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Adur
May 3, 2024 15:11:14 GMT
Post by matureleft on May 3, 2024 15:11:14 GMT
I’m sure it didn’t feel that way (!) but a solid Labour win with some opportunities to build a stronger majority when the other half comes up (but a change of government would make that a harder slog).
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jamesdoyle
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Post by jamesdoyle on May 3, 2024 15:12:25 GMT
www.adur-worthing.gov.uk/elections-and-voting/election-results/2024/#adcLabour gain from Conservative in: Buckingham (by 257 votes) Churchill (by 17 votes) Cokeham (by 48 votes) Eastbrook (by 258 votes) Hillside (by 172 votes) Peverel (by 52 votes) Widewater x2 (by 141/297 votes) Third: Lab 11 (+7), Con 1 (-7), Grn 1, Ind 1 Counci: Lab 17 (+8), Con 8 (-8), Grn 2, Ind 2 Conservative group halved in size, they must be devastated. hahahahahahaha
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CatholicLeft
Labour
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Adur
May 6, 2024 13:01:56 GMT
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Post by CatholicLeft on May 6, 2024 13:01:56 GMT
This result has cheered me up for not completely partisan reasons. I used to blog about the Adur elections and saw the potential for significant Labour progress years back.Finally, after one step forward and two step movement in different wards, the stars aligned.
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weld
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Post by weld on May 14, 2024 10:12:56 GMT
Looking at the recent results in Adur, Labour may well take Shoreham North, Shoreham South and Lancing wards in the 2025 West Sussex County Council elections, and Southwick possibly, even if the nationwide results aren't that great for the party.
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Post by batman on May 14, 2024 10:19:55 GMT
It's quite likely that the 2025 elections will be held at a time when the Labour government is enjoying a honeymoon period. Certainly if there is no election until November or later.
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
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Post by The Bishop on May 14, 2024 10:20:31 GMT
Especially if we do see Sunak drag things out until late this year, an incoming Labour government could still have enough of a honeymoon to do pretty well in the May 2025 elections generally. Tories elected in this cycle have led a charmed life for a while (2013 the only partial exception) and it would be nice to see that finally end.
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Post by matureleft on May 14, 2024 10:26:17 GMT
The results suggest a pretty organised local Labour party able, to an extent, to resist some adversity.
But, of course, results next year will depend to an extent on how the new administration copes. Even for a district council, shorn of the huge financial challenges of those with social services functions, times are pretty tough.
One might assume that the local Tories are a bit down, and large losses can lead to heavy volunteer disengagement.
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Post by andrewp on May 14, 2024 11:50:13 GMT
Especially if we do see Sunak drag things out until late this year, an incoming Labour government could still have enough of a honeymoon to do pretty well in the May 2025 elections generally. Tories elected in this cycle have led a charmed life for a while (2013 the only partial exception) and it would be nice to see that finally end. Unless the Tories are back comfortably ahead in the polls by May 2025, which seems very unlikely, there should be scope for reasonable Lab gains next year- whoever is the new Tory leader will very likely have to take that hit- I can just see now some media commentators not appreciating the baseline to those elections at all. The real chances for big Tory gains aren’t until 2027 and 28 mostly which is a long time away for a new Tory leader to wait.
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