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Post by thirdchill on Mar 7, 2020 11:18:49 GMT
Also the strengths and weaknesses of candidates seem to have more of an impact on gubernatorial than Senate elections these days (with a few exceptions).
Democrats can vote for a Republican governor without impacting house or Senate balance and vice versa. And some actually prefer having a governor of a different party to the majority party to provide a balance and avoid excesses that come with total one party domination.
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timmullen1
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Post by timmullen1 on Mar 9, 2020 14:21:29 GMT
It’s being reported that Steve Bullock is making a last minute entry into the Montana senate contest. This is a bit of a coup for Democrats, after he has repeatedly ruled out running. Daines will still start as favourite to hold the seat, but this certainly makes it a competitive race. Bullock is now definitely running: www.politico.com/news/2020/03/09/bullock-enters-montana-senate-race-124260
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Post by finsobruce on Mar 9, 2020 16:11:17 GMT
It’s being reported that Steve Bullock is making a last minute entry into the Montana senate contest. This is a bit of a coup for Democrats, after he has repeatedly ruled out running. Daines will still start as favourite to hold the seat, but this certainly makes it a competitive race. Bullock is now definitely running: www.politico.com/news/2020/03/09/bullock-enters-montana-senate-race-124260Ah, the running of the Bullocks. Always a big tourist attraction.
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Post by curiousliberal on Mar 9, 2020 16:38:20 GMT
With the exception of American Samoa, Bloomberg's, Buttigieg's, Klobuchar's and Warren's PLEO and statewide (but not district-level) delegates have not yet officially been assigned. This means that their delegates will be reassigned to candidates remaining in the race on a proportional basis.
I'll run the numbers once the full statewide results are in from California, Utah and Colorado, but Putnam's preliminary estimates suggest this adds 25 and 24 to Biden's and Sanders' delegate counts, respectively.
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Post by timmullen1 on Mar 11, 2020 1:35:01 GMT
Of passing interest, the Democrats have flipped a District in the New Hampshire House. The race gained some attention over the last fortnight when the Republican nominee was discovered to be a member of a number of online Neo-Nazi groups.
Also, in Mississippi, former Governor Mike Espy has set up a rematch against Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith after running her comparatively close in the Special Election to succeed Thad Cochran. I suspect although progressives will talk this one up it’ll be pretty comfortable for the incumbent on the back of Presidential turnout.
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nelson
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Post by nelson on Mar 11, 2020 1:41:58 GMT
Andrew Yang has endorsed Biden.
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Sanders is said to be suspending his campaign on Wednesday or Thursday, based on anonymous sources "people who would definitely know". He shall see (but he has no path forward after losing MI, even if he wins the debate).
...
MI had the same extreme age divide as MO. Going to be a problem for the party going forward.
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nelson
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Post by nelson on Mar 11, 2020 1:52:34 GMT
MI had the same extreme age divide as MO. Going to be a problem for the party going forward. E.g. Sanders got 82% of under 30s and Biden got 73% of those aged 65+.
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Post by timmullen1 on Mar 11, 2020 2:27:43 GMT
In Senate news Trump has endorsed Tommy Tuberville in the Alabama primary run off against his former Attorney General, Jeff Sessions.
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neilm
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Post by neilm on Mar 11, 2020 9:15:24 GMT
Of passing interest, the Democrats have flipped a District in the New Hampshire House. The race gained some attention over the last fortnight when the Republican nominee was discovered to be a member of a number of online Neo-Nazi groups. Also, in Mississippi, former Governor Mike Espy has set up a rematch against Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith after running her comparatively close in the Special Election to succeed Thad Cochran. I suspect although progressives will talk this one up it’ll be pretty comfortable for the incumbent on the back of Presidential turnout. He was Secretary of Agriculture, no? Got prosecuted for accepting gifts but cleared. The Special Election was close in the first round but not so close in the second, I think probably because Chris McDaniel's voters came on board. I bet he wishes he'd gone after Wicker now.
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CatholicLeft
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Post by CatholicLeft on Mar 11, 2020 16:50:19 GMT
In Senate news Trump has endorsed Tommy Tuberville in the Alabama primary run off against his former Attorney General, Jeff Sessions. Jeff Sessions was the only Senator who backed Donald Trump from the beginning. After giving up his safe berth in the Senate to become AG, he discovered that Donald Trump has no interest in the law of the land, just in protecting himself. I have to say, given how Mr Sessions bears a great deal of responsibility for giving candidate Trump some congressional kudos, you reap what you sow.
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Richard Allen
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Post by Richard Allen on Mar 17, 2020 1:44:57 GMT
The filing deadline has now passed in Maine and Susan Collins has successfully avoided even a token primary challenge. Therefore expect a fairly significant pivot to the centre from her very soon.
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Post by timmullen1 on Mar 18, 2020 4:23:46 GMT
In Illinois’ 3rd Congressional District incumbent Democrat Dan Lipinski, one of the last anti abortion Democrats in the House (the other, Henry Cuellar of Texas survived his primary on Super Tuesday) has been defeated in his primary by Marie Newman; she came very close in 2018 and has got over the line tonight. Perhaps the AOC of this House cycle, and a small glimmer of light for the Sanders camp tonight.
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Post by timmullen1 on Mar 18, 2020 4:27:43 GMT
In Senate news Trump has endorsed Tommy Tuberville in the Alabama primary run off against his former Attorney General, Jeff Sessions. Jeff Sessions was the only Senator who backed Donald Trump from the beginning. After giving up his safe berth in the Senate to become AG, he discovered that Donald Trump has no interest in the law of the land, just in protecting himself. I have to say, given how Mr Sessions bears a great deal of responsibility for giving candidate Trump some congressional kudos, you reap what you sow. The primary run-off between Sessions and Tuberville has been delayed to a date to be arranged.
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jamie
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Post by jamie on Mar 18, 2020 11:36:53 GMT
In Illinois’ 3rd Congressional District incumbent Democrat Dan Lipinski, one of the last anti abortion Democrats in the House (the other, Henry Cuellar of Texas survived his primary on Super Tuesday) has been defeated in his primary by Marie Newman; she came very close in 2018 and has got over the line tonight. Perhaps the AOC of this House cycle, and a small glimmer of light for the Sanders camp tonight. Tbf Newman had a lot of establishment backing and Lipinski was conservative on a lot more issues than just abortion.
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Post by timmullen1 on Mar 18, 2020 13:10:42 GMT
In Illinois’ 3rd Congressional District incumbent Democrat Dan Lipinski, one of the last anti abortion Democrats in the House (the other, Henry Cuellar of Texas survived his primary on Super Tuesday) has been defeated in his primary by Marie Newman; she came very close in 2018 and has got over the line tonight. Perhaps the AOC of this House cycle, and a small glimmer of light for the Sanders camp tonight. Tbf Newman had a lot of establishment backing and Lipinski was conservative on a lot more issues than just abortion. Yes, one of, if not the last, to vote against the Affordable Care Act. Newman had almost the entire Illinois Congressional delegation on her side, plus most of Chicago’s powerhouses, including Mayor Lori Lightfoot. I guess she also started with some latent name recognition from 2018. It’ll be interesting to see if Jessica Cisneros, who came up narrowly short against Henry Cuellar, follows Newman’s example and tries again in 2022.
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Post by finsobruce on Mar 18, 2020 14:30:41 GMT
It's actually been a pretty good year for progressive challengers. Nancy Pelosi has a left-wing opponent in the general election in Shahid Buttar. I also hear Romanov is doing well against Hickenlooper in the Colorado Senate primary. If the Democrats need a Coronavirus czar Romanov would be an obvious choice.
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nelson
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Post by nelson on Apr 3, 2020 17:43:03 GMT
The Idaho primary (originally set on 19 May) has been moved to to 2 June, but 19 May will remain the deadline to register to vote or request a ballot.
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Post by timmullen1 on Apr 6, 2020 20:31:01 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Apr 13, 2020 8:25:03 GMT
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Post by timmullen1 on Apr 13, 2020 9:01:27 GMT
Whilst not a fan of AOC I would guess much of Ms Caruso-Cabrera’s money comes from Republicans trying to muckrake and politically damage AOC by pulling her numbers down in the primary.
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