Savanta/ComRes

[robert1]

Labour             45% (=);
Conservative   31% (+1)
Lib Dem              9% (=)
Reform               4% (-1)
SNP                     3% (=)
Green                 3% (=)
Other                  5% (=)

fieldwork 17-19 March. Change from 10-12 March.

[timmullen1]

LAB: 45% (=)
CON: 29% (-2)
LDM: 9% (=)
SNP: 4% (+1)
RFM: 4% (=)
GRN: 3% (=)

Via @savanta_UK, 24-26 Mar.
Changes w/ 17-19 Mar.

[timmullen1]

LAB: 45% (=)
CON: 29% (=)
LDM: 10% (+1)
REF: 5% (+1)
GRN: 3% (=)
SNP: 3% (-1)

Via @savanta_UK, On 31 March-2 April,
Changes w/ 24-26 March.

[robert1]

Latest Voting Intention Gives Labour a 14pt Lead – Savanta

Conservative 31% (+2)
Labour 45% (=)
Liberal Democrat 8% (-2)
Reform UK 5% (=)
SNP 3% (=)
Green 3% (=)
Other 4% (=)

Change from 31 March - 2 April.

• Best PM rankings: Sunak 37% (-1), Starmer 37% (=); Don’t know 26% (+1). Change from 10-12 March.
• Net favourability: Starmer -4% (-3), Sunak -7% (+1), Davey -13% (-3). Change from 10-12 March.

• 2,237 UK adults, fieldwork 14-16 April.

[jamie]

Not sure whether 15% support is surprisingly low or high. My initial reaction was the latter, but perhaps there weren’t many non-rusted on supporters left to lose and tbf post-2019 trends have seen the Conservatives hold up best in demographics they had the least support to begin with (and lose the most where they had the most to lose).

[manchesterman]

tbh I wouldve expected the Greens to come 2nd in that poll! It suggests (if accurate) that support for Green issues isnt greatly weighted to the under-25s as many might have thought it would be?

[Tony Otim]

A poll for those too young to remember a Labour government

[stodge]

The latest Savanta poll:

🌹Lab 46 (+2)
🌳Con 30 (-1)
🔶LD 9 (=)
➡️Reform 5 (=)
🎗️SNP 4 (=)
🌍Gre 3 (=)
⬜️Other 4 (=)

Fieldwork 5-7 May so after the local elections. Haven't seen any tables but that's another poll which makes the Monday Redfield & Wilton look like an outlier.

We'll need Omnisis and Techne before we can make a definite call.

[andrewp]

📈17pt Labour lead - Savanta's highest since early February

🌹Lab 46 (=)
🌳Con 29 (-1)
🔶LD 9 (=)
➡️Reform 5 (=)
🎗️SNP 3 (-1)
🌍Gre 3 (=)
⬜️Other 4 (=)

2,214 UK adults, 12-14 May

[robert1]

Con     30 (+1)
Lab      46   =
LD          9   =
Ref         5   =
SNP        3   =
Grn         3   =
Oths       4   =

Fieldwork 19th-21st

[robert1]

Con      31      (+1)
Lab      44       (-2)
LD         9         =
Ref        5         =
SNP      3         =
Grn      3          =
Oths    5        (+1)

Fieldwork 26th-28th May

[timmullen1]

Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 44% (=)
CON: 30% (-1)
LDM: 11% (+2)
REF: 5% (=)
GRN: 3% (=)
SNP: 3% (=)

Via @savanta_UK, On 2-4 June,
Changes w/ 26-28 May.

[andrewp]

🚨NEW Westminster Voting Intention

🌹Lab 45 (+1)
🌳Con 28 (-2)
🔶LD 9 (-2)
➡️Reform 6 (+1)
🎗️SNP 4 (+1)
🌍Gre 4 (+1)
⬜️Other 4 (+1)

2,030 UK adults, 9-11 June

(chg from 2-4 June)

[andrewp]

Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 46% (+1)
CON: 28% (=)
LDM: 11% (+2)
RFM: 4% (-2)
SNP: 3% (-1)
GRN: 3% (-1)

Via @savanta_UK, 16-18 Jun.
Changes w/ 9-11 Jun.

[andrewp]

Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 43% (-3)
CON: 31% (+3)
LDM: 10% (-1)
RFM: 5% (+1)
SNP: 4% (+1)
GRN: 3% (=)

Via @savanta_UK, 23-25 Jun.
Changes w/ 16-18 Jun.

[andrewp]

Pretty much a reversal of their last poll and very similar to their poll of mid June

🌹Lab 46 (+3)
🌳Con 28 (-3)
🔶LD 11 (+1)
➡️Reform 4 (-1)
🌍Green 4 (+1)
🎗️SNP 3 (-1)
⬜️Other 4 (=)

2,216 UK adults, 30 June - 2 July

(chg from 23-25 June)

[The Bishop]

Obvious outlier was obvious shocker.

[robert1]

Con      30     (+2)
Lab       45     (-1)
LD        10     (-1)
Ref         5     (+1)
Grn        3     (-1)
SNP       3       =

Fieldwork 7-9th July

With this and YouGov Tories riding 'a crest of a trough'

[borisminor]

My instinct about this is that although there is no floor to the Conservative vote (and it will keep falling when there is a scandal affecting the Conservative brand), there is some peak to it which they will rise to when they are working at standard service.

[swanarcadian]