Adrian
Co-operative Party
Posts: 1,742 
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Post by Adrian on Jun 30, 2017 2:38:17 GMT
*Dawdon
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,312
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Post by maxque on Jun 30, 2017 6:15:53 GMT
Derby, West Lancashire is reported as a OWL gain over Con.
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,312
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Post by maxque on Jun 30, 2017 7:55:57 GMT
Derby, West Lancashire
OWL 705 (42.4%; +0.6)
Lab 596 (35.8%; -1.0)
Con 362 (21.8%; +4.2)
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Post by finsobruce on Jun 30, 2017 8:35:00 GMT
Derby, West Lancashire is reported as a OWL gain over Con. Owl gain. what a hoot. i'll get my binoculars. |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jun 30, 2017 8:38:10 GMT
And I predicted it would go Labour - what a twit. To who is the victory due?
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timmullen1
Labour
Closing account as BossMan declines to respond to messages seeking support.
Posts: 11,823
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Post by timmullen1 on Jun 30, 2017 9:40:50 GMT
And I predicted it would go Labour - what a twit. To who is the victory due? Looks like OWL have some strength in the Ward having won it last time. Their candidate also fought the County Division in May so perhaps had some l ft over name recognition. |
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Post by yellowperil on Jun 30, 2017 10:12:19 GMT
Looks like OWL have some strength in the Ward having won it last time. Their candidate also fought the County Division in May so perhaps had some l ft over name recognition. hence the massive collapse of the Conservative vote -21.8 % in a defence of their own seat. If the local Tories are that disgruntled someone had better explore their gruntle. |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,979
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Post by The Bishop on Jun 30, 2017 10:15:48 GMT
That change is from 2014, not the most recent contest last year (when OWL won)
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Crimson King
Lib Dem
Be nice to each other and sing in tune
Posts: 9,851
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Post by Crimson King on Jun 30, 2017 11:01:21 GMT
And I predicted it would go Labour - what a twit. To who is the victory due? Influence of the Tawney society? |
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Post by Merseymike on Jun 30, 2017 12:16:02 GMT
Lets not get too carried away, either - Derby ward is usually a very safe Tory ward, which can be more marginal on GE turnout, but we didn't manage to take it in 2010. OWL was started by a former Tory who resigned from the Tories, but certainly from his blog, he couldn't really be described as partial to either Labour or the Tories these days....
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Post by Robert Waller on Jun 30, 2017 12:44:09 GMT
From Britain Elects:
Dowdon (Durham) result:
LAB: 52.3% (+6.2)
SC: 47.7% (+10.8)
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thetop
Labour
[k4r]
Posts: 945
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Post by thetop on Jun 30, 2017 13:07:38 GMT
Lets not get too carried away, either - Derby ward is usually a very safe Tory ward, which can be more marginal on GE turnout, but we didn't manage to take it in 2010. OWL was started by a former Tory who resigned from the Tories, but certainly from his blog, he couldn't really be described as partial to either Labour or the Tories these days.... I wouldn't be surprised to see Labour underperform in council by-elections anyway, and not reflect the improved national position well, because the demographics of the minority that vote in these are likely not particularly Labour-friendly. |
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Post by middleenglander on Jun 30, 2017 14:13:34 GMT
Durham Dawdon - Labour hold | Party | 2017 B votes | 2017 B share | since 2017 "top" | since 2017 "average" | since 2013 "top" | since 2013 "average" | Labour | 693 | 52.3% | +6.2% | +4.8% | -5.1% | -3.7% | Seaham Community ^ | 633 | 47.7% | +10.8% | +13.4% | from nowhere | from nowhere | Conservative |
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| -10.9% | -11.7% |
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| Green |
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| -6.1% | -6.5% |
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| Independent ^ |
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| -42.6% | -44.0% | Total votes | 1,326 |
| 69% | 74% | 68% | 70% |
^ The Seaham Community candidate in both the by-election and the May election stood as an Independent in 2013 Swing Labour to Seaham Community ~ 2¼% / 4¼% since May and if meaningful some 5% / 3¾% away from Labour since 2013 Council now 74 Labour, 28 various Independent / Resident Groups, 14 Liberal Democrat, 10 Conservative Eastleigh, Hedge End Grange Park - Liberal Democrat hold | Party | 2017 votes | 2017 share | since 2015 | since 2014 | since 2011 | since 2010 | Liberal Democrat | 668 | 56.5% | +15.5% | -3.4% | +4.7% | -6.0% | Conservative | 316 | 26.7% | -10.9% | from nowhere | +1.8% | -3.6% | Labour | 144 | 12.2% | +0.9% | +0.1% | +2.6% | +7.6% | Green | 41 | 3.5% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | UKIP | 14 | 1.2% | -9.0% | -26.9% | -3.8% | -1.4% | Independent |
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| -8.8% |
| Total votes | 1,183 |
| 29% | 68% | 59% | 32% |
Swing Conservative to Liberal Democrat 13.2% since 2015 and ~1½% since 2011 but Liberal Democrat to Conservative ~1¼% since 2010 Council now 38 Liberal Democrat, 6 Conservative Waltham Forest, William Morris - Labour hold | Party | 2017 votes | 2017 share | since 2014 "top" | since 2014 "average" | since 2010 "top" | since 2010 "average" | | Labour | 1.923 | 68.4% | +11.5% | +10.2% | +25.2% | +24.8% | Green | 524 | 18.6% | +1.8% | +1.0% | +6.2% | +5.6% | Conservative | 365 | 13.0% | +6.2% | +6.6%
| +2.6% | +2.6% | UKIP |
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| -7.8% | -8.1% |
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| Liberal Democrat |
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| -7.4% | -5.8% | -30.0% | -28.9% | TUSC |
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| -4.3% | -3.9% | -4.0% | -4.2% | Total votes | 2,812 |
| 66% | 69% | 50% | 51% |
Swing Green to Labour 4.9% / 4.6% since 2014 but not meaningful since 2010 when Liberal Democrats were a strong runner-up Council now 43 Labour, 16 Conservative, 1 Independent West Lancashire, Derby - Our West Lancashire gain from Conservative| Party | 2017 votes | 2017 share | since 2016 | since 2015 | since 2014 | since 2012 | | Our West Lancashire | 705 | 42.4% | +0.6% | +28.5% | from nowhere | from nowhere | Labour | 596 | 35.8% | -1.0% | +0.4% | +0.6% | +2.2% | Conservative | 362 | 21.8% | +4.2% | -10.0% | -28.3% | -29.9% | Green |
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| -3.7% | -9.7% | -14.7% | -9.4% | UKIP |
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| -9.1% |
| -5.3% | Total votes | 1,663 |
| 86% | 50% | 100% | 97% |
Swing Labour to Our West Lancashire ~ ¾% since 2016 and ~ 14% since 2015 when Labour gained the seat Council now 31 Labour, 21 Conservative, 2 Our West Lancashire
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Post by middleenglander on Jun 30, 2017 14:16:52 GMT
From Britain Elects: Dowdon (Durham) result: LAB: 52.3% (+6.2) SC: 47.7% (+10.8) Labour 693, Seaham Community 633 The first runner carrying the result was eaten by wolves on the outskirts of Durham. The second managed to get through but they are still working out how to post the full result on the website. |
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Post by Arthur Figgis on Jun 30, 2017 15:31:40 GMT
Everybody should have his own owl.
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Post by Merseymike on Jul 1, 2017 7:58:18 GMT
Lets not get too carried away, either - Derby ward is usually a very safe Tory ward, which can be more marginal on GE turnout, but we didn't manage to take it in 2010. OWL was started by a former Tory who resigned from the Tories, but certainly from his blog, he couldn't really be described as partial to either Labour or the Tories these days.... I wouldn't be surprised to see Labour underperform in council by-elections anyway, and not reflect the improved national position well, because the demographics of the minority that vote in these are likely not particularly Labour-friendly. Also, while there aren't a lot of students on the campus who are actually resident, without them the ward is undoubtedly Tory. OWL appear to have fired their bullets pretty equally against the two groups on the council |
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Post by tonygreaves on Jul 5, 2017 18:13:19 GMT
And I predicted it would go Labour - what a twit. To who is the victory due? Not a twit, a hoot... |
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