Honduras General Election 2017

[The Bishop]

Would they have dared to do this under a different POTUS, I wonder?

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TSE has announced there will be a recount of all the disputed ballots.

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The TSE says their "partial recount" of disputed ballots didn't change the result, and JOH still leads Nasralla by 1.6%.

Around a quarter of all votes are disputed, and its unclear how many they actually recounted. TSE has until Boxing Day to declare a winner. If they wait that long Honduras is looking at a riotous and violent Christmas and the New Year's fireworks might be a little too explosive for comfort. 

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Yesterday the TSE officially declared that President Juan Orlando Hernandez has been reelected.

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Analysis for OAS by a Georgetown professor:

"Executive Summary


• The dramatic vote swing experienced in the Honduras national election of 2017 is possibly the result of Alianza favoring areas reporting results earlier and being counted sooner.

• This assumes that there is no difference in the accuracy of early-reporting and late-reporting vote tallies.

• But the difference in vote patterns between early- and late-reporting polling stations shows marked changes that raises questions as to the accuracy of the late-reported returns.

• In particular, there is a marked break point with roughly 68% of votes counted in polling level station turnout rates and concomitant vote shares for the Partido Nacional and the opposition Alliance.

• These breaks are visible across all departments. A closer look at La Paz highlights the differences with sharp upticks in voter turnout and support for the Partido Nacional and a sharp decline in support for the Alianza after the 68% mark. The same trend is also documented in Cortes.

• The differences are too large to be generated by chance and are not easily explicable, raising doubts as to the veracity of the overall result."

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Hash has an in depth background and analysis of this election on his blog. 

welections.wordpress.com/2017/12/22/honduras-2017/