|
Post by middleenglander on Oct 21, 2022 12:32:28 GMT
Mumbles: Mayals - Swansea
312 Labour 216 Conservative
Labour gain from Conservative.
May result was 2 Conservative, 1 Labour elected Conservatives had 3 candidates, Labour 1. Labour polled 598 against Conservatives 521 / 423 / 395
The new Labour councillor contested the Newton ward in May
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on Oct 21, 2022 10:23:37 GMT
Ammanford: Iscennen - Carmarthenshire
123 Plaid Cymru 83 Labour
Plaid Cymru gain from Labour.
May result was 2 Plaid Cymru, 2 Labour elected Plaid Cymru had 4 candidates, Labour 2. Labour polled 252 / 246 against Plaid Cymru 249 / 178 / 157 / 136
The new Plaid Cymru councillor contested the Pantyffynnon ward in May---------
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on Oct 21, 2022 0:03:28 GMT
Broadland: Thorpe St Andrew North West - Labour gain from ConservativeParty | 2022 votes | 2022 share | since 2019 "top" | since 2019 "average" | since 2015 "top" | since 2015 "average2 | Labour | 860 | 51.8% | +22.8% | +21.7% | +22.5% | +23.9% | Conservative | 635 | 38.3% | -17.9% | -16.4% | -4.9% | -4.6% | Liberal Democrat | 165 | 9.9% | -4.9% | -5.4% | = | +0.2% | UKIP |
|
|
|
| -17.7% | -19.4% | Total votes | 1,660 |
| 79% | 83% | 34% | 37% |
Swing: Conservative to Labour 20¼% / 19% since 2019 and 13¾% / 14¼% since 2015 Council now: 30 Conservative, 12 Liberal Democrat, 3 Labour, 2 Green Fareham: Porchester East - Conservative gain from Liberal DemocratParty | 2022 B votes | 2022 B share | since 2022 "top" | since 2022 "average" | since 2021 | since 2018 "top" | since 2018 "average" | Conservative | 957 | 37.6% | +3.0% | +3.0% | -2.5% | +8.2% | +9.4% | Liberal Democrat | 932 | 36.6% | -14.2% | -13.9% | -7.8% | -23.8% | -24.4% | Labour | 379 | 14.9% | +4.5% | +4.4% | +3.5% | +4.7% | +4.2% | Fareham Independent | 275 | 10.8% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Independent |
|
| -4.2% | -4.3% | -4.1% |
|
| Total votes | 2,543 |
| 73% | 76% | 72% | 76% | 82% |
Swing: Liberal Democrat to Conservative 8½% since May, 2¾% since 2021 and 16% / 17% since 2018 Council now: 26 Conservative, 4 Liberal Democrat, 1 Independent Guildford: Tillingbourne - Liberal Democrat gain from Conservativevotes something like Party | 2022 votes | 2022 share | since 2019 "top" | since 2019 "average" | since 2015 "top" | since 2015 "average" | Liberal Democrat | 636 | 46.5% | +16.3% | +15.7% | +33.8% | +34.3% | Conservative | 293 | 21.4% | -15.2% | -13.9% | -33.5% | -32.2% | Residents for Guildford & Villages | 185 | 13.5% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Green | 168 | 12.3% | -20.8% | -21.5% | from nowhere | from nowhere | Labour | 85 | 6.2% | from nowhere | from nowhere | -2.5% | -2.4% | Guildford Green Belt Group |
|
|
|
| -23.7% | -25.5% | Total votes | 1,367 |
| 61% | 62% | 36% | 39% |
Swing: Conservative to Liberal Democrat 15¾% / 14½% since 2019 and, if meaningful, 33½% since 2015 Council now: 17 Liberal Democrat, 15 Residents for Guildford & Villages, 8 Conservative, 4 Guildford Green Belt Group, 2 Labour, 1 Green, 1 Independent Monmouthshire: Devauden - Conservative hold Party | 2022 B votes | 2022 B share | since 2022 | since 2017 | since 2012 | Conservative | 268 | 40.5% | -8.8% | -29.0% | -29.0% | Labour | 210 | 31.8% | +1.1% | +1.3% | Row 3 column 6 | Independent | 119 | 18.0% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Green | 41 | 6.2% | -4.0% | from nowhere | from nowhere | Liberal Democrat | 23 | 3.5% | -6.3% | from nowhere | -27.0% | Total votes | 661 |
| 102% | 115% | 131% |
Swing: Labour to Conservative 5% since May and, if meaningful, 15% since 2017 Council now: 22 Labour, 18 Conservative, 5 Independent Group St Helens: Moss Bank - Labour hold Party | 2022 B votes | 2022 B share | since 2022 "top" | since 2022 "average" |
| since 2021 * | since 2019 * | Labour | 656 | 50.3% | -1.7% | -0.7% |
| +1.0% | +9.8% | Liberal Democrat | 571 | 43.8% | +27.1% | +27.2% |
| +33.4% | +29.9% | Conservative | 78 | 6.0% | -11.3% | -11.9% |
| -21.3% | -4.9% | Independent |
|
| -14.1% | -14.6% |
|
| -6.1% | Green |
|
|
|
|
| -13.1% | -12.1% | UKIP |
|
|
|
|
|
| -16.5% | Total votes | 1,305 |
| 44% | 45% | | 56% | 54% |
* minor boundary changes Swing: Labour to Liberal Democrat 14½% / 14% since May and, if meaningful, 16% since 2021 and 10% since 2019 Council now: 29 Labour, 6 Green, 4 Liberal Democrat, 3 The Independents, 2 Conservative, 2 Billinge & Seneley Group, 2 Newton & Willows Independent
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on Oct 14, 2022 9:06:14 GMT
Epping Forest: Waltham Abbey South West - Conservative gainParty | 2022 votes | 2022 share | since 2021 | since 2019 | since 2016 | since 2015 | Conservative | 260 | 55.2% | -13.9% | +17.2% | +13.6% | +9.2% | Green | 211 | 44.8% | +39.6% | -17.2% | +21.2% | +31.4% | Labour |
|
| -19.8% |
|
|
| For Britain |
|
| -5.8% |
|
|
| UKIP |
|
|
|
| -34.9% | -31.6% | Liberal Democrat |
|
|
|
|
| -9.0% | Total votes | 471 |
| 57% | 59% | 63% | 26% |
Swing: Green to Conservative 17¼% since 2019 but Conservative to Green if particularly meaningful 26¾% since 2021, 3¾% since 2016 and 11% since 2015 Council now: 36 Conservative, 13 Loughton Residents, 4 Liberal Democrat, 2 Green, 2 Independent, 1 British Democrat Gloucester: Tuffley - Conservative hold Party | 2022 votes | 2022 share | since 2021 "top" | since 2021 "average" | since 2016 "top" | since 2016 "average" | Conservative | 502 | 34.9% | -13.5% | -13.6% | -8.4% | -9.8% | Liberal Democrat | 487 | 33.8% | +28.3% | +28.0% | from nowhere | from nowhere | Labour | 451 | 31.3% | -2.7% | -3.5% | -0.1% | +2.5% | Independent |
|
| -12.1% | -11.0% |
|
| UKIP |
|
|
|
| -17.8% | -18.7% | Green |
|
|
|
| -7.5% | -7.8% | Total votes | 1,440 |
| 92% | 97% | 93% | 97% |
Swing: Conservative to Liberal Democrat 21% since 2021 Council now: 24 Conservative, 11 Liberal Democrat, 3 Labour, 1 Independent Hartlepool: Trostan - Labour hold Party | 2022 B votes | 2022 B share | since 2022 | since 2021 "top" | since 2021 "average" | Labour | 450 | 50.8% | +0.1% | +14.9% | +16.1% | Independent | 280 | 31.6% | +4.7% | -10.6% | -10.3% | Conservative | 124 | 14.0% | -8.5% | from nowhere | from nowhere | Liberal Democrat | 32 | 3.6% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Reform |
|
|
| -22.0% | -23.4% | Total votes | 886 |
| 59% | 37% | 39% |
Swing: if entirely meaningful Labour to Independent 1¼% since May but Independent to Labour 12¾% / 13¼% since 2021
Council now: 14 Conservative, 13 Labour, 4 Independent, 2 Independent Union, 2 Putting Seaton First, 1 Hartlepool People Leicester: North Evington - Conservative gain from LabourParty | 2022 votes | 2022 share | since 2021 | since 2019 "top" | since 2019 "average" | since 2015 "top" | since 2015 "average" | Conservative | 3,441 | 49.6% | +11.4% | +32.7% | +33.2% | +32.5% | +32.2% | Green | 1,790 | 25.8% | +22.2% | +20.0% | +19.8% | +20.7% | +20.2% | Labour | 1,563 | 22.5% | -26.7% | -49.9% | -50.0% | -47.8% | -46.6% | Liberal Democrat | 100 | 1.4% | -2.1% | -3.5% | -3.7% | from nowhere | from nowhere | TUSC | 45 | 0.6% | -1.1% | from nowhere | from nowhere | -2.9% | -3.2% | Reform |
|
| -1.3% |
|
|
|
| For Britain |
|
| -1.0% |
|
|
|
| Independent |
|
| -0.9% |
|
|
|
| Communist |
|
| -0.5% |
|
|
|
| UKIP |
|
|
|
|
| -4.0% | -4.0% | Total votes | 6,939 |
| 103% | 97% | 100% | 84% | 92% |
Swing: Labour to Conservative 19% since 2021 by-election, 41½% since 2019 and ~ 40% since 2015 Council now: 49 Labour, 2 Independent, 2 Conservative, 1 Liberal Democrat Stockport: Edgley & Cheadle Heath - Labour hold Party | 2022 B votes | 2022 B share | since 2022 | since 2021 | since 2019 | since 2018 | Labour | 1,172 | 53.0% | -18.8% | -19.5% | -17.8% | -20.9% | Liberal Democrat | 840 | 38.0% | +29.7% | +32.0% | +30.1% | +29.2% | Green | 200 | 9.0% | +1.3% | +0.5% | -2.2% | +2.8% | Conservative |
|
| -10.2% | -13.0% | -10.1% | -8.1% | Reform |
|
| -2.0% |
|
|
| UKIP |
|
|
|
|
| -3.1% | Total votes | 2,212 |
| 73% | 63% | 87% | 96% |
Swing: Labour to Liberal Democrat 24¼% since May, 25¾% since 2021, 24% since 2019 and 25% since 2018 Council now: 28 Liberal Democrat, 25 Labour, 4 Conservative, 3 Independent Ratepayers, 2 Green, 1 Independent
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on Oct 7, 2022 13:53:13 GMT
Birmingham: Sparkbrook & Balsall Heath East - Labour hold Party | 2022 B votes | 2022 B share | since 2022 "top" | since 2022 "average" | since 2018 "top" | since 2018 "average" | Labour | 2,410 | 69.6% | +2.0% | +1.4% | -9.3% | -9.2% | Liberal Democrat | 517 | 14.9% | +10.6% | +10.9% | +11.2% | +11.5% | Conservative | 305 | 8.8% | -14.6% | -14.0% | -4.2% | -4.3% | Worker | 158 | 4.6% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Green | 72 | 2.1% | -2.6% | -2.9% | -2.3% | -2.5% | Total votes | 3,462 |
| 86% | 92% | 64% | 67% |
Swing: Conservative to Labour 8¼% / 7¾% since May but Labour to Conservative 2½% since 2018 - Labour to Liberal Democrat 4¼% / 4¾% since May and 10% since 2018 Council now: 65 Labour, 22 Conservative, 12 Liberal Democrat, 2 Green Bournemouth, Christchurch & Poole: Highcliffe & Walkford - Christchurch Independent wins seat previously held by Independent Party | 2022 votes | 2022 share | since 2019 "top" | since 2019 "average" | Christchurch Independent | 1,778 | 62.0% | from nowhere | from nowhere | Liberal Democrat | 571 | 19.9% | +9.5% | +9.3% | Conservative | 358 | 12.5% | -20.1% | -19.5% | Labour | 163 | 5.7% | -2.4% | -2.5% | Independent |
|
| -49.0% | -49.3% | Total votes | 2,870 |
| 78% | 83% |
Swing: not meaningful unless Independent and Christchurch Independent are comparable Council now: 36 Conservative, 13 Liberal Democrat, 7 Christchurch Independent, 5 Poole Independent, 5 Poole Local Group, 4 Bournemouth Independent (2) and Green (2), 3 Labour, 2 Independent, 1 UKIP Ceredigion: Lampter - Plaid Cymru gain from LabourParty | 2022 B votes | 2022 B share | 2022 result | since 2017 ^ | since 2012 ^ | Plaid Cymru | 291 | 39.5% |
| +22.2% | +26.1% | Liberal Democrat | 268 | 36.4% |
| from nowhere | +29.7% | Labour | 160 | 21.7% | unopposed | -25.6% | -23.3% | Independent Cowles | 18 | 2.4% |
| from nowhere | from nowhere | Independent Williams |
|
|
| -35.4% | -32.5% | Conservative |
|
|
|
| -2.5% | Total votes | 737 |
|
| not comparable | not comparable |
^ two seat ward in 2017 and 2012 on same boundaries with only 1 party / Independent candidate at each election Swing: not meaningful Council now: 21 Plaid Cymru, 9 Independent, 7 Liberal Democrat, 1 Gwlad Eastbourne: St Anthony - Liberal Democrat hold Party | 2022 votes | 2022 share | since 2019 "top" | since 2019 "average" | | since 2021 County | Liberal Democrat | 972 | 49.6% | -2.9% | -1.5% |
| -1.5% | Conservative | 513 | 26.2% | +8.3% | +8.2% |
| -7.9% | Green | 420 | 21.4% | from nowhere | from nowhere |
| +16.1% | UKIP | 55 | 2.8% | -7.5% | -8.4% |
| n / c | Independent |
|
| -9.8% | -10.6% |
|
| Labour |
|
| -9.5% | -9.2% |
| -6.7% | Total votes | 1,960 |
| 64% | 69% |
| 70% |
Swing: Liberal Democrat to Conservative 5½% / 4¾% since 2019 but Conservative to Liberal Democrat 3¼% since 2021 County Councilelections Council now: 18 Liberal Democrat, 8 Conservative, 1 Independent Mendip: Butleigh & Baltonsborough - Conservative hold Party | 2022 votes | 2022 share | since 2019 | since 2015 | since 2011 | Conservative | 393 | 50.3% | -2.3% | -10.6% | -14.0% | Liberal Democrat | 389 | 49.7% | +16.5% | +10.6% | +14.0% | Labour |
|
| -14.2% |
|
| Total votes | 782 |
| 96% | 57% | 75% |
Swing: Conservative to Liberal Democrat 9½% since 2019, 10½% since 2015 and 14% since 2011 Council now: 23 Liberal Democrat, 12 Conservative, 10 Green, 1 Independent, 1 No Party Shropshire: Bridgnorth West & Tasley: Labour gain from ConservativeParty | 2022 votes | 2022 share | since 2021 "top" | since 2021 "average" | since 2017 "top" | since 2017 "average" | Labour | 887 | 55.9% | +6.0% | +10.3% | +40.7% | +39.6% | Conservative | 480 | 30.2% | -4.5% | -7.1% | -23.2% | -21.2% | Liberal Democrat | 176 | 11.1% | -1.6% | -3.1% | -13.8% | -14.2% | Green | 45 | 2.8% | +0.2% | -0.1% | -3.7% | -4.2% | Total votes | 1,588 |
| 60% | 73% | 77% | 83% |
Swing: Conservative to Labour 5¼% / 8¾% since 2021 and 32% / 30½% since 2017 Council now: 41 Conservative, 14 Liberal Democrat, 10 Labour, 4 Green, 4 Independent, 1 Unaffiliated
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on Oct 7, 2022 0:40:54 GMT
Anyone know about Mendip Only two standing surely its over by now Swing cannot be right at 17% as Conservative majority in 2019 was 19.3% so if majority is 4 votes then swing more like 9¼%
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on Sept 30, 2022 14:04:13 GMT
Argyll & Bute: Kintyre & The Islands - Independent win therefore retaining seat based on first preference votesParty | 2022 B votes | 2022 B share | since 2022 | since 2017 | since 2012 | Independent Redman * | 591 | 32.7% | +16.3% | from nowhere | from nowhere | SNP | 525 | 29.1% | -0.8% | -0.3% | +5.6% | Liberal Democrat | 265 | 14.7% | -1.7% | -7.7% | -6.1% | Conservative | 194 | 10.7% | +1.2% | -12.4% | -10.5% | Green | 176 | 9.7% | from nowhere | +5.0% | +6.9% | Labour | 55 | 3.0% | -1.2% | -2.7% | -5.6% | Independent McAlpine |
|
| -23.5% | -14.7% | -22.4% | Independent Mcfarlane |
|
|
|
| -0.7% | Total votes | 1,806 |
| 63% | 65% | 69% |
* stood as Conservative in 2017 (elected) and 2012 (not elected) Swing: not meaningful Council now: 12 SNP, 10 Conservative, 7 Independent, 5 Liberal Democrat, 1 Labour, 1 Green Harborough: Market Harborough Logan - Liberal Democrat hold Party | 2022 votes | 2022 share | since 2019 "top" | since 2019 "average" | Liberal Democrat | 582 | 45.7% | +10.3% | +12.5% | Conservative | 382 | 30.0% | +3.2% | +2.3% | Labour | 250 | 19.6% | +10.6% | +10.3% | Independent | 60 | 4.7% | -6.3% | -6.7% | Green |
|
| -17.8% | -18.3% | Total votes | 1,274 |
| 58% | 60% |
Swing: Conservative to Liberal Democrat 3½% / 5% since 2019 Council now: 22 Conservative, 11 Liberal Democrat, 1 Labour Newark & Sherwood: Edwinstone & Clipstone - Labour gain from ConservativeParty | 2022 votes | 2022 share | since 2019 "top" | since 2019 "average" | since 2015 "top" | since 2015 "average" | Labour | 804 | 59.8% | +10.0% | +10.2% | +11.6% | +9.4% | Conservative | 540 | 40.2% | -10.0% | -10.2% | +5.3% | +6.0% | Independent |
|
|
|
| -16.9% | -15.4% | Total votes | 1,344 |
| 68% | 70% | 28% | 30% |
Swing: Conservative to Labour 10% / 10¼% since 2019 and 3¼% / 1¾% since 2015
Council now: 29 Conservative, 7 Labour, 2 Liberal Democrat, 1 Independent Oxford: Hinksey Park - Labour hold Party | 2022 B votes | 2022 B share | since 2022 | since 2021 "top" | since 2021 "average" | Labour | 801 | 51.3% | -10.6% | -4.7% | -4.7% | Green | 305 | 19.5% | -0.9% | +5.9% | +7.0% | Independent | 270 | 17.3% | from nowhere | +3.2% | +1.4% | Liberal Democrat | 118 | 7.6% | -4.1% | -3.2% | -1.9% | Conservative | 60 | 3.8% | -2.2% | -1.8% | -2.4% | TUSC | 8 | 0.5% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Total votes | 1,562 |
| 86% | 69% | 77% |
Swing: Labour to Green 4¾% since May and 5¼% / 5¾% since 2021 Council now: 32 Labour, 9 Liberal Democrat, 6 Green, 1 Independent Rhondda Cynon Taf: Ynysybwl - Plaid Cymru hold Party | 2022 B votes | 2022 B share | since 2022 "top" | since 2022 "average" | Plaid Cymru | 435 | 59.0% | +6.7% | +6.8% | Labour | 246 | 33.4% | +0.8% | +0.4% | Conservative | 34 | 4.6% | -1.2% | -1.4% | Welsh Independence | 14 | 1.9% | -7.4% | -6.9% | Green | 8 | 1.1% | from nowhere | from nowhere | Total votes | 737 |
| 61% | 64% |
Swing: Labour to Plaid Cymru 3% /3¼% since May Council now: 59 Labour, 8 Plaid Cymru, 6 Independent, 2 Conservative Rossendale: Facit & Shawforth - Conservative hold Party | 2022 votes | 2022 share | since 2021 | since 2019 | since 2016 | Conservative
| 337 | 43.5% | +12.2% | -11.6% | +9.2% | Independent | 214 | 27.6% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Labour | 203 | 26.2% | +0.5% | -18.6% | -16.8% | Green | 20 | 2.6% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Independent Whitehead |
|
| -42.9% |
|
| UKIP |
|
|
|
| -22.6% | Total votes | 774 |
| 78% | 100% | Row 8 column 6 |
Swing: not particularly meaningful Council now: 19 Labour, 11 Conservative, 3 Independent, 2 Community First, 1 Green Rossendale: Helmshore - Conservative hold Party | 2022 B votes | 2022 B share | since 2022 | since 2021 | since 2019 | since 2018 | Conservative | 736 | 50.6% | +4.0% | -1.2% | -11.3% | -6.0% | Labour | 540 | 37.1% | +0.5% | +4.9% | -1.0% | -6.3% | Green | 74 | 5.1% | -6.4% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Liberal Democrat | 62 | 4.3% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Independent Stansfield | 42 | 2.9% | -2.4% | -13.1% | from nowhere | from nowhere | Total votes | 1,454 |
| 76% | 70% | 81% | 69% |
Swing: Labour to Conservative 1¾% since May and small since 2018 but Conservative to Labour 3% since 2021 and 5¼% since 2019 Council now: 19 Labour, 11 Conservative, 3 Independent, 2 Community First, 1 Green Warrington: Grappenhall - 2 Liberal Democrat Holds Party | 2022 votes | 2022 votes average | 2022 share average | since 2021 "top" | since 2021 "average" | since 2016 "top" | since 2016 "average" | Liberal Democrat | 1,073 & 1,047 | 1,060 | 56.4% | +9.4% | +8.5% | -1.7% | -1.8% | Conservative | 524 & 462 | 493 | 26.2% | -10.8% | -8.2% | +1.1% | +2.6% | Labour | 193 | 193 | 10.3% | +1.1% | +0.1% | -6.6% | -8.0% | Green | 135 | 135 | 7.2% | +0.4% | -0.4% | from nowhere | from nowhere | Total votes | 1,925 & 1,509 | 1,881 |
| 66% | 72% | 84% | 90% |
Swing: Conservative to Liberal Democrat 10% / 8½% since 2021 but Liberal Democrat to Conservative 1½% / 2¼% since 2016 Council now: 37 Labour, 10 Conservative, 8 Liberal Democrat, 3 Independent
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on Sept 23, 2022 15:59:04 GMT
I think the Mansfield swing since 2015 is around 3% rather than 11%? Thanks, now corrected.
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on Sept 22, 2022 23:30:26 GMT
Coventry: Sherbourne - Conservative gain from LabourParty | 2022 B votes | 2022 B share | since 2022 | since 2021 | since 2019 | since 2018 | Conservative | 1,409 | 51.2% | +12.2% | +9.0% | +18.1% | +22.1% | Labour | 895 | 32.5% | -7.4% | -7.3% | -2.2% | -11.8% | Green | 139 | 5.0% | -4.2% | -3.6% | -6.4% | -3.6% | TUSC | 125 | 4.5% | +0.2% | +3.1% | from nowhere | +1.8% | Liberal Democrat | 94 | 3.4% | -1.4% | -1.1% | -3.0% | from nowhere | Coventry Citizens | 92 | 3.3% | +0.6% | -0.1% | from nowhere | from nowhere | UKIP |
|
|
|
| -14.3% |
| Independent Batson |
|
|
|
|
| -9.3% | Independent Gering |
|
|
|
|
| -5.9% | Total votes | 2,754 |
| 76% | 66% | 82% | 84% |
Swing: Labour to Conservative 9¾% since May, 8¼% since 2021, 10¼% since 2019 and 17% since 2018 Council now: 37 Labour, 15 Conservative, 1 Green, 1 no party Gwynedd: Llanuwchllyn - Plaid Cymru hold Party | 2022 B votes | 2022 B share | 2022 result | 2017 result | 2012 result | Plaid Cymru | 368 | 95.8% | unopposed | unopposed | unopposed | Liberal Democrat | 16 | 4.2% |
|
|
| Total votes | 384 |
| n/a | n/a | n/a |
Swing: not meaningful Council now: 44 Plaid Cymru, 23 Independent, 1 Labour, 1 Liberal Democrat Stoke-on-Trent: Bentilee & Ubberley - Labour hold Party | 2022 votes | 2022 share | since 2019 "top" | since 2019 "average" | since 2015 "top" | since 2015 "average" | Labour | 469 | 62.5% | +29.8% | +28.6% | +25.3% | +24.1% | City Independent | 143 | 19.1% | -3.0% | -1.1% | -4.9% | -4.5% | Conservative | 138 | 18.4% | +9.5% | +10.7% | from nowhere | from nowhere | UKIP |
|
| -21.9% | -23.0% | -36.0% | -35.0% | For Britain |
|
| -14.4% | -15.1% |
|
| British Voice |
|
|
|
| -2.8% | -2.9% | Total votes | 750 |
| 46% | 49% | 26% | 27% |
Swing: if particularly meaningful City Independent to Labour 16½% / /15% since 2019 and 15% / 14¼% since 2015 Council now: 22 Conservative, 13 Labour, 6 City Independent, 3 Independent Wealden: Maresfield - Green gain from ConservativeParty | 2022 votes | 2022 share | since 2019 | Green | 651 | 61.2% | +30.3% | Conservative | 412 | 38.8% | -23.3% | Labour |
|
| -7.1% | Total votes | 1,063 |
| 99% |
Swing: Conservative to Green 26¾% since 2019 Council now: 28 Conservative, 6 Liberal Democrat, 4 Independent Democrat, 4 Green, 3 Independent Group
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on Sept 22, 2022 16:07:26 GMT
Bolton: Rumworth - Conservative gain from LabourParty | 2022 B votes | 2022 B share | since 2022 | since 2021 | since 2019 | since 2018 | Conservative | 1,610 | 55.0% | +19.5% | +26.1% | +44.1% | +43.8% | Labour | 1,102 | 37.6% | -17.5% | -25.9% | -35.2% | -38.0% | Green | 156 | 5.3% | -0.9% | +0.2% | -2.6% | -2.1% | Liberal Democrat | 36 | 1.2% | -0.3% | -1.1% | -0.8% | -1.3% | Reform / Bolton for Change | 23 | 0.8% | -0.9% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | UKIP |
|
|
|
| -6.3% |
| Independent |
|
|
|
|
| -3.3% | Total votes | 2,927 |
| 80% | 77% | 84% | 86% |
Swing: if other than ward significance Labour to Conservative 18½% since May, 26% since 2021, 39¾% since 2019 and 41% since 2018 Council now: 26 Conservative, 18 Labour, 5 Liberal Democrat, 3 Farnworth & Kearsley First, 2 One Kearsley, 2 Bolton Independent Group, 2 Horwich & Blackrod First, 1 Crompton Independent, 1 Little Lever & Darcy Lever First Mansfeld: Oak Tree - Labour Gain from Mansfield IndependentParty | 2022 votes | 2022 share | since 2019 | since 2015 | since 2011 | Labour | 141 | 47.0% | +13.6% | -14.1% | -8.5% | Mansfield Independent ^ | 91 | 30.3% | -25.8% | -8.5% | +8.2% | Conservative | 45 | 15.0% | +4.5% | from nowhere | -3.9% | Freedom Alliance | 15 | 5.0% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | TUSC | 8 | 2.7% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Liberal Democrat |
|
|
|
| -3.4% | Total votes | 300 |
| 61% | 33% | 48% |
^ late councillor was elected as Mansfield Independent in 2019 but Labour in 2015 and 2011 Swing: Mansfield Independent to Labour 20% since 2019 but Labour to Mansfield Independent 2¾% since 2015 and 8% since 2011 Council now: 14 Labour (plus elected Mayor), 13 Mansfield Independent, 7 Independent, 2 Conservative Mid Sussex: Bolney - Conservative hold Party | 2022 votes | 2022 share | since 2019 | since 2017 B | since 2015 | Conservative | 301 | 50.6% | +1.2% | -15.1% | -1.6% | Liberal Democrat | 163 | 27.4% | +8.3% | +3.9% | -1.0% | Labour | 66 | 11.1% | +4.5% | from nowhere | from nowhere | OMRLoony | 30 | 5.0% | from nowhere | +1.2% | from nowhere | Green | 28 | 4.7% | -8.8% | from nowhere | from nowhere | Independent | 7 | 1.2% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | UKIP |
|
| -11.5% | -6.9% | -19.5% | Total votes | 595 |
| 70% | 70% | 36% |
Swing: Conservative to Liberal Democrat 3½% since 2019, 9½% since 2107 by-election but little swing since 2015 Council now 33 Conservative, 13 Liberal Democrat, 4 Green, 4 Independent
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on Sept 13, 2022 9:29:04 GMT
We are away for a few days but I will do the usual analysis when we return.
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on Sept 11, 2022 14:09:44 GMT
Interestingly, three of the changes were in "split" wards. Arun: Barnham 2 Conservative, 1 Green in 2019, Cannock Chase: Green in 2019, Conservative in 2021 and Labour in 2022 whilst Hartlepool: Foggy Furze elected 2 Independent, 1 Conservative in 2021 and 1 Labour in 2022. In addition, Lancaster: Warton is a single member ward with a 1,708 electorate.
Such wards have a tendency to change hands more than anticipted.
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on Sept 11, 2022 13:57:52 GMT
Arun: Barnham - Green gain from ConservativeParty | 2022 votes | 2022 share | since 2019 "top" | since 2019 "average" | since 2015 "top" | since 2015 "average" | Green | 786 | 50.9% | +21.7% | +19.1% | +33.8% | +32.8% | Conservative | 641 | 41.5% | +8.4% | +11.3% | +8.5% | +11.5% | Labour | 116 | 7.5% | -6.7% | -8.0% | -4.2% | -5.0% | Liberal Democrat |
|
| -23.3% | -23.3% |
|
| UKIP |
|
|
|
| -19.7% | -19.6% | Independent |
|
|
|
| -18.5% | -19.6% | Total votes | 1,543 |
| 55% | 60% | 26% | 27% |
Swing: Conservative to Green 6¾% / 4% since 2019 and 12¾% / 10¾% since 2015 Council now: 23 Conservative, 16 Liberal Democrat, 6 Independent, 4 Arun Independent Group, 3 Green, 1 Labour, 1 Independent Independent Cannock Chase: Hednesford North - Labour gain from ConservativeParty | 2022 B votes | 2022 B share | since 2022 | since 2021 | since 2019 | since 2018 | Labour | 290 | 38.1% | +1.7% | +4.8% | +6.8% | -7.9% | Chase Community Independent | 228 | 30.0% | -0.8% | +2.6% | from nowhere | from nowhere | Conservative | 208 | 27.3% | -5.5% | -12.0% | +0.3% | -6.8% | Independent | 35 | 4.6% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Green |
|
|
|
| -41.7% | -19.8% | Total votes | 761 |
| 59% | 47% | 61% | -55% |
Swing: Conservative to Labour 3½% since May, 8½% since 2021, 3¼% since 2019 but Labour to Conservative ½% since 2018 if meaningful Council now: 23 Conservative, 9 Labour, 3 Chase Community Independent, 2 Liberal Democrat, 2 Green, 1 Independent, 2 vacancy Hartlepool: Foggy Furze - Labour gain from IndependentParty | 2022 B votes | 2022 B share | since 2022 | since 2021 "top" | since 2021 "average" | Labour | 443 | 43.9% | +4.3% | +24.1% | +23.8% | Conservative | 391 | 38.8% | +14.2% | +9.0% | +6.2% | Independent Stallard | 126 | 12.5% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | Liberal Democrat | 49 | 4.9% | -0.3% | from nowhere | from nowhere | Previous Independents |
|
| -30.7% | -30.2% | -28.6% | Veterans & People |
|
|
| -14.4% | -12.3% | Reform |
|
|
| -3.8% | -4.2% | For Britain |
|
|
| -2.1% | -2.3% | Total Votes | 1,009 |
| 63% | 30% | 33% |
Swing: if meaningful Labour to Conservative 5% since 2022 Council now: 14 Conservative, 12 Labour, 5 Independent, 2 Hartlepool Independent Union, 2 Putting Seaton First, 1 Hartlepool People Lancaster: Warton - Green gain from ConservativeParty | 2022 votes | 2022 share | since 2019 | since 2015 | Green | 452 | 65.7% | +32.8% | +51.1% | Conservative | 169 | 24.6% | -22.7% | -18.8% | Labour | 44 | 6.4% | -13.5% | -15.4% | Liberal Democrat | 23 | 3.3% | from nowhere | from nowhere | Independent |
|
|
| -20.3% | Total votes | 688 |
| 106% | 56% |
Swing: Conservative to Green 27¾% since 2019 and 35% since 2015 Council now: 16 Labour, 15 Green & Independent Group, 9 Conservative, 6 Morecambe Bay Independent, 4 Liberal Democrat, 4 Bay Independent Group, 4 Independent Group, 2 vacancies West Sussex: Felpham - Independent Wild gain from ConservativeParty | 20221 votes | 2022 share | since 2021 | since 2017 | Independent Wild | 803 | 43.4% | from nowhere | from nowhere | Conservative | 733 | 39.6% | -12.8% | -25.3% | Labour | 217 | 11.7% | +3.5% | +3.2% | Independent Parker | 99
| 5.3% | -14.7% | from nowhere | Liberal Democrat |
|
| -10.3% | -8.1% | Green |
|
| -9.0% | -3.7% | Previous Independent |
|
|
| -14.9% | Total votes | 1,852 |
| 59% | 65% |
Swing: not meaningful
Council now: 46 Conservative, 11 Liberal Democrat, 9 Labour, 3 Independent, 1 Green
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on Sept 8, 2022 23:08:40 GMT
Kirk Ella and West Ella (East Riding of Yorkshire)
Conservative 473 Labour 192
Think all councillors were returned unopposed in 2019
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on Sept 2, 2022 8:12:01 GMT
Redditch: Headless Cross & Oakenshaw - Labour gain from Conservative
corrected previously had the Green 2022 votes shown as Liberal Democrat Party | 2022 B votes | 2022 B share | since 2022 | since 2021 | since 2019 | since 2018 | Labour | 767 | 41.9% | +1.5% | +17.7% | +20.1% | +6.6% | Conservative | 686 | 37.5% | -12.0% | -25.4% | -4.4% | -13.5% | Liberal Democrat | 274 | 15.0% | from nowhere | +9.3% | +7.7% | from nowhere | Green | 102 | 5.6% | -4.4% | -1.6% | -4.9% | -1.3% | UKIP |
|
|
|
| -18.5% | -6.8% | Total votes | 1,829 |
| 86% | 80% | 91% | 83% |
Swing: Conservative to Labour 6¾% since May, 21½% since 2021, 12¼% since 2019 and 10% since 2018 Council now: 19 Conservative, 8 Labour, 1 Green, 1 Independent Worcestershire: Arrow Valley West - Labour gain from ConservativeParty | 2022 votes | 2022 share | since 2021 "top" | since 2021 "average" | since 2017 "top" | since 2017 "average" | Labour | 1,342 | 53.7% | +16.4% | +17.4% | +11.2% | +10.1% | Conservative | 893 | 35.7% | -14.3% | -15.5% | +1.3% | +2.5% | Green | 146 | 5.8% | -1.2% | -0.9% | +2.0% | +2.3% | Liberal Democrat | 120 | 4.8% | -0.9% | -1.0% | -1.5% | -1.1% | UKIP |
|
|
|
| -10.2% | -10.9% | Independent |
|
|
|
| -2.6% | -2.8% | Total votes | 2,501 |
| 57% | 62% | 55% | 58% |
Swing: Conservative to Labour 15¼% / 16½% since 2021 and 5% / 3¾% since 2017 Council now: 44 Conservative, 4 Labour, 4 Liberal Democrat, 3 Green, 2 Independent
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on Aug 26, 2022 17:36:17 GMT
Great Cornard: South (Babergh)249 Independent Bowman 105 Labour 93 Independent Harman 2019 2 Conservative, 2 Liberal Democrat, 1 Green, 1 No Description elected unopposed, presumably 1 unfilled Now 3 Conservative, 2 Liberal Democrat, 1 Labour, 1 Independent Can't find any other byelections so presumably previous vacancies filled by co-option Penlyn: Bissom (Cornwall)22 Fathering Three Children Requires Being Diplomat 12 Labour Witney: East (West Oxfordshire)552 Conservative 421 Labour 240 Green 107 Liberal Democrat Conservative gain from Labour as 4 Labour elected in May 2019 Labour 1,246 / 1,104 / 1,048 / 959, Conservative 794 / 690 / 673 / 596 I assume Penlyn is meant to be Penryn? But whatever, that sounds a rather wonderfully eclectic election (and a very poor turnout). Thanks, now corrected. Penryn turnout was 9.02%.
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on Aug 26, 2022 17:17:32 GMT
Great Cornard: South (Babergh)
249 Independent Bowman 105 Labour 93 Independent Harman
2019 2 Conservative, 2 Liberal Democrat, 1 Green, 1 No Description elected unopposed, presumably 1 unfilled Now 3 Conservative, 2 Liberal Democrat, 1 Labour, 1 Independent Can't find any other byelections so presumably previous vacancies filled by co-option
Penryn: Bissom (Cornwall)
22 Fathering Three Children Requires Being Diplomat 12 Labour
Witney: East (West Oxfordshire)
552 Conservative 421 Labour 240 Green 107 Liberal Democrat
Conservative gain from Labour as 4 Labour elected in May 2019 Labour 1,246 / 1,104 / 1,048 / 959, Conservative 794 / 690 / 673 / 596
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on Aug 26, 2022 15:50:40 GMT
Leicester City (North Evington ward): Vandevi Pandya (LAB) has resigned. Elected in a by-election on 06 May 2021
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on Aug 26, 2022 12:02:41 GMT
It's Peacehaven not Peaceavon. Also Ellel not Elle but that looks more like auto "correct" Thanks now amended
|
|
|
Post by middleenglander on Aug 26, 2022 11:14:45 GMT
There were 53 local council by-elections from 12 May to the end of August 2022, excluding 3 for Scottish Islands authorities where there were insufficient candidates for the 05 May elections and 4 deferred elections originally for the same date following the death of a candidate. A total of 22 changed hands, or 42% of the seats contested, compared to a long term average of around 30%. The results can be summarised by: Party | Candidates | Defended | Retained | Gained | Lost | Won | retention rate | Conservative | 50 | 26 | 10 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 38% | Labour | 45 | 19 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 89% | Liberal Democrat | 38 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 10 | 100% | Green | 25 |
|
| 3 |
| 3 |
| Independent ^ | 17 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 25% | Localist ^^ * | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 50% | Reform | 2 |
|
|
|
|
|
| UKIP | 3 |
|
|
|
|
|
| TUSC | 3 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Women's Equality | 1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Other ^^^ | 4 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Total | 193 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 22 | 53 | 58% |
^ 17 Independent candidates contested 15 by-elections ^^ Coventry Citizens, Harlow Alliance, Lincolnshire Independent (North Kesteven), Residents (Epsom & Ewell) and Yorkshire (East Riding) * Independent Community & Health did not defend a seat in Wyre Forest ^^^ Abolish TV Licence (Welwyn Hatfield), Democracy & Freedom (Coventry), National Housing (Camden) and SDP (East Riding) Conservatives contested 94% of the seats, Labour 85%, Liberal Democrats 72% and Greens 47%. Conservatives gained 1 seat from a localist, but lost 4 to Labour, 6 to Liberal Democrats, 3 to Greens, 2 to an Independent and 1 to a localist* gained Wyre Forest: Franche & North Habberley from Independent Community & Health Concern, who did not defend the seat, following resignation similarly gained a seat in the same ward on 30 November 2021 that had elected 3 Independent Community & Health Concern in 2019 * lost 4 seats to Labour, all following a resignation, 3 previously split wards - Breckland: Thetford Boudica, split ward in both 2019 (1 Conservative, 1 Labour) and 2015 (1 Independent, 1 Conservative) - Harlow: Bush Fair, previous councillor resigned shortly having been elected by 4 votes, split ward with Labour elected in 2019 - Lewes: Peacehaven West, a seat Labour did not contest in 2019, but where Conservative by-election vote was higher than 2019 - South Derbyshire: Midway, split ward in 2019 (1 Conservative, 2 Labour), but 3 Labour in 2015 * lost 6 seats to Liberal Democrats, 4 following a resignation, 2 a death - both in East Riding of Yorkshire - Buckinghamshire: Bernwood, 3 member split ward in 2021 (1 Green, 2 Conservatives) where Liberal Democrat increased share by 21.5% / 24% - East Riding of Yorkshire: Bridlington North polled 57%, having already gained one seat in 2019 by-election but did not contest May 2019 elections - East Riding of Yorkshire: Beverley Rural polled 59%, an increase of ~ 36% since 2019 - Rutland: Oakham South, elected unopposed, split ward in 2019 (1 Liberal Democrat sole candidate, 2 Conservatives) and already made a gain in 2021 - Sevenoaks: Penhurst, Fordcombe & Chiddingston, single member ward with electorate below 2,000 where Conservative returned unopposed in 2019 - Waverley: Hindhead, 2 member split ward in 2019 (1 Liberal Democrat, 1 Conservative by lot) but 2 Conservatives in 2015 * lost 3 seats to Greens, 1 each following a death, a disqualification and a resignation - Lancaster: Ellel (disqualification) 2 member ward electing Conservatives in both 2019 and 2015 where Labour was runner-up - Mole Valley: Charlwood (resignation) single member ward with electorate below 2,000 won by Conservative in 3 previous elections - Spelthorne: Laleham & Shepperton Green (death) where Labour and Liberal Democrat did not contest this by-election but Conservative held a second by-election against Liberal Democrat when Labour and Green did not contest by-election * lost 2 seats to Independents and 1 to a Lincolnshire Independent in North Kesteven - North Kesteven: Quarrington & Mareham (resignation), 3 member split ward - 1 Ind, 2 Con in 2019 and 2 Con, 1 Lincs Ind in 2015 - Waverley: Frensham, Dockenfield & Tilford (death) single member ward (electorate 3,262) won by former Conservative Police & Crime Commissioner - Wyre: Preesall (resignation), 3 member ward electing Conservatives in 2019 and 2015, won by anti quarry Independent campaigner Labour gained 4 seats from Conservatives and 2 from Independents but lost 1 seat to a Liberal Democrat and 1 to an Independent, all resignations
- gained Chesterfield: Hollingwood & Inkersall, 3 member ward electing 3 Independents in 2019 and 3 Labour in 2015 - gained Middlesbrough: Berwick Hills & Pallister, 3 member ward electing 3 Independents in 2019 and 3 Labour in 2015 - lost Bridgend: Central to Independent following councillor elected in May resigning, split ward in 2022 ( 2 Independents, 1 Labour) - lost Camden: Hampstead Town to Liberal Democrat following councillor elected in May resigning, split ward in 2022 (1 Conservative, 1 Labour) Liberal Democrats gained to 6 seats from Conservatives, 1 from Labour and 1 from an Independent- gained Shropshire: Highley (resignation) from 3 time Independent winner, but did win seat in 2009 Greens gained 3 seats from Conservatives Independents gained the 2 seats from Conservatives and 1 from Labour, but lost 2 to Labour and 1 to a Liberal Democrat Localists gained 1 seat from the Conservatives but lost 1 to the same party Several features are highlighted: * voters appear not to like councillors resigning shortly after being elected, * 9 of the 22 seats changing hands were in split wards following the previous May elections, * a further 2 became split ward after subsequent by-elections * 2 single member wards with electorates under 2,000 changed hands, a characteristic previously noted * further single member ward with electorate below 3,500 saw Independent gain * not standing in the previous elections does not preclude winning a by-election * the 2 Liberal Democrat gains in East Riding of Yorkshire are outside the pattern of the other seats changing hands.
|
|