Byelections 29th June

[Robert Waller]

In the hope that some kind soul will add the usual statistics and historical election results, and as a remember to myself and maybe others not to forget the Prediction Competition this week, I cut and paste the following from Middleenglander in another thread:

29 June - 4
Durham UA, Dowdon - Labour not eligible - 2 candidates: Lab, Seaham Community
Eastleigh BC, Hedge End Grange Park - Liberal Democrat resigned - 5 candidates: Con, Lab, LD, Green, UKIP
Waltham Forest LB, William Morris - Labour died - 3 candidates: Con, Lab, Green
West Lancashire BC, Derby - Conservative resigned - 3 candidates: Con, Lab, Our West Lancs

[marksenior]

Durham Dawden

2017 May result Lab 886/812 Seaham Comm 710/520 Con 209 Green 117
2013 result Lab 1115/993 Ind 729

Eastleigh Hedge End Grange Park

2015 LD 1649 Con 1512 Lab 452 UKIP 408
2014 LD 1035 UKIP 485 Lab 208
2011 LD 1039 Con 501 Lab 193 Ind 176 UKIP 100
2010 LD 2306 Con 1117 Lab 169 UKIP 97
2007 LD 882 Con 473 Lab 54 UKIP 46
2006 LD 1019 Con 562 Lab 46 UKIP 39
2003 LD 618 Con 461 Lab 46
2002 LD 750/695 Con 526/457

Waltham Forest William Morris

2014 Lab 2441/2421/2287 Green 724 UKIP 333 LD 317/222/176 Con 290/256/233 TUSC 185/149/142
2010 Lab 2467/2387/2300 LD 1714/1543/1487 Green 713 Con 596/592/508 TUSC 208
2006 Lab 1421/1409/1253 LD 1288/1217/1144 Green 496 Con 322/319/293
2002 Lab 1326/1285/1256 LD 648/554/505 Con 391/363/303 Soc All 256

West Lancs Derby

2016 OWL 806 Lab 710 Con 339 Green 72
2015 Lab 1177 Con 1055 OWL 460 Green 323 UKIP 302
2014 Con 832 Lab 585 Green 245
2012 Con 883 Lab 575 Green 160 UKIP 91
2011 Con 1002 Lab 674 Green 219
2010 Con 1396 Lab 1195 Green 445
2008 Con 904 Lab 336 Green 223
2007 Con 792 Lab 367 Green 225
2006 Con 867 Lab 394 Green 237
2004 Con 987 Lab 550 Ormskirk 298 LD 190 Green 146
2003 Con 618 Lab 541 Green 141
2002 Con 811/750/734 Lab 610/571 Green 321

[Deleted]

This kind soul has been working overtime so was going to get the thread some tomorrow night. I'll try my best to sort it all out. Thanks Mark for the past results

[Harry Hayfield]

Jun 26, 2017 18:03:16 GMT marksenior said:

Durham Dawden

2017 May result Lab 886/812 Seaham Comm 710/520 Con 209 Green 117
2013 result Lab 1115/993 Ind 729

Eastleigh Hedge End Grange Park

2015 LD 1649 Con 1512 Lab 452 UKIP 408
2014 LD 1035 UKIP 485 Lab 208
2011 LD 1039 Con 501 Lab 193 Ind 176 UKIP 100
2010 LD 2306 Con 1117 Lab 169 UKIP 97
2007 LD 882 Con 473 Lab 54 UKIP 46
2006 LD 1019 Con 562 Lab 46 UKIP 39
2003 LD 618 Con 461 Lab 46
2002 LD 750/695 Con 526/457

Waltham Forest William Morris

2014 Lab 2441/2421/2287 Green 724 UKIP 333 LD 317/222/176 Con 290/256/233 TUSC 185/149/142
2010 Lab 2467/2387/2300 LD 1714/1543/1487 Green 713 Con 596/592/508 TUSC 208
2006 Lab 1421/1409/1253 LD 1288/1217/1144 Green 496 Con 322/319/293
2002 Lab 1326/1285/1256 LD 648/554/505 Con 391/363/303 Soc All 256

West Lancs Derby

2016 OWL 806 Lab 710 Con 339 Green 72
2015 Lab 1177 Con 1055 OWL 460 Green 323 UKIP 302
2014 Con 832 Lab 585 Green 245
2012 Con 883 Lab 575 Green 160 UKIP 91
2011 Con 1002 Lab 674 Green 219
2010 Con 1396 Lab 1195 Green 445
2008 Con 904 Lab 336 Green 223
2007 Con 792 Lab 367 Green 225
2006 Con 867 Lab 394 Green 237
2004 Con 987 Lab 550 Ormskirk 298 LD 190 Green 146
2003 Con 618 Lab 541 Green 141
2002 Con 811/750/734 Lab 610/571 Green 321

Emboldened election is last election where councillor that caused by-election stood

[Deleted]

Durham
Dowdon



Bob ARTHUR (Seaham Community Party)
Leanne KENNEDY (Labour Party)

Eastleigh
Hedge End Grange Park



Rosanna CAMPBELL (The Green Party)
Keith DAY (Labour Party)
Joy HAYTHORNE (Conservative Party Candidate)
Peter HOUSE (UK Independence Party (UKIP))
Clifford MORRIS (Liberal Democrat)

LB Waltham Forest
William Morris


Afzal AKRAM (The Conservative Party Candidate)
Umar ALI (Labour Party)
Rebecca TULLY (Green Party)

West Lancashire
Derby


Ian DAVIS (Our West Lancashire)
Jane HOULGRAVE (The Conservative Party Candidate)
George OLIVER (Labour Party)

[yellowperil]

Hedge End Grange Park - is the surname of the UKIP candidate significant?

[Robert Waller]

In the map of West Lancashire Derby ward, I believe those splodges north east of St Helens Road to be Edge Hill university.

[nigelashton]

Jun 28, 2017 7:43:01 GMT Robert Waller said:

In the map of West Lancashire Derby ward, I believe those splodges north east of St Helens Road to be Edge Hill university.

Correct. Edge Hill University occupies most of the area between St Helens Road and Ruff Lane.

[timmullen1]

As we await a result here are Andrew's previews britainelects.com/2017/06/28/by-election-previews-29th-june-2017/

[Davıd Boothroyd]

Turnout in William Morris ward is 34.5%.

[Davıd Boothroyd]

Reported that Labour has held Dawdon:

www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=10155581650642873

[maxque]

The CLP Easington Labour website reports an Lab hold in Dawdon.

[maxque]

LAB Hold in William Morris, Waltham Forest.

[finsobruce]

Jun 29, 2017 22:13:46 GMT Davıd Boothroyd said:

Turnout in William Morris ward is 34.5%.

Ah, "news from nowhere", or rather somewhere.

[marksenior]

Eastleigh LD hold

LD 668
Con 316
Lab 144
Green 41
UKIP 14

[Robert Waller]

Hedge End Grange Park (Eastleigh) result:

LDEM: 56.5% (-3.4)
CON: 26.7% (+26.7)
LAB: 12.2% (+0.1)
GRN: 3.5% (+3.5)
UKIP: 1.2% (-26.9)

HOLD

[manchesterman]

Hedge End Grange Park

LD 56.5% (-3.4)
Con 26.7% (+26.7)
Lab 12.2% (+0.1)
Green 3.5% |(+3.5)
UKIP 1,2% (-26.9)

[maxque]

Jun 29, 2017 22:43:52 GMT marksenior said:

Eastleigh LD hold

LD 668
Con 316
Lab 144
Green 41
UKIP 14

LD 56.5% (+15.5)
Con 26.7% (-10.9)
Lab 12.2% (+1.0)
Grn 3.5% 
UKIP 1.2% (-8.9)

[marksenior]

Jun 29, 2017 22:44:45 GMT Robert Waller said:

Hedge End Grange Park (Eastleigh) result:

LDEM: 56.5% (-3.4)
CON: 26.7% (+26.7)
LAB: 12.2% (+0.1)
GRN: 3.5% (+3.5)
UKIP: 1.2% (-26.9)

HOLD

Those changes are from 2014 not last time fought which was 2015

[maxque]

William Morris, Waltham Forest:

Lab 1923 (68.4%; +11.5)
Grn 524 (18.6%; +1.7)
Con 365 (13.0%; +6.2)