Countermanded Elections - 18th June

[maxque]

North Highcliffe & Walkford - Christchurch DC - countermanded following the death of Richard Walls (Labour)

2011: Con 1136/1001, Lab 381
2007: Con 1117/1004, LD 415, Lab 179
2003: Con 651/627, LD 503/470, UKIP 129, Lab 65

Donald Barr (Labour Party Candidate)
Sally Derham Wilkes (Conservative Party Candidate)
Nick Geary (Conservative Party Candidate)
Robin Grey (UK Independence Party (UKIP))
Janet Hatton (UK Independence Party (UKIP))
Gareth Walls (Labour Party Candidate)


Holmwoods - Mole Valley DC - countermanded following the death of Mick Longhurst (Liberal Democrat), which was a councillor since 15 years. A very rare case of a countermanded double election in a council elected by thirds. The vacancy is caused by the resignation of Stephen Musgrove (UKIP) due to him moving to East Sussex for one year or two for family reasons. Elections for the 2015-2019 and the 2014-2018 terms.

2014: UKIP 608, Con 551, LD 504, Lab 133, Grn 127
2012: LD 727, Con 447, UKIP 287, Lab 154
2011: LD 863, Con 743, UKIP 238, Lab 226
2010: LD 1507, Con 1208, UKIP 319, Lab 297
2008: LD 870, Con 563, UKIP 269
2007: LD 894, Con 556, UKIP 107, Lab 100, Grn 85
2006: LD 1062, Con 532, Lab 130
2004: LD 996, Con 694, Lab 160
2003: LD 848, Con 441, Lab 135
2002: LD 965, Con 430, Lab 207

James Baird (Local Conservatives)
Michael Foulston (UK Independence Party (UKIP))
Claire Malcomson (Liberal Democrat)
Stephen Morgan (UK Independence Party (UKIP))
Eugene Suggett (Green Party Second Choice Candidate)
Clayton Wellman (Liberal Democrat)
Emma Whittinger (Local Conservatives)
Jeff Zie (Green Party)

[Robert Waller]

Thank you very much for putting this thread up.

[maxque]

Mole Valley DC twitter is covering the count. An example to follow for other authorities.

They just began counting in Holmwoods, turnout 32.3%.

[middleenglander]

32.3% turnout in Holmwoods. Suggests a total number of ballot papers around 1,600.

[middleenglander]

2 Conservative holds in Christchurch

Con 793 / 775, UKIP 315 / 288, Lab 143 / 132

Con 63.4% top / 64.1% average
UKIP 25.2% top / 24.7% average
Lab 11.4% top / 11.2% avearge

[maxque]

Sally Derham Wilkes (Conservative Party Candidate) 793
Nick Geary (Conservative Party Candidate) 775
Robin Grey (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 315
Janet Hatton (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 288
Donald Barr (Labour Party Candidate) 143
Gareth Walls (Labour Party Candidate) 132

[Davıd Boothroyd]

Holmwoods reported to be double Liberal Democrat win.

[obsie]

MALCOMSON, Claire Philomena Liberal Democrat 804 Elected
WELLMAN, Clayton John Liberal Democrat 768 Elected
BAIRD, James Local Conservatives 492
WHITTINGER, Emma Local Conservatives 458
FOULSTON, Michael UK Independence Party (UKIP) 201
MORGAN, Stephen UK Independence Party (UKIP) 180
ZIE, Jeff Green Party 105
SUGGETT, Eugene Arthur Michael Green Party Second Choice Candidate 78

[maxque]

That's a beyond dreadful result for UKIP in Holmwoods. They won a seat there in 2014!

[Robert Waller]

The LD revival starts here ... in the Surrey hills!

[keithn]

Jun 19, 2015 6:16:28 GMT maxque said:

That's a beyond dreadful result for UKIP in Holmwoods. They won a seat there in 2014!

Is that the first time that a Lib Dem has gained a seat from UKIP in a council by-election?

[Tony Otim]

Jun 19, 2015 6:16:28 GMT maxque said:

That's a beyond dreadful result for UKIP in Holmwoods. They won a seat there in 2014!

TBH, the Holmwoods was a somewhat atypical ward for UKIP to have won in the first place, so I'm not surprised they weren't that close to holding it without concurrent Euro elections. Decent LD performance though.

[Tangent]

Jun 19, 2015 10:33:17 GMT Tony Otim said:

Jun 19, 2015 6:16:28 GMT maxque said:

That's a beyond dreadful result for UKIP in Holmwoods. They won a seat there in 2014!

TBH, the Holmwoods was a somewhat atypical ward for UKIP to have won in the first place, so I'm not surprised they weren't that close to holding it without concurrent Euro elections. Decent LD performance though.

From what I see of the area's history, I would guess, not knowing the area, that there is a significant low-income element around North Holmwood which was wooed by the LDs as a winnable alternative to Labour, and it was the shift in this portion which gave the ward to UKIP last year.

[Tony Otim]

Jun 19, 2015 21:16:43 GMT Tangent said:

Jun 19, 2015 10:33:17 GMT Tony Otim said:

TBH, the Holmwoods was a somewhat atypical ward for UKIP to have won in the first place, so I'm not surprised they weren't that close to holding it without concurrent Euro elections. Decent LD performance though.

From what I see of the area's history, I would guess, not knowing the area, that there is a significant low-income element around North Holmwood which was wooed by the LDs as a winnable alternative to Labour, and it was the shift in this portion which gave the ward to UKIP last year.

It's a (long) while since I've lived in the area, and I can't be bothered to look up the data, but I'd doubt there was a significant low income element anywhere in the Holmwoods.

[Pete Whitehead]

Its always worthwhile to look up data and not too much bother now thanks to Kevin Larkins site www.boundaryassistant.org/census/censusstats.htm
This does show that Tangent is basically correct. There is a substantial proportion of social housing in the ward (the highest in the borough) and some of it none too pretty (see Stubs Hill for example)

[Tony Otim]

I stand corrected and will actually do my homework next time . Although in my defence I'd say that the areas to the North of Deepdene Road are really part of Dorking rather than North Holmwood and therefore wasn't really what I was remembering when I was thinking of the Holmwoods.