maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 8,984 
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Post by maxque on Oct 20, 2014 5:01:16 GMT
Castle Point BC - Canvey Island East - Gail Barton (Canvey Island Independent - CIIP) was disqualified for not attending any meetings during 6 months
2012-2016 term
2014: CIIP 1006, Con 318, Lab 182
2012: CIIP 595, Con 291, Ind (CIIP winner of 2008) 195, Lab 158
2011: CIIP 960, Con 509, Lab 239
2010: CIIP 1572, Con 1041, Lab 402
2008: CIIP 962, Con 508, Lab 155
2007: CIIP 833, Con 630, Lab 245
2006: CIIP 772, Con 537, Lab 373, Grn 67
2004: CIIP 847, Con 510, Lab 449, Third Way 47
2003: Con 655/633/629, Lab 593/561/542, Grn 135
Colin Letchford (Independent)
Chas Mumford (Conservative Party)
John Payne (Canvey Island Independent Party)
Jackie Reilly (Labour Party)
Neath Port Talbot - Sandfields East - Collin Crowley Mike Davies (Labour) died
2013by: Lab 718, Port Talbot Residents Association 222, UKIP 154, PC 69, Con 40
2012: Ind 1116/622, Lab 1041/879/750, Neath Port Talbot Independent Party (with the Bean guy) 669
2008: Ind 1251, Lab 921/912/609, Neath Port Talbot Ratepayers Association 520/472, New Millennium Bean Party 369
2004: Ind 1478, Lab 1010/900/819, New Millennium Bean Party 522
Matthew Crowley (Welsh Labour / Llafur Cymru)
Richard Minshull (Welsh Conservative Party Candidate)
Keith Suter (UK Independence Party (UK I P))
North Ayrshire - North Coast and Cumbraes - Alex McLean (SNP) died
2012: SNP 1705/1090, Lab 1144, Con 1143, Ind 1017, SLP 124 (winners: SNP, SNP, Lab, Con)
2007: SNP 2357/715, Lab 1549, Con 1007/719, Ind 587/377, LD 493 (winners: SNP, Lab, Con, SNP)
Drew Cochrane (Independent)
Toni Dawson (Scottish Conservative and Unionist)
Meilan Henderson (UK Independence Party (UKIP))
Grace McLean (Scottish National Party (SNP))
Valerie Reid (Scottish Labour Party)
Telford & Wrekin - Ironbridge Gorge - Dave Davies (Labour) died
2011: Lab 589, Con 523
2007: Lab 510, Con 414
2003: Lab 614, Con 271, LD 217
Elizabeth Mollett (The Conservative Party Candidate)
Richard Soame (UK Independence Party (UK I P))
Ken Stringer (The Labour Party Candidate)
Telford & Wrekin - Newport West - Adam Stanton (Conservative) resigned due to work commitments
2011: Con 606, Lab 341
2007: Con 734, Lab 182
2003: Ind 424, Con 273, Lab 233, LD 183
Warwick McKenzie (UK Independence Party (UK I P))
Phil Norton (The Labour Party Candidate)
Rodney Pitt (The Conservative Party Candidate)
Peter Scott (Independent)
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 8,984
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Post by maxque on Oct 20, 2014 5:15:05 GMT
Random notes:
Boring week for Liberal Democrats, they have no candidate this week (which isn't surprising since they had no candidates in those wards last time) and a total of 3 candidates in those 5 wards since 2003 (North Aryshire 2008 and one in both Telford & Wrekin wards in 2003) and they finished last in every case. So, there was probably not much to expect even if they stood.
Family links and independents:
In Neath Port Talbot, the Labour candidate is the son of the late councillor.
In North Ayrshire, the SNP candidate is the widow of the late councillor. The independent there might have some impact, since he was the editor of local newspaper (Largs and Millport News) for 40 years until the end of September.
On Canvey Island, the independent is the chairman of the "Friends of Concord Beach".
In Newport West, the independent is a town councillor (but for Newport East ward).
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Oct 20, 2014 7:45:47 GMT
I vaguely remember one by-election somewhere in the Highlands or Moray or something where I went heavily on a former editor of the local rag in a prediction competition and I got burnt badly
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Oct 20, 2014 21:23:43 GMT
In Neath Port Talbot, the Labour candidate is the son of the late councillor. I wonder whether they are related to Noel Crowley, former leader of the council. |
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Post by listener on Oct 21, 2014 21:22:50 GMT
The Canvey Island East by-election in Castle Point will determine the future control of the council.
Following the elections on 22 May 2014, UKIP gained 5 seats from the Conservatives and technically the Conservatives lost overall control. The make-up was Conservative 20, Canvey Island Independent Party (CIIP) 16, UKIP 5.
The immediate disqualification of Gail Barton, confirmed formally at the annual meeting of Castle Point Borough Council on 4 June 2014, meant that the balance at the annual meeting reverted to 20-20 - and the Conservatives were able to maintain control of Castle Point through the casting vote control of the outgoing mayor. The Conservatives formed the Cabinet and appointed the mayor and deputy mayor.
If, as seems likely, CIIP holds their seat in Canvey Island East, the CIIP-UKIP coalition will have an overall majority of 1.
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Post by BossMan on Oct 22, 2014 9:17:01 GMT
Neath Port Talbot - Sandfields East - Collin Crowley (Labour) died2013by: Lab 718, Port Talbot Residents Association 222, UKIP 154, PC 69, Con 40 2012: Ind 1116/622, Lab 1041/879/750, Neath Port Talbot Independent Party (with the Bean guy) 669 2008: Ind 1251, Lab 921/912/609, Neath Port Talbot Ratepayers Association 520/472, New Millennium Bean Party 369 2004: Ind 1478, Lab 1010/900/819, New Millennium Bean Party 522 Matthew Crowley (Welsh Labour / Llafur Cymru) Richard Minshull (Welsh Conservative Party Candidate) Keith Suter (UK Independence Party (UK I P)) This one is due to the death of Mike Davies, who was elected in the 2013 by-election, which was in turn caused by the death of Collin Crowley. |
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 8,984
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Post by maxque on Oct 22, 2014 9:29:58 GMT
Neath Port Talbot - Sandfields East - Collin Crowley (Labour) died2013by: Lab 718, Port Talbot Residents Association 222, UKIP 154, PC 69, Con 40 2012: Ind 1116/622, Lab 1041/879/750, Neath Port Talbot Independent Party (with the Bean guy) 669 2008: Ind 1251, Lab 921/912/609, Neath Port Talbot Ratepayers Association 520/472, New Millennium Bean Party 369 2004: Ind 1478, Lab 1010/900/819, New Millennium Bean Party 522 Matthew Crowley (Welsh Labour / Llafur Cymru) Richard Minshull (Welsh Conservative Party Candidate) Keith Suter (UK Independence Party (UK I P)) This one is due to the death of Mike Davies, who was elected in the 2013 by-election, which was in turn caused by the death of Collin Crowley. I suppose I have a bit of egg on the face. Annoying. I'm very sorry for that error and shows I should check the by-elections which happened before writing the heading (And read the dates of the newspaper articles). |
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Post by David Ashforth on Oct 26, 2014 15:27:35 GMT
| Ward maps | Census maps | | CASTLE POINT - Canvey Island East | link
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| | NEATH PORT TALBOT - Sandfields East | link
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| | NORTH AYRSHIRE- North Coast and Cumbraes | link
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| | TELFORD & WREKIN - Ironbridge Gorge | link
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| | TELFORD & WREKIN - Newport West | link
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Post by froome on Oct 26, 2014 19:17:49 GMT
[ Telford & Wrekin - Newport West - Adam Stanton (Conservative) resigned due to work commitments2011: Con 606, Lab 341 2007: Con 734, Lab 182 2003: Ind 424, Con 273, Lab 233, LD 183 Warwick McKenzie (UK Independence Party (UK I P)) Phil Norton (The Labour Party Candidate) Rodney Pitt (The Conservative Party Candidate) Peter Scott (Independent) I had to do a double take when I saw the name of the UKIP candidate.  |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Oct 28, 2014 11:55:02 GMT
Is Ironbridge stuffed full of Guardianistas or something?
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Oct 28, 2014 12:25:36 GMT
Thats what I thought, but the Labour councillor who died was only elected in 2011. Maybe the previous councillor had a personal vote.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Oct 28, 2014 12:32:17 GMT
I asked Sibboleth about this once before but I don't think he saw |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Oct 28, 2014 12:36:26 GMT
The ward includes Coalbrookdale as well, but a quick look at the Census statistics doesn't uncover anything which would explain a large Labour vote.
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on Oct 28, 2014 13:54:37 GMT
No Plaid in Neath-Port Talbot?
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Khunanup
Lib Dem
Portsmouth Liberal Democrats
Posts: 11,516
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Post by Khunanup on Oct 28, 2014 13:56:19 GMT
Is Ironbridge stuffed full of Guardianistas or something? When our council Chief Exec was a senior council planning officer at the old Telford Borough back in the nineties he lived in Ironbridge so perhaps you're right. In that part of the world I expect it would fit the public sector professional mindset very well living there. |
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
Posts: 15,282
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Post by Sibboleth on Oct 28, 2014 17:09:28 GMT
You're thinking along the right lines (a lot of teachers live in the ward for instance) but probably its the combination of those with other factors. There's an artsy undercurrent to the entire area between Much Wenlock and Dawley, for instance (not that this always shows itself in voting patterns, but whatever). There are also a lot of people employed in the building trades in the ward; in built-up areas in Shropshire this is usually good news for Labour. And, obviously, Shropshire being Shropshire you can't rule out the importance of popular (or unpopular!) local candidates and so on. Dave Davies was quite high profile and had been a councillor (for a different ward) before and was the leader of the council back in the late 90s.
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Post by David Ashforth on Oct 28, 2014 17:40:45 GMT
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Oct 28, 2014 21:35:11 GMT
What a fantastic resource! |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Oct 28, 2014 22:16:51 GMT
In fact it's the best thing I've ever seen in my life - not just the best website - the best thing. Better than sex etc
I probably won't be posting much on this forum for the next few months
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Post by BossMan on Oct 29, 2014 10:01:33 GMT
I won't go quite as far as Pete, but I could easily spend days on that site...
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