|
|
Post by Robert Waller on May 23, 2018 20:28:19 GMT
I shall be putting in 7, not sure if ME will include Broadland, but no harm in predicting it...
|
|
|
|
Post by greenhert on May 23, 2018 21:59:02 GMT
My predictions for this week:
Non-deferred:
Bristol UA, Westbury-on-Trym & Henleaze: Liberal Democrats 37, Conservative 35, Labour 20, Green 8.
Broadland DC, Aylsham: Liberal Democrats 45, Conservative 42, Labour 13.
Horsham DC, Cowfold, Shermanbury & West Grinstead: Conservative 62, Liberal Democrats 31, Labour 7.
North Kesteven DC, Kirkby La Thorpe & South Kyme: Lincolnshire Independents 44, Conservative 38, Labour 12, Liberal Democrats 6.
Waverley BC, Farnham Castle: Farnham Residents 35, Conservative 27, Liberal Democrats 27, Labour 6, Independent (Westcott) 5.
Deferred from 3 May:
Stockport MBC, Edgeley & Cheadle Heath: Labour 64, Conservative 22, Liberal Democrats 5, Green 5, UKIP 4.
Tamworth BC, Glascote: Labour 45, Conservative 44, UKIP 7, Green 4.
|
|
|
|
Post by Robert Waller on May 23, 2018 22:18:55 GMT
Bristol UA, Westbury-on-Trym & Henleaze: Liberal Democrats 39, Conservative 37, Labour 17, Green 7.
Broadland DC, Aylsham: Liberal Democrats 49, Conservative 37, Labour 14.
Horsham DC, Cowfold, Shermanbury & West Grinstead: Conservative 65, Liberal Democrats 25, Labour 10.
North Kesteven DC, Kirkby La Thorpe & South Kyme: Lincolnshire Independents 32, Conservative 50, Labour 9, Liberal Democrats 9.
Waverley BC, Farnham Castle: Farnham Residents 40, Conservative 23, Liberal Democrats 27, Labour 6, Independent (Westcott) 4.
Stockport MBC, Edgeley & Cheadle Heath: Labour 74, Conservative 12, Liberal Democrats 6, Green 3, UKIP 5.
|
|
|
|
Post by Davıd Boothroyd on May 23, 2018 23:27:59 GMT
BRISTOL Westbury-on-Trym and Henleaze: L Dem 43, C 39, Lab 12, GP 6
BROADLAND Aylsham: L Dem 55, C 35, Lab 10
HORSHAM Cowfold, Shermanbury and West Grinstead: C 65, L Dem 26, Lab 9
NORTH KESTEVEN Kirkby La Thorpe and South Kyme: C 50, Lincs Ind 24, Lab 14, L Dem 12
STOCKPORT Edgeley and Cheadle Heath: Lab 66, C 12, GP 10, L Dem 8, UKIP 4
WAVERLEY Farnham Castle: F Res 40, L Dem 28, C 20, Lab 7, Ind 5
25 May
TAMWORTH Glascote: Lab 46, C 41, UKIP 9, GP 4
|
|
|
|
Post by syorkssocialist on May 24, 2018 1:44:17 GMT
Non-deferred:
Bristol, Westbury-on-Trym and Henleaze: LD 39, Con 36, Lab 19, Green 6
Broadland, Aylsham: LD 44, Con 39, Lab 17
Horsham, Cowfold, Shermanbury and West Grinstead: Con 61, LD 27, Lab 12
North Kesteven, Kirkby La Thrope and South Kyme: Con 48, Lincs Ind 31, Lab 15, LD 6
Waverley, Farnham Castle: F Res 37, LD 33, Con 21, Lab 6, Ind 3
Deferred:
Stockport, Edgeley and Cheadle Heath: Lab 70, Con 13, Green 7, LD 6, UKIP 4
Tamworth, Glascote: Con 44, Lab 42, UKIP 8, Green 6
|
|
|
|
Post by andrewp on May 24, 2018 6:04:21 GMT
Bristol, Westbury on Trym and Henleaze Con 39, Lib Dem 38, Lab 16, Green 7
Broadland, Aylsham Lib Dem 51, Con 38, Lab 11
Horsham, Cowfold, Shermanbury and West Grinstead Con 60, Lib Dem 33, Lab 7
North Kesteven. Kirkby La Thorpe and South Kyne Con 45, L Ind 34 Lib Dem 12, Lab 9
Waverley, Farnham Castle Res 38, Lib Dem 28, Con 22, Lab 7, Ind 5
Stockport, Edgeley and Cheadle Heath Lab 70, Con 10, Lib Dem 9, Green 8, UKIP 3
25 May
Tamworth Glascote Lab 46, Con 41, UKIP 9, Green 4.
|
|
|
|
Post by yellowperil on May 24, 2018 6:11:14 GMT
By- elections
Bristol, Westbury on Trym & Henleaze: Con 33, Lab 25, LD 35, Green 7
Broadland, Aylsham: Con 38, Lab 13, LD 49
Horsham, Cowfold, Shermanbury & West Grinstead: Con 65, Lab 9, LD 26
North Kesteven: Kirkby Bathope &South Kyme: Con 50,Lab 8, LD 5, Lincs Ind 37
Waverley, Farnham Castle: Con 25, Lab 6, LD 35, FR 30, Ind 4
Deferred elections
Stockport, Edgeley & Cheadle Heath: Con 20, Lab 65, LD 7, Green 5, UKIP 3
Tamworth, Glascote: Con 40, Lab 50, Green 7, UKIP 3
|
|
|
|
Post by robbienicoll on May 24, 2018 6:45:53 GMT
Westbury-on-Trym and Henleaze, Bristol: Con 37, Lab 18, LD 40, Green 5
Aylsham, Broadland: Con 35, Lab 15, LD 50
Cowfold, Shermanbury and West Grinstead, Horsham: Con 70, Lab 5, LD 25
Kirkby La Thorpe and South Kyme, North Kesteven: Con 46, Lab 11, LD 14, Lincs Ind 29
Farnham Castle, Waverley: Con 23, Lab 9, LD 30, Ind 3, Farnham Residents 35
Edgeley and Cheadle Heath, Stockport: Con 11, Lab 72, LD 5, UKIP 6, Green 6
|
|
|
|
Post by Right Leaning on May 24, 2018 7:11:16 GMT
Bristol, Westbury on Trym & Henleaze: LD 40, Con 34, Lab 19, Green 7
Broadland, Aylsham: LD 47, Con 40, Lab 13,
Horsham, Cowfold, Shermanbury & West Grinstead: Con 64, LD 31, Lab 5,
North Kesteven: Kirkby Bathope &South Kyme: Con 52, Lincs Ind 32, LD 10, Lab 6,
Stockport, Edgeley & Cheadle Heath: Lab 71, Con 15, LD 9, Green 3, UKIP 2,
Tamworth, Glascote: Con 46, Lab 42, Green 7, UKIP 5
Waverley, Farnham Castle: FR 39, LD 29, Con 25, Lab 5, Ind 2,
|
|
|
|
Post by olympian95 on May 24, 2018 7:42:34 GMT
Bristol, Westbury on Trym & Henleaze: LD 38, Con 30, Lab 24, Green 8
Broadland, Aylsham: LD 49, Con 40, Lab 11
Horsham, Cowfold, Shermanbury & West Grinstead: Con 58, LD 27, Lab 15
North Kesteven: Kirkby Bathope & South Kyme: Con 54, Lincs Ind 31, LD 9, Lab 6
Waverley, Farnham Castle: Farnham Res 39, LD 33, Con 21, Lab 5, Ind 2
Deferred
Stockport, Edgeley & Cheadle Heath: Lab 68, Con 16, LD 7, Green 6, UKIP 3
Tamworth, Glascote: Con 49, Lab 44, UKIP 5, Green 2
|
|
|
|
Post by hempie on May 24, 2018 7:42:57 GMT
Bristol, Westbury-on-Trym & Henleaze: LD 41, Con 36, Lab 16, Green 7
Broadland, Aylsham: LD 48, Con 39, Lab 13
Horsham, Cowfold, Shermanbury & West Grinstead: Con 67, LD 22, Lab 11
North Kesteven, Kirkby La Thorpe & South Kyme: Con 45,Lincs Ind 34, Lab 11, LD 10
Waverley, Farnham Castle: Farnham Residents 39, Con 26, LD 25, Lab 6, Ind (Westcott) 4
Deferred:
Stockport, Edgeley & Cheadle Heath: Lab 68, LD 12, Con 10, UKIP 7,Green 3
Tamworth, Glascote: Lab 48, Con 38, UKIP 8, Green 6
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on May 24, 2018 7:57:43 GMT
Bristol, Westbury on Trym and Henleaze Con 56, Lib Dem 12, Lab 25, Green 7
Broadland, Aylsham Lib Dem 16, Con 51, Lab 33
Horsham, Cowfold, Shermanbury and West Grinstead Con 74, Lib Dem 12, Lab 14
North Kesteven. Kirkby La Thorpe and South Kyne Con 68, L Ind 6 Lib Dem 6, Lab 20
Waverley, Farnham Castle Res 27, Lib Dem 16, Con 40, Lab 15, Ind 2
Stockport, Edgeley and Cheadle Heath Lab 63, Con 24, Lib Dem 5, Green 3, UKIP 5
Tamworth Glascote Lab 43, Con 51, UKIP 4, Green 2.
|
|
|
|
Post by Robert Waller on May 24, 2018 16:52:27 GMT
Tamworth Glascote Lab 44, Con 43, UKIP 9, Green 4.
|
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on May 24, 2018 20:23:46 GMT
11 entries again for today's 6 contests with all present and correct.
Bristol, Westbury-on-Trym & Henleaze: 9 Liberal Democrat hold, andrewp & priceofdawn Conservative gain
Broadland, Aylsham: 10 Liberal Democrat gain from Conservative, priceofdawn Conservative hold
Horsham, Cowfold, Shermanbury & West Grinstead: 100% Conservative hold, majority 27% (andrewp over Liberal Democrat) to 60% (priceofdawn over Labour)
Kesteven, Kirkby La Thorpe & South Kyme: 10 Conservative hold, greenrobinhood Lincolnshire Independent gain
Waverley, Farnham Castle: 9 Farnham Resident hold, priceofdawn Conservative gain, Yellow Peril Liberal Democrat gain
Stockport, Edgeley & Cheadle Heath: 1005 Labour hold, majority from 39% (priceofdawn over Conservative) to 62% (Robert Waller over Conservative)
|
|
|
|
Post by robbienicoll on May 25, 2018 8:45:10 GMT
Glascote, Tamworth: Con 44, Lab 46, UKIP 4, Green 6
|
|
|
|
Post by Robert Waller on May 25, 2018 9:45:28 GMT
With Cowfold to come from yesterday and Glascote later, I estimate that Andrew P has justly displaced me at the top of the monthly chart and leads by around 7 faults. Andrew is the only person who correctly divined what was going to happen in Bristol,and also'won'in Stockport, I think.
Hempie is in 3rd place, about 10 behind me, so still may have a chance of further progress.
Olympian and Right Leaning seem to be dicing for 4th and 5th.
I do hope to hand over the yellow jersey this month, though I'm a bit worried for Andrew about his somewhat high LD percentage in West Sussex, which I think may end up as a very strong C hold. However he may be right yet again!
|
|
|
|
Post by robbienicoll on May 25, 2018 11:06:34 GMT
Didn't have time to do a spreadsheet this week but that Horsham result looks like @priceofdawn's win.
|
|
|
|
Post by yellowperil on May 25, 2018 12:45:40 GMT
With Cowfold to come from yesterday and Glascote later, I estimate that Andrew P has justly displaced me at the top of the monthly chart and leads by around 7 faults. Andrew is the only person who correctly divined what was going to happen in Bristol,and also'won'in Stockport, I think. Hempie is in 3rd place, about 10 behind me, so still may have a chance of further progress. Olympian and Right Leaning seem to be dicing for 4th and 5th. I do hope to hand over the yellow jersey this month, though I'm a bit worried for Andrew about his somewhat high LD percentage in West Sussex, which I think may end up as a very strong C hold. However he may be right yet again! And of course I predict that at the end of the day you will probably just snick it again by the odd point or two. But then who am I to say -I'm shit at prediction. |
|
|
|
Post by andrewp on May 25, 2018 13:03:53 GMT
With Cowfold to come from yesterday and Glascote later, I estimate that Andrew P has justly displaced me at the top of the monthly chart and leads by around 7 faults. Andrew is the only person who correctly divined what was going to happen in Bristol,and also'won'in Stockport, I think. Hempie is in 3rd place, about 10 behind me, so still may have a chance of further progress. Olympian and Right Leaning seem to be dicing for 4th and 5th. I do hope to hand over the yellow jersey this month, though I'm a bit worried for Andrew about his somewhat high LD percentage in West Sussex, which I think may end up as a very strong C hold. However he may be right yet again! And of course I predict that at the end of the day you will probably just snick it again by the odd point or two. But then who am I to say -I'm shit at prediction. Yes, I fear my overoptimism for the Lib Dems in Sussex has meant that Robert has just nicked it. He’s difficult to shift!! |
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on May 25, 2018 13:46:43 GMT
For 24 May:| Authority | Bristol | Broadland | Horsham | North Kesteven | Waverley | Stockport | Ward | Westbury
-on-Trym
& Henleaze | Aylsham | Cowfold,
Shermanbury &
West Grinstead
| Kirkby La Thorpe
& South Kyme | Farnham Castle | Edgeley &
Cheadle Heath | andrewp | 9.6 | 9.9 | 35.4 | 23.7+10 | 16.3 | 7.8 | David Boothroyd | 8.7+10 | 17.9 | 21.4 | 43.7+10 | 16.3 | 17.3 | greenrobinhood | 19.6+10 | 5.8 | 31.4 | 17.2 | 24.0 | 29.7 | hempie | 12.7+10 | 3.9 | 13.4 | 23.7+10 | 22.3 | 18.2 | olympian95 | 27.6+10 | 7.7 | 23.4 | 29.7+10 | 7.9 | 15.8 | priceofdawn | 54.9 | 60.1+10 | 11.3 | 79.7+10 | 63.6+10 | 35.7 | Right Leaning | 16.7+10 | 3.7 | 31.4 | 27.7+10 | 15.9 | 14.3 | robbienicholl | 11.0+10 | 8.2 | 22.7 | 33.7+10 | 18.0 | 11.7 | Robert Waller | 11.6+10 | 5.9 | 19.4 | 27.7+10 | 18.3 | 12.0 | syorkssocialist | 13.6+10 | 4.3 | 23.4 | 29.7+10 | 8.0 | 13.3 | Yellow Peril | 27.6+10 | 5.9 | 21.4 | 17.7+10 | 18.0+10 | 23.8 | Total | 213.7+90 | 133.3+10 | 254.5 | 354.7+100 | 228.6+20 | 199.6 |
| 17 May | 24 May | 24 May | 17 + 24 May | 17 + 24 May | Tamworth | Month Total | Month Total |
| Faults | Faults | Position | Faults | Position | Glascote | Faults | Position | andrewp | 53.6 | 112.8 | 2nd | 166.4 | 3rd |
|
|
| David Boothroyd | 79.2 | 145.3 | 10th | 224.5 | 9th |
|
|
| greenrobinhood | 61.2 | 137.7 | 8th | 198.9 | 6th |
|
|
| hempie | 48.8 | 114.2 | 3rd | 163.0 | 2nd |
|
|
| olympian95 | 66.4 | 132.1 | 7th | 198.5 | 5th |
|
|
| priceofdawn | 152.3 | 335.4 | 11th | 487.7 | 11th |
|
|
| Right Leaning | 61.5 | 129.6 | 6th | 191.1 | 4th |
|
|
| robbienicholl | 109.0 | 125.4 | 5th | 234.4 | 8th |
|
|
| Robert Waller | 42.3 | 115.0 | 4th | 157.3 | 1st |
|
|
| syorkssocialist | 155.9 | 112.4 | 1st | 268.3 | 10th |
|
|
| Yellow Peril | 62.3 | 144.5 | 9th | 206.9 | 7th |
|
|
| Total | 892.5 | 1,604.4 |
| 2,496.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
