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Post by manchesterman on Sept 27, 2018 22:51:34 GMT
Twitter report of CON GAIN in Clifton Con 1311 Labour 928 Indy 307 Lib Dems 92 Green 64 Bus Pass Elvis 46 Good to see Bus Pass Elvis still rockin on  |
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Post by beastofbedfordshire on Sept 27, 2018 22:56:34 GMT
Cheers Kippers
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Post by greenhert on Sept 27, 2018 22:56:54 GMT
It is worth noting that the Labour candidate did not live even close to Clifton North but the Conservative candidate, and the Nottingham Independents candidate, did live in that ward. Clifton is a community within a community, and therefore has a strong "local vote" factor.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Sept 27, 2018 23:08:55 GMT
We really are extraordinarily good at shooting ourselves in the foot, aren't we?
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Post by No Offence Alan on Sept 27, 2018 23:09:06 GMT
Twitter report of CON GAIN in Clifton Con 1311 Labour 928 Indy 307 Lib Dems 92 Green 64 Bus Pass Elvis 46 So not really close then. |
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peter
Conservative
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Post by peter on Sept 27, 2018 23:19:17 GMT
Agreed, the difference between 92 and 64 is not that close.
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Post by brianjrvs on Sept 28, 2018 7:10:06 GMT
Conservatives hold Stowe
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Post by brianjrvs on Sept 28, 2018 7:53:15 GMT
Results were: District 23.4% Con 499 Lab 440 Lib 193 |
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,746
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Post by Chris from Brum on Sept 28, 2018 8:37:33 GMT
I make it:
Stowe (Lichfield) result: CON 44.1% (-0.8) LAB 38.9% (+12.7) LD 17.0% (-1.9) Con HOLD. No Something Else or Green as before. The Labour surge as a result of the outgoing Tory's endorsement, perhaps?
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Post by middleenglander on Sept 28, 2018 8:38:06 GMT
Lichfield, Stowe - Conservative hold | Party | 2018 B2 votes | 2018 B2 share | since 2018 B1 | since 2015 "top" | since 2015 "average" | Conservative | 499 | 44.1% | -0.8% | -9.8% | -7.0% | Labour | 440 | 38.9% | +12.7% | +11.9% | +10.5% | Liberal Democrat | 193 | 17.0% | -1.9% | from nowhere | from nowhere | Something New |
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| -5.2% |
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| Green |
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| -4.9% | -19.1% | -20.6% | Total votes | 1,132 |
| 99% | 34% | 37% |
Swing Conservative to Labour 6¾% since February and ~ 11% / 8¾% since 2015 Council now 41 Conservative, 5 Labour, 1 Liberal Democrat Nottingham, Clifton North - Conservative gain from Labour sitting as Independent| Party | 2018 votes | 2018 share | since 2015 "top" | since 2015 "average" | since 2014 B | since 2011 "top" | since 2011 "average" | | Conservative | 1,311 | 47.7% | +12.1% | +13.8% | +11.9% | -1.4%% | -3.1% | Labour | 928 | 33.8% | -4.1% | -5.0% | -7.4% | -17.1% | -15.5% | Nottingham Independent | 307 | 11.2% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Liberal Democrat | 92 | 3.3% | from nowhere | from nowhere | +1.4% | from nowhere | from nowhere | Green | 64 | 2.3% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Bus Pass Elvis | 46 | 1.7% | from nowhere | from nowhere | -0.7% | from nowhere | from nowhere | UKIP |
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| -22.0% | -22.4% | -18.7% |
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| Independent |
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| -4.4% | -4.9% |
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| Total votes | 2,748 |
| 44% | 48% | 96% | 74% | 78% |
Swing Labour to Conservative ~ 8% / 9½% since 2015, 9¾% since 2014 by-election and ~ 7¾% / 6¼% since 2011 Council now 52 labour, 3 Conservative Salford, Eccles - Labour hold | Party | 2018 B votes | 2018 B share | since 2018 | since 2016 | since 2015 | since 2014 | | Labour | 1,071 | 54.6% | -5.8% | -7.1% | +6.2% | -8.0% | Conservative | 474 | 24.1% | +2.1% | +0.9% | -0.8% | -3.7% | Liberal Democrat | 156 | 7.9% | +2.1% | from nowhere | +3.2% | -1.7% | Green | 123 | 6.3% | -0.1% | -3.1% | +0.2% | from nowhere | UKIP | 100 | 5.1% | +0.5% | from nowhere | -8.6% | from nowhere | Women's Equality | 39 | 2.0% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | TUSC |
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| -0.8% | -5.7% | -2.3% |
| Total votes | 1,963 |
| 68% | 65% | 36% | 66% |
Swing Labour to Conservative ~ 4% since May and 2016, ~ 2¼% since 2014 but Conservative to Labour 3½% since 2015 Council now 50 Labour + Elected Mayor, 9 Conservative, 1 Independent
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The Bishop
Labour
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Post by The Bishop on Sept 28, 2018 9:47:13 GMT
We really are extraordinarily good at shooting ourselves in the foot, aren't we? We have had a few attempts at "parachuting" in local byelections come to grief recently (and others where Labour won but there was a swing against) Given the increased membership, you might think it would be easier to find genuinely local candidates wouldn't you..... |
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Post by Andrew_S on Sept 28, 2018 10:09:12 GMT
I make it: Stowe (Lichfield) result: CON 44.1% (-0.8) LAB 38.9% (+12.7) LD 17.0% (-1.9) Con HOLD. No Something Else or Green as before. The Labour surge as a result of the outgoing Tory's endorsement, perhaps? I think it was probably voters being annoyed at having to vote again so soon. In those circumstances they tend to swing towards the main opposition party in the ward. |
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Sept 28, 2018 10:51:00 GMT
That was a factor I imagine, but Labour had an excellent result in another Lichfield ward recently - could turn out to be a good area for them next year.
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Post by middleenglander on Sept 28, 2018 11:03:53 GMT
That was a factor I imagine, but Labour had an excellent result in another Lichfield ward recently - could turn out to be a good area for them next year. Does the cancelled retail development, which played a significant part in the Curborough result in July, appear to be less toxic yesterday? |
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Sept 28, 2018 11:07:10 GMT
Perhaps its slightly less relevant in this ward. Or the Tory vote is a bit more resilient here (though it was still a significant swing since the previous byelection)
Next year's results will be interesting, at any rate.
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