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Post by yellowperil on Feb 20, 2018 11:46:06 GMT
After all the excitements of a very busy February, it will be good to get back to relative tranquility in March (coming in like a lamb?)Just four contests to start the month off
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Post by yellowperil on Feb 20, 2018 12:07:58 GMT
Basingstoke & Deane BC , Kempshott Ward
Conservative died
3 candidates:
Tony Capon (Conservative)
Grant Odonohoe (Lab)
Stavroulla O'Doherty (Lib Dem)
2002 election results: Con 1467/1319/1353, Lab 598/429/415, LD 311/378
2003 election results: Con 1158, Lab 479, LD 362
2004 election results: Con 1750, Lab 685
2006 election results: Con 1820, LD 367,Lab 336
2007 election results: Con 1749, LD 381, Lab 330
2008 election results: Con 1683/1586/1560, Lab 278/251/197,LD 271/257/253
2010 election results: Con 2586, LD 887, Lab 647,BFCP 549
2011 election results: Con 1855, Lab 584, LD 289
2012 election results: Con 1296, Lab 361, LD 165
2014 election results: Con 1302, UKIP 474, Lab 385, LD 171
2015 election results: Con 2669,Lab 672, UKIP 517, LD 319, Green 204
2016 election results: Con 1366, Lab 405, UKIP 348
note: BFCP = Basingstoke First Community Party
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Post by yellowperil on Feb 20, 2018 14:01:58 GMT
Clackmannanshire UA, Clackmannanshire North Ward
SNP resigned
5 candidates:
Afifa Khanam (Lab)
Helen Drummond-Lewis (SNP)
Marion Robertson (Green)
Damian Sherwood-Johnson (Lib Dem)
Alex Stewart (Con)
2007 election results: SNP 1256(1)/ 950(2)/256, Lab 1099(1)/351, Con 333, LD 322(8),SSCUP 166, SSP 75
2012 election results: SNP 728(1)/ 544(6)/504, Lab 663(5)/351, Ind 540(6), Con 157, LD 136
2017 election results: Con 969(1), SNP 672(5)/660(5)/292, Lab 644(8)/432, LD 206
Note: candidates elected are shown emboldened, and number in brackets indicating stage at which elected.
SSCUP= Scottish Senior Citizens Unity Party, SSP =Scottish Socialist Party
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Post by yellowperil on Feb 20, 2018 14:25:09 GMT
East Devon DC, Exmouth Town
Liberal Democrat resigned
5 candidates:
Daphne J Currier (Ind)
Tim Dumper (Lib Dem)
Dilys M Hadley (Lab)
Tony Hill (Con)
Robert N Masding (Green)
2003 election results: LD 860/815/801, Con 465/373/360
2007 election results: LD 864/832/693, Con 450/428/389, Ind 426
2011 election results: LD 838/758/676, Con 547/478/467, Green 397, UKIP 270, Ind 185
2015 election results: LD 1069/970/737,Con 865/856/711, Green 804, Lab 714
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Post by yellowperil on Feb 20, 2018 14:52:05 GMT
Solihull MB, Blythe Ward
Conservative resigned
3 candidates:
James Robert Butler (Con)
Sardul Singh Marwa (Lab)
Charles Robinson (Lib Dem)
2004 election results: LD 1720/1664/1555,Con 1605/1589/1533, Lab 376
2006 election results: Con 1662, LD 1509, Green 226, Lab 181
2007 election results: LD 1832, Con 1522, Lab 156, Green 142
2008 election results: Con 1714, LD 1647, Lab 112, Green 79
2010 election results: Con 3312, LD 2322, Lab 682, SMRA 426, BNP 310,Green 89
2011 election results: Con 2358, SMRA 845,Lab 512, LD 452, Green 102
2012 election results: SMRA 1181, Con 1020, LD 285, Lab 266
2014 election results: Con 1612, SMRA 1544, Lab 337
2015 election results: Con 5302, Green 1014, Lab 839
2016 election results: Con 1598,SMRA 1048,Lab 280,Green 199
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,746
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Post by Chris from Brum on Feb 20, 2018 15:41:45 GMT
SMRA = Solihull and Meriden Residents' Association, set up in 2010. Interesting that LDs once held this ward but haven't stood since 2012.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Feb 20, 2018 15:55:26 GMT
Clackmannanshire UA, Clackmannanshire North WardSNP resigned5 candidates:Afifa Khanam (Lab)Helen Drummond-Lewis (SNP)Marion Robertson (Green)Damian Sherwood-Johnson (Lib Dem)Alex Stewart (Con)2007 election results: SNP 1256(1)/ 950(2)/256, Lab 1099(1)/351, Con 333, LD 322(8),SSCUP 166, SSP 75 2012 election results: SNP 728(1)/ 544(6)/504, Lab 663(5)/351, Ind 540(6), Con 157, LD 136 2017 election results: Con 969(1), SNP 672(5)/660(5)/292, Lab 644(8)/432, LD 206 Note: candidates elected are shown emboldened, and number in brackets indicating stage at which elected. SSCUP= Scottish Senior Citizens Unity Party, SSP =Scottish Socialist Party that looks an interesting contest |
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Merseymike
Independent
Posts: 40,460
Member is Online
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Post by Merseymike on Feb 20, 2018 15:56:48 GMT
Quite an impressive Independent in Exmouth - wonder if she has any links to the independent parliamentary candidate there who did so well?
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Post by yellowperil on Feb 20, 2018 16:57:57 GMT
Mike- What have you seen to rate her as impressive? I know she is a craft teacher at Exmouth college (so called "professor" -puzzled by that) -have you seen some literature? Don't know if she is part of Claire Wright's organisation but wouldn't be surprised as there must be quite a lot of helpers out there to deliver 21k general election votes, however there are a lot of independents around in that part of the world - there were two more alternatives at the GE , and a history of indies standing in this ward without making much impact. Don't know much about the defending Lib Dem either but feel Tim Dumper is an unfortunate name, though it might appeal to some corners of the Lib Dem world  |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Feb 20, 2018 17:11:48 GMT
East Devon DC, Exmouth TownLiberal Democrat resigned5 candidates:Daphne J Currier (Ind) tim13 (Lib Dem)Dilys M Hadley (Lab)Tony Hill (Con)Robert N Masding (Green)2003 election results: LD 860/815/801, Con 465/373/360 2007 election results: LD 864/832/693, Con 450/428/389, Ind 426 2011 election results: LD 838/758/676, Con 547/478/467, Green 397, UKIP 270, Ind 185 2015 election results: LD 1069/970/737,Con 865/856/711, Green 804, Lab 714 |
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Post by yellowperil on Feb 20, 2018 17:28:03 GMT
East Devon DC, Exmouth TownLiberal Democrat resigned5 candidates:Daphne J Currier (Ind) tim13 (Lib Dem)Dilys M Hadley (Lab)Tony Hill (Con)Robert N Masding (Green)2003 election results: LD 860/815/801, Con 465/373/360 2007 election results: LD 864/832/693, Con 450/428/389, Ind 426 2011 election results: LD 838/758/676, Con 547/478/467, Green 397, UKIP 270, Ind 185 2015 election results: LD 1069/970/737,Con 865/856/711, Green 804, Lab 714 Ah, interesting,that I didn't know - I don't think tim13 has posted on here in all the time I have been on this forum, but I have now gone back and read his past posting history - maybe he will now be to busy to share his thoughts on here? |
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Post by yellowperil on Feb 20, 2018 17:36:03 GMT
SMRA = Solihull and Meriden Residents' Association, set up in 2010. Interesting that LDs once held this ward but haven't stood since 2012. Yes , sorry,meant to add a key but forgot! Is there a connection between the collapse of the LD vote and the rise of SMRA? |
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Merseymike
Independent
Posts: 40,460
Member is Online
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Post by Merseymike on Feb 21, 2018 8:38:37 GMT
Mike- What have you seen to rate her as impressive? I know she is a craft teacher at Exmouth college (so called "professor" -puzzled by that) -have you seen some literature? Don't know if she is part of Claire Wright's organisation but wouldn't be surprised as there must be quite a lot of helpers out there to deliver 21k general election votes, however there are a lot of independents around in that part of the world - there were two more alternatives at the GE , and a history of indies standing in this ward without making much impact. Don't know much about the defending Lib Dem either but feel Tim Dumper is an unfortunate name, though it might appeal to some corners of the Lib Dem world Just her Facebook page and various Google links. Seems refreshingly sane (small town independents are often single issue wackos) |
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Chris from Brum
Lib Dem
What I need is a strong drink and a peer group.
Posts: 9,746
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Post by Chris from Brum on Feb 21, 2018 8:54:22 GMT
SMRA = Solihull and Meriden Residents' Association, set up in 2010. Interesting that LDs once held this ward but haven't stood since 2012. Yes , sorry,meant to add a key but forgot! Is there a connection between the collapse of the LD vote and the rise of SMRA? Probably not. I think they're more a localist bunch, with concern about traveller sites as one of their key planks. There has been trouble with some such sites - not that they're ever popular - and the council's handling of them has been poor at best. |
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johnloony
Conservative
Posts: 24,588
Member is Online
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Post by johnloony on Feb 23, 2018 3:30:44 GMT
SMRA = Solihull and Meriden Residents' Association, set up in 2010. Interesting that LDs once held this ward but haven't stood since 2012. Yes , sorry,meant to add a key but forgot! Is there a connection between the collapse of the LD vote and the rise of SMRA? Isn't SMRA the party that was launched by Nikki Sinclaire MEP (ex-UKIP)? |
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Post by greenchristian on Feb 23, 2018 9:00:45 GMT
Yes , sorry,meant to add a key but forgot! Is there a connection between the collapse of the LD vote and the rise of SMRA? Isn't SMRA the party that was launched by Nikki Sinclaire MEP (ex-UKIP)? Nope. She set up We Demand a Referendum. She has, however, had quite strong links with SMRA over the years, so it's an understandable mistake to make. |
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Post by AdminSTB on Feb 23, 2018 12:31:38 GMT
Isn't SMRA the party that was launched by Nikki Sinclaire MEP (ex-UKIP)? Nope. She set up We Demand a Referendum. She has, however, had quite strong links with SMRA over the years, so it's an understandable mistake to make. She stood as a candidate for them in the Meriden parly in 2010, getting a magnificent 658 votes. |
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Post by tonyhill on Feb 27, 2018 18:54:17 GMT
The weather forecast for Exmouth on Thursday is like something out of "The Day After Tomorrow". The turnout without the postal votes should be interesting!
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Post by yellowperil on Feb 28, 2018 11:21:39 GMT
The weather forecast for Exmouth on Thursday is like something out of "The Day After Tomorrow". The turnout without the postal votes should be interesting! Of course when you posted this, the election was indeed the day after tomorrow. I imagine it could be fun in Basingstoke, Solihull and Clackmannanshire as well. I wonder what proportion of the total vote will be pv's in each. We could have a new prediction competition working out those scores. |
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Harry Hayfield
Green
Cavalier Gentleman (as in 17th century Cavalier)
Posts: 2,922 
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Post by Harry Hayfield on Feb 28, 2018 11:34:26 GMT
Looking at the forecast I expect East Devon and Clackmannanshire councils to tweet today that they are seeking legal action to postpone the elections by a week (as both areas have been placed under a red "Don't move" warning for tomorrow
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