Icelandic parliamentary election, 2017

[Deleted]

11% of the electorate have voted early, up from 7.6% last year.

[Deleted]

It doesn't look like turnout will be that high. It was 44.6% at 5 pm in SW vs. 43.6% last year.

[Deleted]

Turnout up in Reykjavík at 6 pm, most in lefty North.

Reykja­vík­ North 53.55% vs. 50.4% last year.

Reykja­vík­ South 52.22% vs. 50.65% last year.

[Deleted]

DV poll of who won the final debate. Given their current readership its unsurprising the left is low, but 19%+ to Inga Sæland is remarkable. Maybe her tearful pathos will carry them across the finish line after all. 

[Deleted]

Best place to see results in English: icelandmonitor.mbl.is/elections2017

[Devil Wincarnate]

Oct 28, 2017 19:02:37 GMT @odo said:

Turnout up in Reykjavík at 6 pm, most in lefty North.

Reykja­vík­ North 53.55% vs. 50.4% last year.

Reykja­vík­ South 52.22% vs. 50.65% last year.

I'm guessing this says 62% in Reykjavik in the end but afraid I'll have to leave it to your linguistic skills:

www.mbl.is/frettir/kosning/2017/10/28/62_prosent_hafa_kosid_i_reykjavik/

[cj]

Thank you odo for your cornucopia on this

[Deleted]

Oct 28, 2017 21:43:01 GMT Devil Wincarnate said:

Oct 28, 2017 19:02:37 GMT @odo said:

Turnout up in Reykjavík at 6 pm, most in lefty North.

Reykja­vík­ North 53.55% vs. 50.4% last year.

Reykja­vík­ South 52.22% vs. 50.65% last year.

I'm guessing this says 62% in Reykjavik in the end but afraid I'll have to leave it to your linguistic skills:

www.mbl.is/frettir/kosning/2017/10/28/62_prosent_hafa_kosid_i_reykjavik/

That is the 8 pm number - two hours before the polls closed. 

[tamar]

Oct 28, 2017 20:57:27 GMT @odo said:

Best place to see results in English: icelandmonitor.mbl.is/elections2017

Where are the listed seat numbers coming from?

[Deleted]

They just published the results of the school children's election. The Pirates got 26.5% and 18 seats and the Peoples Front of Iceland 11.5% . LG, Commies and Pirates would get 35 of 63 seats.

[tamar]

Oct 28, 2017 22:23:04 GMT @odo said:

Oct 28, 2017 22:02:11 GMT tamar said:

Where are the listed seat numbers coming from?

Previous election. 

....well, no, they're not, they're showing changes from the previous election despite no results apparently being in yet. I presume it's some sort of projection but I was hoping someone might know what it is actually based on.

[Deleted]

Peoples Party on 10.2 in South so far with c. 20% in. McCarthy is out on current number, IP lose one and PP gain one.

[Deleted]

Oct 28, 2017 22:25:01 GMT tamar said:

Oct 28, 2017 22:23:04 GMT @odo said:

Previous election. 

....well, no, they're not, they're showing changes from the previous election despite no results apparently being in yet. I presume it's some sort of projection but I was hoping someone might know what it is actually based on.

Its real numbers now (the c. 20% from South). 

(it was previous elections before)

[Deleted]

10% in from NE. IP and Vidreisn each lose one. Centre gain 2, Pirates lose one and SDA win one. 

[Deleted]

SW numbers (c. 18%). BF lose 2 , SDA win 1, LG win one. Pirates lose one, Centre win one.

[Deleted]

Reykjavik S, c. 13.5%

BF lose 1, Vidreins lose 1, IP lose 1, Peoples win 1 (8.9%!), Centre win one, Pirates lose 1, SDA win 2.

[Deleted]

Reykjavik North c. 13.5%

LG at 21.5%

BF lose 1, Pirates lose 1, SDA win 1 and Peoples win 1 (7.6%)

[Deleted]

First national prognosis

BF lose 4
PP lose 2
Vidreis lose 3
IP lose 3
Pirates lose 5

FF win 4
Centre win 7
SDA win 5
LG win 1

[Deleted]

IP at 26.2%

Their attack ads cut down LG and stalled SDA, but their own result isn't impressive. The winners are the populists from Centre and Peoples.

[Deleted]

NW c. 15% (first result)

PP lose 1, Peoples win 1, Pirates lose 1, Centre win 1

SDA slightly bigger than LG - which is weird for NW.