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Post by dizz on Nov 15, 2024 10:10:08 GMT
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The Bishop
Labour
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Post by The Bishop on Nov 15, 2024 12:36:47 GMT
Speaking of recounts, one has also been called for in Iowa's 1st congressional district; Republican Congresswoman Marianette Miller-Weeks' final margin was 802 votes (0.2%) That looks a bit too high to be overturned doesn't it. |
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stb12
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Post by stb12 on Nov 15, 2024 13:17:28 GMT
Susan Collins running for sixth term. Not sure Golden would oppose her Maine's 1st Democrat Chellie Pingree might.Harris won the Pine Tree State. Still, it was a 6% win. Slightly better than Clinton's 2016 win. Pingree got thumped by Collins in the 2002 Senate race, before she got elected to the House. Admittedly the political situation has changed and become more partisan since then but it would be giving up a safe House seat for what will still be a tough battle. Almost everyone thought Collins was done in 2020 while sharing a ballot with Trump and look what happened there |
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Post by thinwhiteduke on Nov 15, 2024 13:18:36 GMT
Quite a stark indication of the trend of the 8th that Dems can't carry it in a 16 point statewide win, despite the district largely being reliably democratic until 2018.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 15, 2024 13:49:06 GMT
Quite a stark indication of the trend of the 8th that Dems can't carry it in a 16 point statewide win, despite the district largely being reliably democratic until 2018. Quite a change in Minnesota, yes. She still carried Walz's old seat. |
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Post by eastmidlandsright on Nov 15, 2024 15:02:38 GMT
Speaking of recounts, one has also been called for in Iowa's 1st congressional district; Republican Congresswoman Marianette Miller-Weeks' final margin was 802 votes (0.2%) That looks a bit too high to be overturned doesn't it. 4 years ago there was also a recount in this district (numbered the 2nd at the time). It resulted in a net swing to the Democrats of 41 votes, which given Miller-Meeks original lead was 47 was nearly enough to change the winner. |
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Post by timmullen on Nov 15, 2024 16:26:16 GMT
It may simply be because of the automatic recount but the Pennsylvania Senate race has been put back in the undecided column on the New York Times map.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 15, 2024 17:09:44 GMT
Excellent news for Democrats. Brown outran Harris by 8% in Ohio. Vance won by 6% in 2022. It's hard, but it's doable. Brown is the only viable Democrat. Winning Ohio is more realistic than Maine. Susan Collins is extremely well-known. 30 year incumbent too. Whoever gets appointed here may struggle. They need to build name recognition. Messy primary with a caretaker appointment. DeWine could still appoint himself, obviously. We may have a rematch here. 2006 was Brown vs incumbent DeWine.
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Post by eastmidlandsright on Nov 15, 2024 18:22:12 GMT
Excellent news for Democrats. Brown outran Harris by 8% in Ohio. Vance won by 6% in 2022. It's hard, but it's doable. Brown is the only viable Democrat. Winning Ohio is more realistic than Maine. Susan Collins is extremely well-known. 30 year incumbent too. Whoever gets appointed here may struggle. They need to build name recognition. Messy primary with a caretaker appointment. DeWine could still appoint himself, obviously. We may have a rematch here. 2006 was Brown vs incumbent DeWine. Going by what DeWine has said he is clearly not planning to appoint himself. |
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Post by greenhert on Nov 15, 2024 18:48:24 GMT
Speaking of recounts, one has also been called for in Iowa's 1st congressional district; Republican Congresswoman Marianette Miller-Weeks' final margin was 802 votes (0.2%) That looks a bit too high to be overturned doesn't it. Yes, although given the average population of US congressional districts (septuple that of UK parliamentary constituencies) the recount request could be granted. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 15, 2024 19:11:34 GMT
Excellent news for Democrats. Brown outran Harris by 8% in Ohio. Vance won by 6% in 2022. It's hard, but it's doable. Brown is the only viable Democrat. Winning Ohio is more realistic than Maine. Susan Collins is extremely well-known. 30 year incumbent too. Whoever gets appointed here may struggle. They need to build name recognition. Messy primary with a caretaker appointment. DeWine could still appoint himself, obviously. We may have a rematch here. 2006 was Brown vs incumbent DeWine. Going by what DeWine has said he is clearly not planning to appoint himself. Fair enough - he's 79 in 2026. |
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Post by timmullen on Nov 15, 2024 20:18:49 GMT
Going by what DeWine has said he is clearly not planning to appoint himself. Fair enough - he's 79 in 2026. My thought was he would appoint a placeholder for two years to allow an open primary contest, and that placeholder might be himself as he’s out of office in 2026 whether it be as Senator or Governor. |
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graham
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Post by graham on Nov 15, 2024 21:04:46 GMT
It may simply be because of the automatic recount but the Pennsylvania Senate race has been put back in the undecided column on the New York Times map. With 99% counted the Republican lead there has dropped from almost 30,000 to 22,200 in last few days. That is barely 0.3% - well below the 0.5% automatic recount threshold. |
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riccimarsh
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Post by riccimarsh on Nov 15, 2024 21:12:00 GMT
Susan Collins running for sixth term. Not sure Golden would oppose her Maine's 1st Democrat Chellie Pingree might.Harris won the Pine Tree State. Still, it was a 6% win. Slightly better than Clinton's 2016 win. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 15, 2024 21:23:58 GMT
Susan Collins running for sixth term. Not sure Golden would oppose her Maine's 1st Democrat Chellie Pingree might.Harris won the Pine Tree State. Still, it was a 6% win. Slightly better than Clinton's 2016 win. 2008 result? Collins won Maine by 20 points. So too did Obama that year. This won’t harm Susan Collins here. Plus, 1996 was 28 years ago. More recently, Ron Johnson said similar. He still won a third term. |
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Post by aargauer on Nov 15, 2024 21:27:53 GMT
Excellent news for Democrats. Brown outran Harris by 8% in Ohio. Vance won by 6% in 2022. It's hard, but it's doable. Brown is the only viable Democrat. Winning Ohio is more realistic than Maine. Susan Collins is extremely well-known. 30 year incumbent too. Whoever gets appointed here may struggle. They need to build name recognition. Messy primary with a caretaker appointment. DeWine could still appoint himself, obviously. We may have a rematch here. 2006 was Brown vs incumbent DeWine. I bet you another pint the democrats do better in Maine than Ohio in 2026 😂 |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Nov 15, 2024 21:30:08 GMT
Excellent news for Democrats. Brown outran Harris by 8% in Ohio. Vance won by 6% in 2022. It's hard, but it's doable. Brown is the only viable Democrat. Winning Ohio is more realistic than Maine. Susan Collins is extremely well-known. 30 year incumbent too. Whoever gets appointed here may struggle. They need to build name recognition. Messy primary with a caretaker appointment. DeWine could still appoint himself, obviously. We may have a rematch here. 2006 was Brown vs incumbent DeWine. I bet you another pint the democrats do better in Maine than Ohio in 2026 😂 Fuck off! No more gambling for me now. |
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edgbaston
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Post by edgbaston on Nov 15, 2024 21:32:00 GMT
Excellent news for Democrats. Brown outran Harris by 8% in Ohio. Vance won by 6% in 2022. It's hard, but it's doable. Brown is the only viable Democrat. Winning Ohio is more realistic than Maine. Susan Collins is extremely well-known. 30 year incumbent too. Whoever gets appointed here may struggle. They need to build name recognition. Messy primary with a caretaker appointment. DeWine could still appoint himself, obviously. We may have a rematch here. 2006 was Brown vs incumbent DeWine. I bet you another pint the democrats do better in Maine than Ohio in 2026 😂 It depends how much of the next 2 years Collins spends frustrating (or more importantly appearing to frustrate) Trump. |
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Post by eastmidlandsright on Nov 15, 2024 21:38:32 GMT
Fair enough - he's 79 in 2026. My thought was he would appoint a placeholder for two years to allow an open primary contest, and that placeholder might be himself as he’s out of office in 2026 whether it be as Senator or Governor. He has said that he intends to appoint someone who will be capable of fighting a special election in 2026 and a regular election in 2028. |
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Post by timmullen on Nov 15, 2024 21:40:47 GMT
My thought was he would appoint a placeholder for two years to allow an open primary contest, and that placeholder might be himself as he’s out of office in 2026 whether it be as Senator or Governor. He has said that he intends to appoint someone who will be capable of fighting a special election in 2026 and a regular election in 2028. My mum’s birthday today so I’ve not being paying attention for a couple of days, but am slightly surprised he’d tip the scales by giving somebody incumbency. |
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