peterl
Green
Monarchic Technocratic Localist
Posts: 8,270
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Dorset
May 4, 2024 13:05:43 GMT
Post by peterl on May 4, 2024 13:05:43 GMT
Weymouth Town Council
Littlemoor Ward 2 Conservatives
O`LEARY Louie James Local Conservatives 489 ELECTED HAYTER Brian William Local Conservatives 376 ELECTED LEGG Howard Richard Liberal Democrats 205 WEAVING Ann Liberal Democrats 205 BROWN Stephen Nicholas Labour Party 161 BAILEY Alexander Robert Independent 123
Turnout: 26.47%
Lodmoor Ward 2 Lib Dems
BELL Matthew Alastair Liberal Democrats 574 ELECTED CIVIL David Graham Liberal Democrats 479 ELECTED TOBIN Anne Labour Party 219 GRANYCOME George Local Conservatives 200 FARQUHARSON James William Local Conservatives 189
Turnout: 29.08%
Melcombe Regis Ward 1 Green 1 Labour
ORRELL Jonathan Martin Green Party 507 ELECTED ATKINSON Howard John Labour Party 278 ELECTED WALL Claire Joan Local Conservatives 247 WHATLEY Ken Independent 224 YEOMAN Mary Local Conservatives 144
Turnout: 26.73%
Preston Ward 3 Conservatives
DICKENSON Peter Local Conservatives 1129 ELECTED DICKENSON Joanna Mary Local Conservatives 1093 ELECTED DICKENS Steven David Local Conservatives 1000 ELECTED HOPE Holly Liberal Democrats 606 PEARSON Gillian Liberal Democrats 549 BEVAN Michael Liberal Democrats 538 WILCOX Kay Susanne Labour Party 336
Turnout: 46.61%
Radipole and Southill Ward 2 Lib Dems
HARRIS David Best Liberal Democrats 935 ELECTED BOWN Louise Liberal Democrats 832 ELECTED CRUMP Winifred PaulineLabour Party 318
Turnout: 31.99%
Rodwell Ward 1 Labour 1 Conservative
SEWRY Michael Ronald Labour Party 610 ELECTED WILLIAMS Clare Louise Local Conservatives 464 ELECTED SELVES David Robert John Local Conservatives 460
Turnout: 35.83%
Upwey and Broadwey Ward 3 Lib Dems
NORTHAM David James Liberal Democrats 839 ELECTED YOUNG Timothy Charles Ormiston Liberal Democrats 732 ELECTED DAY Beverley Liberal Democrats 669 ELECTED BERGMAN Jan Edward Ernest Local Conservatives 347 SILVER Byron Labour Party 340 WILES Robert Edward Local Conservatives 332 GIBSON-PIERCE Christine Victoria Local Conservatives 278
Turnout: 33.83%
Westham East Ward 2 Lib Dems
FUHRMANN Alex Liberal Democrats 480 ELECTED HARMSWORTH Lee Daniel Liberal Democrats 316 ELECTED RODD Jonathan Leslie Labour Party 257 MCGLYNN Alexander John Local Conservatives 151 TANNASSEE Thomas Oswald Local Conservatives 118
Turnout: 27.23%
Westham West Ward 3 Lib Dems
HOPE Ryan Dean Liberal Democrats 625 ELECTED TAYLOR Gillian Liberal Democrats 620 ELECTED CLIFFORD Simon Arthur Dewi Liberal Democrats 436 ELECTED HAMILTON Lucy Labour Party 350 JAMES Christine Mary Independents for Dorset 296
Turnout: 23.44%
Wyke North Ward 1 Labour 1 Conservative
WHELLER Kate Labour Party 887 ELECTED NICKINSON Caroline Joyce Local Conservatives 430 ELECTED NICKINSON Richard Douglas Local Conservatives 403
Turnout: 30.84%
Wyke South Ward 1 Green 1 Labour
TOFT Helen Jane Green Party 558 ELECTED AYLOR Thomas Labour Party 428 ELECTED NICHOLLS Alec Roy Local Conservatives 239 BRUCE Ian Cameron Local Conservatives 194 GRIFFITHS Mark Timothy 146
Turnout: 29.11%
Overall
Lib Dems 12 (-) Conservative 7 (+3) Labour 4 (-4) Green 2 (-)
(Independents -3 Total Seats -4)
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peterl
Green
Monarchic Technocratic Localist
Posts: 8,270
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Dorset
May 4, 2024 13:08:29 GMT
Post by peterl on May 4, 2024 13:08:29 GMT
Sherborne Town Council
Sherborne East Ward 4 Lib Dems 2 Independents
ANDREWS Jonathan Albert Liberal Democrat 1037 ELECTED LEGG Robin Andrew Shane Liberal Democrat 817 ELECTED GREENE Jenny Susan Independent 688 ELECTED PATTERSON Guy Justin Liberal Democrat 651 ELECTED JACOBS Paul Kevin Liberal Democrat 624 ELECTED GRIFFEN James Richard Fenton Independent 453 ELECTED COLERIDGE-MATTHEWS Vaughan 382
Turnout: 39.37%
Sherborne West (Unopposed) 4 Lib Dems 2 Independents
Overall
Lib Dems 8 Independents 4
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peterl
Green
Monarchic Technocratic Localist
Posts: 8,270
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Dorset
May 4, 2024 13:24:21 GMT
Post by peterl on May 4, 2024 13:24:21 GMT
Swanage Town Council
Swanage North Ward Conservative 4 Independents 2
TRITE William Stanley Local Conservatives 779 ELECTED FOSTER Christine Hazel Local Conservatives 728 ELECTED MORETON Christopher John Local Conservatives 726 ELECTED SILVERTON Sarah Elizabeth Amy Independent 725 ELECTED COWARD Megan Imogen Independent 656 ELECTED LEJEUNE John Peter Local Conservatives 606 ELECTED MERCER James John Labour Party 588 MCDAVID Ian James Independent 581 CHASTON Paul Raymond Local Conservatives 561 KAISER John Stuart Local Conservatives 554 HARDING Woodley Robert Labour Party 551 PIPER Matthew John Liberal Democrats 546
Turnout: 42.43%
Swanage South Ward 4 Labour 2 Conservative
MONKHOUSE Deborah Susan Labour Party 760 ELECTED DORRINGTON Julia Labour Party 655 ELECTED VILE Sarah Margaret Labour Party 652 ELECTED SUTTON Clifford Frank Victor Labour Party 634 ELECTED BONFIELD Michael Peter Local Conservatives 627 ELECTED TOMES Christopher James Local Conservatives 575 ELECTED SUTTLE Gary Maurice Local Conservatives 548 EADES Philip Michael Independent 511 FINCH Caroline Freda May Local Conservatives 479 WOOD Christopher John Independent 451 MCDAVID Helen Mary Independent 444 LUCAS Heidi Jane Local Conservatives 426 WHITWAM Michael Alan Local Conservatives 342
Turnout: 40.15%
Overall
Conservative 6 (-4) Labour 4 (+2) Independents 2 (+2)
That's all partisanly contested parish/town councils in Dorset now in.
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steve
Non-Aligned
Posts: 360
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Dorset
May 4, 2024 13:56:17 GMT
via mobile
Post by steve on May 4, 2024 13:56:17 GMT
Wareham Town Council GOVER Zoe Michelle Independent 938 ELECTED COTTON Marian Jill Independent 842 ELECTED BUDD David Anthony Liberal Democrats 819 ELECTED DAVEY Ian George Independent, For The Good of Wareham 785 ELECTED TIGHE Molly Alice Independent 754 ELECTED HILL Martin John Independent, For The Good of Wareham 751 ELECTED HOLLOWAY Ryan David Liberal Democrats 745 ELECTED DEAN Robert Stanley Independent 734 ELECTED CRITCHLEY Keith William Thomas Liberal Democrats 733 ELECTED DEAN Susan Jane Independent 726 ELECTED CLEATON Doreen Rosina Liberal Democrats 710 ELECTED DALLIMORE Andrew John Liberal Democrats 694 ELECTED WHEATLEY Susan Lesley Independent 671 ELECTED KIRK Lucia Liberal Democrats 668 ELECTED GREEN Vera Gladys Liberal Democrats 626 ELECTED ROBINSON David Ian Liberal Democrats 645 ELECTED LEWIS Malcolm Independent 551 Overall Lib Dems 8 Independent 6 Independent for the Good of Wareham 2 Turnout: 36.35% And I thought cllrs were supposed to represent all their constituents. 🙂
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ricmk
Lib Dem
Posts: 2,341
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Post by ricmk on May 4, 2024 14:01:17 GMT
Maybe everyone in Wareham is good
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peterl
Green
Monarchic Technocratic Localist
Posts: 8,270
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Post by peterl on May 4, 2024 21:19:28 GMT
I'm going to be writing a multi-part analysis of Dorset's elections this year which I've decided to group geographically, based on the old district boundaries as a convenient way of breaking up the council.
Eastern Dorset
The Eastern part of Dorset Council probably sees the least change and the Conservative vote held up reasonably well in the majority of wards. Local independent Ann Miller was unable to make much of an impact in West Parley. Ferndown was one point of concern for the Tories, losing one seat in Ferndown South with independent Hannah Hobbs-Chell, believed based on limited information to be left-leaning, unseating Conservative George Phillips. Right wing independent Lawrence Wilson, previously a prolific UKIP candidate in the area, was less than 150 votes away from taking the second seat. Whilst the Tories held both seats in Ferndown North, independent Simon Cable was just 14 votes from unseating Tory Mike Parkes with independent Philip Leach not far behind. Reform's performance in one of the few wards they contested in Dorset was unimpressive. Ferndown Town council's results were striking. The newly formed Ferndown People's Alliance, which many sitting councillors have joined, took 14 out of 17 seats. Whilst Cathy Lugg in Amesyford was re-elected unopposed, the Tories were otherwise wiped out with long serving councillors Mike Parkes and Julie Robinson losing their seats. Paul Hanson-Graham standing for re-election in Hampreston and Longham for Independent Residents Voice also lost his seat. St Leonards and St Ives, West Moors and Three Legged Cross and Verwood were held by the Conservatives with no trouble.
Colehill and Wimborne Minster East and Wimborne Minster both saw comfortable holds for the Lib Dems. Corfe Mullen had returned one Lib Dem and one Conservative at the last election, with the Lib Dem having since joined the Tories. Both seats went Lib Dem this time around. The Liberal Democrats also managed to take the Stour and Allen Vale Ward, which I had very much considered a stretch target for them, and to hold Cranborne and Alderholt, which was gained from the Tories by a very narrow majority last time around. Cranborne Chase was a comfortable Conservative hold.
Overall, the Eastern part of Dorset is increasingly breaking into two halves. The wards along the Eastern extremity of the county, largely those falling within the Christchurch Parliamentary constituency, are mostly sticking with the Conservatives whilst the more westerly wards, generally within the Poole North and Dorset Mid constituency are favoring the Lib Dems. Ferndown is something of an anomaly, increasingly moving towards independents with little distinction to their political pursuasion.
Dorset Council Seat Count
Conservative 12 (-3) Lib Dem 8 (+2) Independent 1 (+1)
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 8,252
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Post by cogload on May 5, 2024 4:07:40 GMT
A big thumbs up to Peterl for the info and hard work he has put into this thread...👍
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Post by nw12398 on May 5, 2024 9:37:29 GMT
Weymouth Town Council Littlemoor Ward 2 Conservatives O`LEARY Louie James Local Conservatives 489 ELECTED HAYTER Brian William Local Conservatives 376 ELECTED LEGG Howard Richard Liberal Democrats 205 WEAVING Ann Liberal Democrats 205 BROWN Stephen Nicholas Labour Party 161 BAILEY Alexander Robert Independent 123 Turnout: 26.47% Rodwell Ward 1 Labour 1 Conservative SEWRY Michael Ronald Labour Party 610 ELECTED WILLIAMS Clare Louise Local Conservatives 464 ELECTED SELVES David Robert John Local Conservatives 460 Turnout: 35.83% Westham East Ward 2 Lib Dems FUHRMANN Alex Liberal Democrats 480 ELECTED HARMSWORTH Lee Daniel Liberal Democrats 316 ELECTED RODD Jonathan Leslie Labour Party 257 MCGLYNN Alexander John Local Conservatives 151 TANNASSEE Thomas Oswald Local Conservatives 118 Turnout: 27.23% Westham West Ward 3 Lib Dems HOPE Ryan Dean Liberal Democrats 625 ELECTED TAYLOR Gillian Liberal Democrats 620 ELECTED CLIFFORD Simon Arthur Dewi Liberal Democrats 436 ELECTED HAMILTON Lucy Labour Party 350 JAMES Christine Mary Independents for Dorset 296 Turnout: 23.44% Wyke North Ward 1 Labour 1 Conservative WHELLER Kate Labour Party 887 ELECTED NICKINSON Caroline Joyce Local Conservatives 430 ELECTED NICKINSON Richard Douglas Local Conservatives 403 Turnout: 30.84% Overall Lib Dems 12 (-) Conservative 7 (+3) Labour 4 (-4) Green 2 (-) (Independents -3 Total Seats -4) The Littlemoor ward result is pretty dire for Labour, who consistently won the (almost identical) Borough council ward. It's a very deprived area but the top Conservative (who was first elected at the Unitary level in 2019 - Labour won both seats in the TC ward then) has worked it hard. Plus one of the LD candidates (Ann Weaving) was for a long time a Labour councillor and has only recently defected. Labour's fortunes aren't helped by the fact that the Preston part of the Littlemoor and Preston Unitary ward is very affluent and has a very high median age, as well as having a higher population - decimating their chances of election at the Unitary level, leaving the Lib Dems to take the place as the main opposition to the Conservatives in the area.
In Rodwell and Wyke North, the Conservatives clearly won a councillor in each ward due to undernomination by opposition parties. In Rodwell, an extra Labour candidate would have easily won them a second seat, or if the Greens won they could have won as well - the Green strength in the Rodwell and Wyke unitary ward originates here from the Borough Council days, and the previous TC ward that had approximately the same boundaries had a Green councillor. In Wyke North the Labour candidate even got more votes than both Tories combined!- and the Greens likely would have won with a candidate here as well.
It's not surprising that the Westham wards went Lib Dem. The Labour share is better than I thought it could've been though, showing they're still competitive in an area which was safe for them until the mid-'90s and a LD-Lab battleground ever since.
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Dorset
May 5, 2024 10:00:37 GMT
Post by nw12398 on May 5, 2024 10:00:37 GMT
Scouring out some info about the Independents for Dorset:
I've found that a press release stating that consider themselves a successor to the "ALL for Dorset" group which stood last time, with Les Fry (Dorchester West) having been elected under that banner and the Portland independents sitting in the ALL for Dorset council group during the last term. Not too surprising but good to have confirmation.
Policy wise they seem fairly loose knit but generally centre-left/centrist.
The successful Ferndown independent wasn't elected under their banner but the Independents for Dorset Facebook page demonstrates that she wasn't fully independent from them either...
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Post by nw12398 on May 5, 2024 10:21:38 GMT
Obviously local elections are different to general elections, but at first glance the fact that Labour only won 2 councillors (same as in 2019 and the exact same councillors) in South Dorset, which is the key Labour target in the Dorset council area, doesn't look great for them. Examining a bit further: They held up well in the two wards they won in. On Portland, their sole councillor held on despite facing a full slate of allied independents and with a serious Green challenge. The Conservative vote share fell significantly on the island. In Rodwell and Wyke the result was rather similar to last time, and I suspect the majority of the Green voters would vote Labour in a GE anyway. Outside of those two wards, Labour was never going to have much luck within Weymouth. Westham and Melcombe Regis would in theory be good prospects for Labour, but popular incumbents from the Lib Dems and Greens respectively get in the way. I think Labour could have done quite a lot worse in Westham, with a slight swing towards them. In the Radipole and Upwey & Broadwey wards in Weymouth, the Lib Dems bolstered their lead to win by very large margins, which is mostly at the expense of the Tories with Labour staying pretty stagnant, coming ahead of the Tories in Radipole. As mentioned above, the Littlemoor and Preston result is very poor for Labour. In Chickerell, West Purbeck, South East Purbeck, the Lib Dems made impressive gains where they were previously barely present. This may hurt Labour's chances in a GE, as the Lib Dems do seem to be taking the GE seriously in South Dorset and previously these areas would probably default to Labour as the most obvious opposition party. In Swanage, Labour put up an impressive fight: they were just 64 votes off of winning a seat, and AFAIK they've never won there in the past. In summary, Labour did poorly on seats but in South Dorset, but in Weymouth it can be attributed to factors which aren't really relevant to a GE and elsewhere it's mixed. So I guess this is a long way of saying that the local elections say very little about Labour's chances in Dorset in a general election
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Post by nw12398 on May 5, 2024 13:19:28 GMT
Using Top candidate/Valid votes for multi-member wards.
Highest Conservative: Sturminster Newton: 66.9% (If I was given the results elsewhere with no information about the results in this ward, I would have guessed a Lib Dem gain - a rather odd result) West Parley: 66.0% Cranborne Chase: 65.4% Verwood: 64.3% St Leonards and St Ives: 62.5%
Lowest Conservative: Dorchester West: 11.4% (4th) Dorchester East: 12.9% (4th) Portland: 13.6% (4th) Westham: 15.8% (4th) Bridport: 20.0% (3rd)
Highest Lib Dem: Wareham: 68.0% Radipole: 64.3% Wimborne Minster: 62.3% Sherborne Rural: 60.3% Shaftesbury Town: 60.1%
Lowest Lib Dem: Melcombe Regis and Wyke & Rodwell: Didn't stand Portland: 4.8% (5th) Lyme and Charmouth: 7.1% (3rd) Swanage: 8.9% (4th) Ferndown North: 14.1% (3rd) Ferndown South: 15.6% (3rd)
Highest Labour: Rodwell and Wyke: 41.0% (2nd, won a seat) Portland: 34.7% (2nd, won a seat) Swanage: 34.1% (2nd) Westham: 27.0% (2nd) Dorchester West: 25.4% (3rd)
Lowest Labour: 13/52 wards: Didn't stand Eggardon: 3.4% (4th) Chesil Bank: 3.8% (4th) Beaminster: 5.0% (3rd) Lyme and Charmouth: 5.7% (4th) South East Purbeck: 6.5% (3rd)
Highest Green: Lyme and Charmouth: 61.0% Melcombe Regis: 49.2% Rodwell and Wyke: 44.9% Bridport: 37.6% (2nd) Dorchester East: 32.3% (2nd)
Lowest Green: 31/52 Didn't stand Beaminster: 4.6% (5th) Blandford: 5.0% (4th) Swanage: 6.8% (5th) Sherborne East: 7.1% (3rd) Yetminster: 8.2% (3rd)
Highest Independent (Including Independents for Dorset; only considering top candidate): Dorchester West: 58.5% Ferndown North: 36.2% (2nd) Portland: 35.6% Ferndown South: 35.0% (2nd, won a seat) Shaftesbury Town: 22.7% (3rd)
Reform (all): Winterborne and Broadmayne: 11.8% (3rd) Ferndown North: 10.8% (4th) Beaminster: 4.9% (4th)
UKIP (all): Verwood: 7.1% Shaftesbury Town: 5.1% (with English Democrats as 'Patriots Alliance')
SDP (all): Blandford: 2.0%
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Post by No Offence Alan on May 5, 2024 16:03:51 GMT
I have aggregated * the votes across Dorset council as follows:
* I have used the "top vote" method, except in Ferndown South, where 3 Independents stood for 2 seats. Since two Independents could conceivably be part of a "slate", but obviously not three, I have given the Independents the total votes of the first- and third- scoring candidates. So sue me.
Dorset council: LD 38,669 Con 36,411 Lab 12,262 Grn 8,989 Independent 5,147 Independents for Dorset 3,077 Reform 443 UKIP 220 No Description 204 Patriots Alliance 118 SDP 31
Splitting between constituencies:
Christchurch Con 4,495 Ind 2,194 LD 2,162 Reform 232
Mid Dorset and North Poole LD 7,608 Con 4,276 Lab 1,533 Ind 1,035
North Dorset Con 11,359 LD 8,393 Lab 2,466 Grn 1,247 Ind 529 UKIP 220 No Desc 187 Patriots 118 SDP 31
South Dorset Con 7,856 LD 7,556 Lab 5,931 Grn 2,935 IfD 1,171 Ind 1,125
West Dorset LD 12,950 Con 8,425 Grn 4,807 Lab 2,332 IfD 1,906 Ind 264 Reform 211 No Desc 17
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Dorset
May 6, 2024 11:22:46 GMT
Post by Davıd Boothroyd on May 6, 2024 11:22:46 GMT
Small note - in Littlemoor and Preston ward, the Conservatives easily won both seats, which means that Peter Dickenson was "re-elected" but presumably will now be able to take up his seat.
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Dorset
May 6, 2024 14:55:15 GMT
Post by johnloony on May 6, 2024 14:55:15 GMT
Small note - in Littlemoor and Preston ward, the Conservatives easily won both seats, which means that Peter Dickenson was "re-elected" but presumably will now be able to take up his seat. I must have missed something - why couldn't he before? Dorset website says that his first term as councillor started on 1st March 2024, but he doesn't seem to be listed in the by-elections thread for 29th February 2024.
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Dorset
May 6, 2024 15:06:48 GMT
Post by Davıd Boothroyd on May 6, 2024 15:06:48 GMT
Small note - in Littlemoor and Preston ward, the Conservatives easily won both seats, which means that Peter Dickenson was "re-elected" but presumably will now be able to take up his seat. I must have missed something - why couldn't he before? Dorset website says that his first term as councillor started on 1st March 2024, but he doesn't seem to be listed in the by-elections thread for 29th February 2024. He was disqualified at the time of nomination (because he was a lollipop man employed by the council) so his election in January was void. He chose to formally accept office on 1 March, although there were no council meetings from then until the full council election and the new term.
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Dorset
May 6, 2024 15:19:23 GMT
Post by johnloony on May 6, 2024 15:19:23 GMT
I must have missed something - why couldn't he before? Dorset website says that his first term as councillor started on 1st March 2024, but he doesn't seem to be listed in the by-elections thread for 29th February 2024. He was disqualified at the time of nomination (because he was a lollipop man employed by the council) so his election in January was void. He chose to formally accept office on 1 March, although there were no council meetings from then until the full council election and the new term. I have now found him in the thread for by-elections on 11th January. (The "Search" thingy on this forum is annoyingly useless). There was suggestion in that thread that he might be committing an offence if he signed the acceptance of office, knowing that he was disqualified; did he just sign it anyway? And if Dorset council website says he started as a councillor on 1st March, did they just not bother to make a fuss?
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Post by dp1811 on May 6, 2024 16:32:14 GMT
Chesil Bank: Lib Dem gain from Con LD: 704 Con: 482 Green: 373 (not too shabby but down from second place) Lab: 61 Well I’m thrilled! It makes a nice change to have voted for the winner around here for once. I’m surprised the Lib Dems won quite so convincingly in my ward, I expected it to be a lot closer. Indeed by the end of the campaign I expected a tight, 3-way marginal given that the Green campaign ramped up towards the end. I do wonder though if the Lib Dems won it on postal votes, I didn’t receive anything from the Greens until after my vote was already back in the postbox. A friend of mine who was at the count for the Lib Dems told me that the Tories actually requested a recount for Chesil Bank. They genuinely couldn’t believe that they had lost by quite that margin. The result of the recount actually made the LD majority go up by 4. I’ve been crunching some numbers for the whole of the West Dorset constituency. Will be drawing up some proper analysis in the next few days, but all I’ll say for now is this. I know local election results don’t often translate properly into general election results, but if it’s anything even vaguely similar this time, Chris Loder should probably start thinking about job hunting! Across the constituency, the Green vote was high for the locals. I’d imagine the Lib Dems will have a much easier job at converting this at the General, especially given that the Greens were, on paper, the tactical vote in many wards here. At local elections it seems to often be the case that the Lib Dems really struggle to take votes and seats from the Greens, but Dorset this year has well and truly bucked that trend. Even in Marshwood Vale where I’m told the Lib Dem campaign was pretty quiet in comparison to wards like Chesil Bank and Eggardon, their vote still went up a lot while the Greens stayed somewhat stagnant (although I accept that given the candidate situation in Marshwood this isn’t the simplest of wards). The LDs unseating Kelvin Clayton in Bridport giving even more proof of a relatively bad day for the Greens. That said, you can’t help but wonder if standing three Green candidates there sealed Clayton’s fate, considering he only missed out by 25 votes. Obviously we don’t know how the votes split but the raw numbers show there was a lot of Green vote splitting, and much less for the Lib Dems. Beaminster was a great result for the Tories. But the circumstances should hearten the Lib Dems. It seems that popular local Tory candidates have an easier job at staving off both the LD advance, and the Reform flank on their right. There is very little to suggest that Loder is popular, certainly at this end of the constituency. The Conservatives’ similar poor performance in the Sherborne area also adds to this theory. Finally, turnout. Slightly down across the constituency but actually up in 2 wards - Chesil Bank and Eggardon, and only marginally down in other wards where the LDs ran big campaigns, including Beaminster and Yetminster. The two Green-facing seats of Lyme Regis and the Marshwood Vale saw the biggest decreases - almost 9 points in each. As mentioned before I plan to do a full analysis of the constituency in the coming days. However the TL;DR of it is looking to be a fantastic result for the Lib Dems, a disastrous result for the Tories, and a similarly bad result for the Greens.
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Post by batman on May 6, 2024 17:24:15 GMT
they should not have been granted a recount when the margin was that clear.
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,129
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Post by maxque on May 6, 2024 17:26:24 GMT
Liberal Democrat gain over Conservative in: Chesil Bank (by 222 votes) Corfe Mullen (1 LD, 1 Con -> 2 Con (through defection) -> 2 LD; by 504/652 votes) Eggardon (by 87 votes) Gillingham (3 Con -> 2 Con, 1 LD; Con 1549/1528, LD 1490/1444, Con 1408, LD 1402) 2x Lytchett Matravers and Upton (2 LD, 1 Con -> 3 LD; by 82 votes) SE Purbeck (by 325 votes) Stour and Allen Vale (by 191 votes) W Purbeck (2 Con -> 1 LD, 1 Con; LD 1245, Con 962, LD 929, Con 835) Winterborne N (by 219 votes) Yetminster (by 61 votes)
Liberal Democrat gains over Conservative and Independent in: Chickerell (1 Con, 1 Ind -> 2 LD; by 39/421 votes over Con; no defending Ind)
Independent gain from Conservative in: Ferndown S (2 Con -> 1 Con, 1 Ind; Con 684, Ind 621, Con 602, Ind 556)
Liberal Democrat gain over Green in: Bridport (2 LD, 1 Grn -> 3 LD; by 25 votes)
Close holds and split wards: Beaminster (Con hold by 22 votes over LD) Blackmore Vale (Con hold by 169 votes over LD) Chalk Valleys (Con hold by 129 votes over LD) Cranborne and Alderholt (LD hold by 170 votes over Con) Dorchester East (Grn 154 votes away from a LD seat) Ferndown N (Ind 13 votes away from a Con seat) Marshwood Vale (Con hold by 120 votes over Green) Melcombe Regis (Grn hold by 163 votes over Con) Portland (Independent for Dorset 899/895, Lab 875, Grn 785, IfD 744, Lab 724/546) Puddletown and Lower Winterborne (Con hold by 147 votes over LD) Rodwell and Wyke (Grn 1516, Lab 1385, Grn 1327/1199, Lab 914, Con 825/756, Lab 700, Con 644) Sherborne W (LD hold by 104 votes over Con Stalbridge and Marnhull (Con hold by 164 votes over LD) Swanage (Lab 64 votes away from a Con seat)
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Dorset
May 6, 2024 18:38:42 GMT
Post by johnloony on May 6, 2024 18:38:42 GMT
they should not have been granted a recount when the margin was that clear. They might have thought that there was a bundle of 100 misplaced - in which case it would have been 604 vs. 582 Or they might just have been daft
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