|
Bury
Aug 9, 2023 17:30:34 GMT
Post by BossMan on Aug 9, 2023 17:30:34 GMT
Bury
|
|
|
Bury
Nov 15, 2023 10:19:17 GMT
jamie likes this
Post by carolus on Nov 15, 2023 10:19:17 GMT
Current council: 31 Lab, 11 Con, 8 Radcliffe First, 1 Ind Up in 2024: 11 Lab, 3 Con, 3 Radcliffe First
Split wards (2023 results given): Elton - 2 Lab, 1 Con. Lab defending. Lab hold by 4.1% over Con. Pilkington Park - 2 Lab, 1 Con. Lab defending. Lab gain by 11.8% from Con. Radcliffe North & Ainsworth - 2 RF, 1 Con. RF defending. Con hold by 2.1% over Radcliffe First. Tottington - 2 Con, 1 Ind. Con defending. Con hold by 13.2% over Lab.
Close wards (2023 results given): Holyrood - Lab hold gain by 7% over from LD. North Manor - Con hold by 2.2% over Lab.
2023 Candidate totals: 17 Con, 17 Green, 17 Lab, 10 LD, 3 RF, 2 English Democrat, 1 Communist Party of Britain, 1 Reform UK, 6 Ind 2021 Candidate totals (+2): 19 Con, 19 Lab, 17 LD, 7 Green, 3 RF, 1 English Democrat, 1 Freedom Alliance, 1 Ind
|
|
jamie
Top Poster
Posts: 6,867
|
Post by jamie on Nov 15, 2023 17:57:58 GMT
Close wards (2023 results given): Holyrood - Lab hold by 7% over LD.North Manor - Con hold by 2.2% over Lab. Holyrood was a Labour gain, not hold (but your posts are still great!).
|
|
bsjmcr
Non-Aligned
Posts: 1,390
|
Bury
Nov 18, 2023 22:22:37 GMT
Post by bsjmcr on Nov 18, 2023 22:22:37 GMT
Current council: 31 Lab, 11 Con, 8 Radcliffe First, 1 Ind Up in 2024: 11 Lab, 3 Con, 3 Radcliffe First Split wards (2023 results given): Elton - 2 Lab, 1 Con. Lab defending. Lab hold by 4.1% over Con. Pilkington Park - 2 Lab, 1 Con. Lab defending. Lab gain by 11.8% from Con. Radcliffe North & Ainsworth - 2 RF, 1 Con. RF defending. Con hold by 2.1% over Radcliffe First. Tottington - 2 Con, 1 Ind. Con defending. Con hold by 13.2% over Lab. Close wards (2023 results given): Holyrood - Lab hold gain by 7% over from LD. North Manor - Con hold by 2.2% over Lab.2023 Candidate totals: 17 Con, 17 Green, 17 Lab, 10 LD, 3 RF, 2 English Democrat, 1 Communist Party of Britain, 1 Reform UK, 6 Ind 2021 Candidate totals (+2): 19 Con, 19 Lab, 17 LD, 7 Green, 3 RF, 1 English Democrat, 1 Freedom Alliance, 1 Ind Quite impressive that Bury's most rural ward by far (given Ramsbottom is now reliably Labour and is dominated by the market town itself) is actually the Tories' most marginal, more so than Bury West or Tottington. I don't know what it is about Bury West or Tottington that makes them so safe for the Conservatives. Sure, they're decent enough areas housing-wise, but they're not exactly up there with Bowdon or Hale. Personal votes or just more traditional values?
|
|
YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,341
|
Post by YL on Nov 19, 2023 8:03:24 GMT
I don't know what it is about Bury West or Tottington that makes them so safe for the Conservatives. Sure, they're decent enough areas housing-wise, but they're not exactly up there with Bowdon or Hale. Personal votes or just more traditional values? Using the custom area profile tool, both Bury West and Tottington have generally middle class profiles in most respects, and in particular high owner occupation (Bury West is particularly high on "owned outright"), but have actually slightly below average proportions with degrees and, not unrelated to this, above average proportions of older age groups and below average proportions of younger adults. Areas like these tend to be the sorts of middle class areas where the Tory vote has held up relatively well.
|
|
bsjmcr
Non-Aligned
Posts: 1,390
|
Bury
Nov 19, 2023 21:08:35 GMT
Post by bsjmcr on Nov 19, 2023 21:08:35 GMT
I don't know what it is about Bury West or Tottington that makes them so safe for the Conservatives. Sure, they're decent enough areas housing-wise, but they're not exactly up there with Bowdon or Hale. Personal votes or just more traditional values? Using the custom area profile tool, both Bury West and Tottington have generally middle class profiles in most respects, and in particular high owner occupation (Bury West is particularly high on "owned outright"), but have actually slightly below average proportions with degrees and, not unrelated to this, above average proportions of older age groups and below average proportions of younger adults. Areas like these tend to be the sorts of middle class areas where the Tory vote has held up relatively well. That is a great tool. I've browsed the standard census maps one but that automatically zooms into the small areas too easily, and I like the graphs this one creates. Boundaryassistant also has a ward-level tool with the same census data but is quite high-level, whereas this is brilliant as it shows neighbourhoods as well as wards. It will be interesting to see if 'North Manor' is experiencing a bit of a Ramsbottom spillover effect or if it was just because it was a particularly bad year for the Tories. As you say, it has a higher proportion of graduates at over 40% (Ramsbottom is 39%), compared to Tottington, which at 33% is bang on the England average.
|
|
iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 10,790
|
Post by iain on Apr 8, 2024 12:39:29 GMT
SOPN: www.bury.gov.uk/council-and-democracy/elections-and-voting/statement-of-persons-nominatedLabour - 17 Conservative - 16 (missing Unsworth) Bury Independents - 9 (Besses, Bury East, Bury West, Elton, Moorside, Pilkington Park, Redvales, Tottington, Unsworth) Lib Dem - 4 (Bury East, Holyrood, Ramsbottom, Sedgley) Green - 4 (Holyrood, North Manor, Redvales, St Mary's) Workers Party - 3 (Bury East, Redvales, Unsworth) Radcliffe First - 3 (Radcliffe East, Radcliffe North & Ainsworth, Radcliffe West) English Democrats - 2 (Besses, Holyrood) Reform UK - 2 (Bury East, Pilkington Park) Independent - 2 (North Manor, Pilkington Park) Shocker for the Lib Dems. We were building back up some strength in Holyrood and St Mary's a couple of years back, but the all-ups came in a bad year for us, and seems to have led to a total collapse.
|
|
maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,026
|
Bury
Apr 11, 2024 14:14:46 GMT
Post by maxque on Apr 11, 2024 14:14:46 GMT
SOPN: www.bury.gov.uk/council-and-democracy/elections-and-voting/statement-of-persons-nominatedLabour - 17 Conservative - 16 (missing Unsworth) Bury Independents - 9 (Besses, Bury East, Bury West, Elton, Moorside, Pilkington Park, Redvales, Tottington, Unsworth) Lib Dem - 4 (Bury East, Holyrood, Ramsbottom, Sedgley) Green - 4 (Holyrood, North Manor, Redvales, St Mary's) Workers Party - 3 (Bury East, Redvales, Unsworth) Radcliffe First - 3 (Radcliffe East, Radcliffe North & Ainsworth, Radcliffe West) English Democrats - 2 (Besses, Holyrood) Reform UK - 2 (Bury East, Pilkington Park) Independent - 2 (North Manor, Pilkington Park) Shocker for the Lib Dems. We were building back up some strength in Holyrood and St Mary's a couple of years back, but the all-ups came in a bad year for us, and seems to have led to a total collapse. There is 17 Conservatives, they did not miss Unsworth.
|
|
|
Post by andrewteale on May 3, 2024 17:10:31 GMT
Labour have gained North Manor from the Conservatives and held Elton and all their wards in Bury South. Radcliffe First held all three Radcliffe wards.
|
|
|
Bury
May 3, 2024 18:59:38 GMT
Foggy likes this
Post by andrewteale on May 3, 2024 18:59:38 GMT
No other changes in the final declarations.
New council Lab 32 C 10 Radcliffe First 8 Ind 1
|
|
|
Bury
May 3, 2024 21:19:13 GMT
Post by lancastrian on May 3, 2024 21:19:13 GMT
The Workers Party were 193 votes from a seat in Redvales
|
|