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Post by timrollpickering on Feb 14, 2019 17:31:52 GMT
Which rotational councils have elections this year but the ruling party has an outright majority of seats not up and thus cannot lost power even if they didn't stand any candidates?
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Post by greenhert on Feb 14, 2019 18:05:07 GMT
Barnsley, Broxbourne, Eastleigh, Gateshead, Halton, Havant, Knowsley, Liverpool, Manchester, North Tyneside, Oldham, St Helens, Salford, Sandwell, Slough, South Tyneside, Tameside, Wakefield, Wigan, and Wolverhampton. A surprisingly long list, timrollpickering!
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Post by AdminSTB on Feb 14, 2019 20:15:39 GMT
The ones without forum polls attached, I hope.
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Post by greenchristian on Feb 14, 2019 22:42:13 GMT
Just did a quick check through the Mets, and came up with the following (which, with one arguable exception, matches greenhert 's list):Barnsley, Gateshead, Knowsley, Liverpool, Manchester, North Tyneside, Rochdale, Salford, Sandwell, St Helens, South Tyneside, Tameside, Wakefield, Wigan, Wolverhampton The arguable exception is Oldham, where Labour could - in theory - drop to 30 seats out of 60, as several councillors elected as Labour are now sitting as independents (according to the council website).
Despite AdminSTB 's comment, it turns out that there are quite a few mets that could theoretically change hands (but in most of these cases, the ruling party would have to be almost entirely wiped out, so they aren't exactly competitive). The list is as follows: Bradford, Bury, Coventry, Kirklees, Leeds, Newcastle-upon-Tyne, Sefton, Sheffield, Solihull, Stockport, Sunderland, Wirral Didn't check the unitaries or districts, though. But based on that check it seems likely that greenhert has caught them all.
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Post by Delighted Of Tunbridge Wells on Feb 18, 2019 1:32:21 GMT
Barnsley, Broxbourne, Eastleigh, Gateshead, Halton, Havant, Knowsley, Liverpool, Manchester, North Tyneside, Oldham, St Helens, Salford, Sandwell, Slough, South Tyneside, Tameside, Wakefield, Wigan, and Wolverhampton. A surprisingly long list, timrollpickering ! I know we may be small, but don't forget Reading. Labour still has an unshakeable majority here.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Feb 18, 2019 18:50:29 GMT
Barnsley, Broxbourne, Eastleigh, Gateshead, Halton, Havant, Knowsley, Liverpool, Manchester, North Tyneside, Oldham, St Helens, Salford, Sandwell, Slough, South Tyneside, Tameside, Wakefield, Wigan, and Wolverhampton. A surprisingly long list, timrollpickering ! I know we may be small, but don't forget Reading. Labour still has an unshakeable majority here. They would need to lose eight seats to lose their majority and are defending I think nine this May, so close but not quite
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WJ
Non-Aligned
Posts: 3,267
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Post by WJ on Feb 18, 2019 18:58:21 GMT
I wonder if this list will change if some councillors follow the Independent Group
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Post by Delighted Of Tunbridge Wells on Feb 18, 2019 19:02:09 GMT
I know we may be small, but don't forget Reading. Labour still has an unshakeable majority here. They would need to lose eight seats to lose their majority and are defending I think nine this May, so close but not quite I noticed that shortly after writing the comment, but,given the status of some of the seats,it would take quite a few years to lose them.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Feb 18, 2019 19:10:41 GMT
Well yes there are lots of councils where there is no realistic prospect of the controlling party losing control but where they technically could and Reading is obviously one of these
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Post by AdminSTB on Feb 18, 2019 20:07:16 GMT
I wonder if this list will change if some councillors follow the Independent Group This is why it's such a stupid name. Perhaps "The Independent Group" could be abbreviated to TIG to distinguish it from the Independents who aren't in The Independent Group.
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WJ
Non-Aligned
Posts: 3,267
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Post by WJ on Feb 18, 2019 20:27:06 GMT
I wonder if this list will change if some councillors follow the Independent Group This is why it's such a stupid name. Perhaps "The Independent Group" could be abbreviated to TIG to distinguish it from the Independents who aren't in The Independent Group. TIG, you're it!
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Feb 20, 2019 23:35:35 GMT
Barnsley, Broxbourne, Eastleigh, Gateshead, Halton, Havant, Knowsley, Liverpool, Manchester, North Tyneside, Oldham, St Helens, Salford, Sandwell, Slough, South Tyneside, Tameside, Wakefield, Wigan, and Wolverhampton. A surprisingly long list, timrollpickering! It appears this list should also include Chorley
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Post by timrollpickering on Jan 5, 2020 11:04:19 GMT
Which ones are on this year's list?
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jan 5, 2020 11:08:53 GMT
Gateshead, Knowsley, Liverpool, Manchester, North Tyneside, Oldham, Sandwell, South Tyneside, Tameside, Wigan, Wolverehampton Slough, Broxbourne, Eastleigh, Havant, Lincoln, Redditch, Tamworth,
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Post by AdminSTB on Jan 5, 2020 14:56:44 GMT
It's handy to know this. One or two prediction polls have been taken down as a result!
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Post by timrollpickering on Mar 3, 2021 14:06:28 GMT
Gateshead, Knowsley, Liverpool, Manchester, North Tyneside, Oldham, Sandwell, South Tyneside, Tameside, Wigan, Wolverehampton, Slough, Broxbourne, Eastleigh, Havant, Lincoln, Redditch, Tamworth, Have any vacancies or defections changed this list?
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