellegrini (right nationalists turning out); not sure, though, whom the Hungarians will prefer.

[Georg Ebner]

Half is counted and the proGnosis of SME assumes, that Pellegrini will win.

[Georg Ebner]

Pellegrini received over 60% in the southern districts, thus the pro-western liberal side can no longer bank on the Hungarians.

[matureleft]

A much higher turnout than the first round - 61% - and a pretty clear Pellegrini win - 53.1% to 46.9%.

The post itself is largely ceremonial but the result both gives an indication of Fico’s grip and, since the Ukraine war was a substantial campaign issue with Pellegrini urging Ukraine to negotiate, the limits of popular support for western actions in this part of Europe.

[The Bishop]

The consensus seemed to be that Pellegrini's campaign was floundering, so its not just the polls that got it wrong.

(and they were wrong in the second round, in the opposite direction to the first round)

[Georg Ebner]

Apr 7, 2024 9:08:43 GMT The Bishop said:

The consensus seemed to be that Pellegrini's campaign was floundering, so its not just the polls that got it wrong.

(and they were wrong in the second round, in the opposite direction to the first round)

He banked on him being relatively popular and avoided public rallies - probably a reAction to Fico&Sefcovic, whose polemics had energized the enemies more than the supporters. 
But it's all too tempting to label all actions of a winner as right and those of lo(o)sers as alltogether wrong.

[eastmidlandsright]

Apr 7, 2024 5:23:04 GMT matureleft said:

A much higher turnout than the first round - 61% - and a pretty clear Pellegrini win - 53.1% to 46.9%.

The post itself is largely ceremonial but the result both gives an indication of Fico’s grip and, since the Ukraine war was a substantial campaign issue with Pellegrini urging Ukraine to negotiate, the limits of popular support for western actions in this part of Europe.

Mostly true but the position is not without some significant powers. Only last October the incumbent President refused to accept the incoming Government's nomination for Minister of the Environment forcing them to choose someone else for the role.

[Georg Ebner]