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Post by Robert Waller on Aug 4, 2017 13:09:57 GMT
Well, I actually intended to give the No Description a slightly higher percentage, as he had stood for the parliamentary seat and is a former councillor (some time ago), but I managed to forget which was nominated as an Independent!
Only a couple of per cent difference, but given that the week looks very close on my rough calculations between Lifeless, Tiger and myself, it may affect the 'winner' (not that I'd mind at all if one of the newcomers won).
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Post by middleenglander on Aug 4, 2017 14:30:25 GMT
For the first week:Authority | Charnwood | Kings Lynn &
West Norfolk | Sevenoaks | Swale | Thanet | Worthing | Week 1 | Week 1 | Ward | Loughborough
Shelthorpe | St Margarets with
St Nicholas | Penshurst,
Fordscombe &
Chiddingstone
| Milton Regis | Margate Central | Marine | faults | position | cherrycoffin | 7.3
| 35.5+10
| 43.5
| 35.0+1 | 43.0
| 17.3+10
| 202.6
| 5th
| Clyde1998 | 11.3
| 39.5+10
| 29.5
| 20.0
| 45.2
| 34.7+10
| 200.2
| 4th
| David Boothroyd | 8.6
| 39.5+10
| 29.6
| 39.8+10
| 31.2
| 37.3+10
| 215.9
| 10th
| greenrobinhood | 7.3
| 39.5+10
| 45.5
| 32.0
| 43.2
| 19.3+10
| 206.8
| 8th
| hempie | 20.6
| 21.5+10
| 35.6
| 42.0
| 41.2
| 28.7+10
| 209.5
| 9th
| lifeless | 4.4
| 27.5+10
| 27.6
| 28.0
| 40.3
| 32.7+10
| 180.5
| 2nd
| Mark Senior | 14.4
| 25.5+10
| 35.5
| 40.0
| 43.5
| 26.7+10
| 205.6
| 7th
| Robert Waller | 7.3
| 27.9+10
| 9.5
| 36.0
| 37.7
| 38.7+10
| 177.1
| 1st
| tiger76 | 10.4
| 31.5
| 35.5
| 30.0
| 45.0
| 21.3+10
| 183.7
| 3rd
| Yellow Peril | 6.6
| 39.5+10
| 33.6
| 39.6
| 39.5
| 26.7+10
| 205.5
| 6th
| Total faults | 98.2
| 327.6+90
| 325.3
| 342.1+1+10
| 409.8
| 283.4+100
| 1,987.4
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Objections please by noon Sunday. There are no by-elections next week but 4 the following Thursday. Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am Thursday 17 August.
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Post by hempie on Aug 16, 2017 19:26:18 GMT
Aylesbury Vale, Riverside : Con 43, Lab 24, LD 20, UKIP 11, Green 2
Aylesbury Vale , Southcourt: LD 34, Lab 27, Con 26, UKIP 10, Green 3
Forest Heath , St Mary's: Con 58, Lab 34, Green 8
Peterborough, Park : Lab 50, Con 31, Green 8, LD 6, UKIP 5
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Post by yellowperil on Aug 16, 2017 20:29:52 GMT
Aylesbury Vale, Riverside: Con 35, Lab 32, LD 20, UKIP 10, Green 3
Aylesbury Vale, Southcourt: LD 33, Lab 28, Con 24, UKIP 10, Green 5
Forest Heath, St Marys: Con 55, Lab 40, Green 5
Peterborough, Park: Lab 42, Con 36, Green 10, UKIP 8, LD 4
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Post by marksenior on Aug 16, 2017 20:50:04 GMT
Aylesbury Riverside Con 36 Lab 33 LD 18 UKIP 11 Green 2
Aylesbury Southcourt LD 39 Lab 27 Con 22 UKIP 8 Green 4
Forest Heath Con 49 Lab 42 Green 9
Peterborough Lab 43 Con 36 Green 7 UKIP 7 LD 7
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Post by cherrycoffin on Aug 16, 2017 21:01:35 GMT
Aylesbury Riverside CON 37 LAB 33 LIB 20 UKIP 7 GRE 3
Aylesbury Southcourt LIB 35 CON 29 LAB 26 UKIP 6 GRE 4
Forest Heath LAB 47 CON 45 GRE 8
Peterborough LAB 46 CON 35 LIB 10 GRE 5 UKIP 4
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Post by greenhert on Aug 16, 2017 21:07:50 GMT
Aylesbury DC, Riverside: Conservative 42, Labour 30, Liberal Democrats 15,UKIP 10, Green 3.
Aylesbury DC, Southcourt: Liberal Democrats 38, Labour 30, Conservative 24, UKIP 5, Green 3.
Forest Heath DC, St Mary's: Conservative 52, Labour 40, Green 8.
Peterborough UA, Park: Labour 45, Conservative 38, Green 7, Liberal Democrats 5, UKIP 5.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Aug 16, 2017 22:38:23 GMT
AYLESBURY VALE Riverside: C 42, Lab 32, L Dem 17, UKIP 5, GP 4
AYLESBURY VALE Southcourt: Lab 32, C 27, L Dem 25, GP 9, UKIP 7
FOREST HEATH St Mary's: Lab 40, C 36, GP 6
PETERBOROUGH Park: Lab 48, C 38, GP 7, UKIP 4, L Dem 3
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Post by Robert Waller on Aug 16, 2017 23:07:13 GMT
Aylesbury Vale, Riverside: Con 30, Lab 26, LD 31, UKIP 10, Green 3
Aylesbury Vale, Southcourt: LD 42, Lab 32, Con 17, UKIP 6, Green 3
Forest Heath, St Marys: Con 60, Lab 35, Green 5
Peterborough, Park: Lab 49, Con 40, Green 3, UKIP 3, LD 5
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clyde1998
SNP
Green (E&W) member; SNP supporter
Posts: 1,765 
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Post by clyde1998 on Aug 17, 2017 3:18:07 GMT
Aylesbury Vale; Riverside - Con 36%; Lab 31%; Lib 20%; UKIP 10%; Grn 3%
Aylesbury Vale; Southcourt - Con 25%; Lab 28%; Lib 37%; UKIP 6%; Grn 4%
Forest Heath; St Mary's - Con 52%; Lab 41%; Grn 7%
Peterborough; Park - Con 34%; Lab 47%; Lib 8%; UKIP 5%; Grn 6%
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Post by Lifeless on Aug 17, 2017 9:29:44 GMT
Aylesbury Vale, Riverside - Con 40%; Lab 36%; Lib Dem 19%; Green 3%; UKIP 2%
Aylesbury Vale, Southcourt - Lib Dem 38%; Lab 29%; Con 25%; UKIP 4%; Green 4%
Forest Heath, St Mary's - Con 48%; Lab 45%; Green 7%
Peterborough, Park - Lab 47%; Con 34%; Lib Dem 11%; Green 6%; UKIP 2%
I forgot to submit last night AHHH! Oh well.
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Post by middleenglander on Aug 17, 2017 20:09:21 GMT
9 entries this week with nothing from tiger76. David Boothroyd gets 18 additional faults for adding only to 82% in Forest Heath, St Mary's whilst Lifeless gets 4 x 10 additional faults for being almost 2 hours late on parade.
Aylesbury Vale, Riverside: 8 Conservative hold, majority over Labour from 3% (Mark Senior & Yellow Peril) to 19% (hempie), Robert Waller Liberal Democrat gain
Aylesbury Vale, Southcourt: 8 Liberal Democrat, majority from 5% (Yellow Peril over Labour) to 12% (Mark Senior over Labour), David Boothroyd Labour gain
Forest Heath, St Mary's: 7 Conservative hold, majority over Labour from 3% (Lifeless) to 25% (Robert Waller), cherrycoffin and David Boothroyd Labour gain
Peterborough, Park: 100% Labour hold, majority over Conservative from 6% (Yellow Peril) to 19% (hempie)
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Post by carlton43 on Aug 17, 2017 20:20:09 GMT
I think this is right...  Charnwood BC, Loughborough Shelthorpe - Lab 45%; Con 40%; Lib 10%; UKIP 5% Kings Lynn & West Norfolk BC, St Margarets with St Nicholas - Lab 44%; Con 42%; Lib 9%; Grn 5% Sevenoaks DC, Penshurst, Fordscombe & Chiddingstone - Con 45%; Lib 33%; Lab 22% Swale BC, Milton Regis - Lab 48%; Con 28%; Lib 14%; UKIP 10% Thanet DC, Margate Central - Lab 36%; Con 31%; UKIP 15%; Lib 9%; Grn 5%; Ind 2%; NoD 2% Worthing BC, Marine - Con 49% 50%; Lab 24% 30%; Lib 12% 14%; UKIP 10%; Grn 5% 6% Glad to see you managed to catch up with the error in Worthing. When I said it looked as though you had sight of my 1st draft on paper - yes I'd made that mistake too. You and Lifeless must have ESP. Now nobody will be handbagged by Worthing (Wildean allusion) for that error anyway First Class YP! |
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Post by Robert Waller on Aug 17, 2017 23:48:31 GMT
I feel a convincing victory for Clyde coming through this week ...
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Post by middleenglander on Aug 18, 2017 1:18:33 GMT
For second week of by-elections:Authority | Week 1 | Aylesbury Vale | Aylesbury Vale | Forest Heath | Peterborough | Week 2 | Week 2 | Month
to date | Month
to date | Ward | faults | Riverside | Southcourt | St Mary's | Park | faults | position | faults | position | Robert Waller | 177.1 | 13.3+10
| 32.5
| 19.7
| 5.3
| 80.8
| 5th
| 257.9
| 1st
| lifeless | 180.5 | 35.0+10 | 15.4+10 | 8.1+10 | 22.9+10 | 121.3
| 8th
| 301.8
| 8th
| tiger76 | 183.7 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 400 | 10th | 583.7 | 10th
| Clyde1998 | 200.2 | 25.9
| 15.1
| 3.8
| 16.9
| 61.7
| 1st
| 261.9
| 2nd
| cherrycoffin | 202.6 | 25.9
| 11.1
| 12.1+10
| 18.9
| 77.9
| 4th
| 280.6
| 5th
| Yellow Peril | 205.5 | 25.9
| 23.6
| 9.7
| 22.7
| 81.9
| 6th
| 287.4
| 6th
| Mark Senior | 205.6 | 31.2
| 20.5
| 2.3
| 20.7
| 74.7
| 3rd
| 280.4
| 4th
| greenrobinhood | 206.8 | 35.9
| 18.5
| 3.7
| 12.9
| 71.0
| 2nd
| 277.8
| 3rd
| hempie | 209.5 | 27.6
| 21.1
| 15.7
| 17.8
| 82.1
| 7th
| 291.6
| 7th
| David Boothroyd | 215.9 | 33.0
| 33.6+10
| 18.0+10+18
| 9.2 | 131.7
| 9th
| 347.6
| 9th
| Total faults | 1,987.4 | 353.5+10+10
| 291.4+10+10
| 193.1+10+18+20
| 247.2+10
| 1,183.3
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| 3,170.7
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Objection please by 5.00 pm Saturday. There are no by-elections next week, but two the following week - 1 on a Tuesday and 1 on the Thursday. Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am on day of the by-election.
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Post by yellowperil on Aug 18, 2017 7:18:20 GMT
Congratulations to Clyde for taking the trophy for this week and to Robert for hanging on to the overall lead.I'm not getting any better at this prediction lark- I think I'm managing to get middling scores not by predicting correctly but by doing the boring things right like posting on time and adding up to 100, which some of you youngsters forget to do. My main hope for improving my position next time will be the fact that it's on a Tuesday, and I'm sure middleenglander will deal sternly with anyone posting their predictions just before 9am Thursday morning. edit: I notice that lifeless drops to 8th but without the time faults would still be second so that;s how close it all is  |
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Post by Lifeless on Aug 18, 2017 10:01:40 GMT
Oof, those time faults hit me hard, and not a super great week for me in predictions either. Oh well that will teach me for being late.  |
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clyde1998
SNP
Green (E&W) member; SNP supporter
Posts: 1,765
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Post by clyde1998 on Aug 18, 2017 21:49:52 GMT
A surprisingly good week for me this time. Does anyone know why there's a by-election on Tuesday next week?
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Post by Robert Waller on Aug 20, 2017 20:21:18 GMT
Tuesday 29th I think, Clyde.
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Post by Robert Waller on Aug 28, 2017 22:35:04 GMT
Scarborough Mulgrave
Ind 38 C 37 Lab 20 Yorkshire 5
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