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Post by elinorhelyn on Jun 17, 2023 20:06:44 GMT
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Post by london(ex)tory on Jun 17, 2023 20:10:24 GMT
Not another one!! š
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carolus
Lib Dem
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Post by carolus on Jun 17, 2023 20:11:31 GMT
Somerton, not Somerset
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YL
Non-Aligned
Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
Posts: 4,289
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Post by YL on Jun 17, 2023 20:29:15 GMT
Well assuming he actually applies for Northstead/Chiltern Hundreds...
This constituency is proposed to be split in two in the current boundary proposals, with a new Frome seat taking in the Midsomer Norton area from North East Somerset and a Glastonbury & Somerton taking the Glastonbury/Street area from Wells. I imagine that a Lib Dem by-election winner would be likely to stand in Glastonbury & Somerton.
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Post by edgbaston on Jun 17, 2023 20:36:57 GMT
Positive, now the Lib Dems can settle with this and Labour can have Mid Beds, Selby and Uxbridge
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Jun 17, 2023 20:37:06 GMT
Well assuming he actually applies for Northstead/Chiltern Hundreds... This constituency is proposed to be split in two in the current boundary proposals, with a new Frome seat taking in the Midsomer Norton area from North East Somerset and a Glastonbury & Somerton taking the Glastonbury/Street area from Wells. I imagine that a Lib Dem by-election winner would be likely to stand in Glastonbury & Somerton. Sarah Dyke, the Lib Dem candidate and by election winner, lives near Wincanton so she would almost defitnely stand in that seat. |
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iain
Lib Dem
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Post by iain on Jun 17, 2023 20:48:20 GMT
Positive, now the Lib Dems can settle with this and Labour can have Mid Beds, Selby and Uxbridge Lol |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jun 17, 2023 21:16:04 GMT
Warburton's letter to the Chancellor. Interestingly doesn't actually mention a request to be appointed to one of the Stewardships but "informs him of my decision to stand down".
Reveals the ICGS has found against him and he has a pending appeal, but "I have not the smallest hope that this appeal would be conducted with a balanced view".
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Post by finsobruce on Jun 17, 2023 21:31:44 GMT
Positive, now the Lib Dems can settle with this and Labour can have Mid Beds, Selby and Uxbridge Lol Ah, you've got to credit the lad for trying.  |
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European Lefty
Labour
Can be bribed with salted liquorice
Posts: 5,525
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Post by European Lefty on Jun 17, 2023 21:34:45 GMT
Of course if the Labour Party have any sense we'll give the LDs a taste of their own medicine by running a proper campaign in this seat as well as the other three
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European Lefty
Labour
Can be bribed with salted liquorice
Posts: 5,525
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Post by European Lefty on Jun 17, 2023 21:35:27 GMT
Positive, now the Lib Dems can settle with this and Labour can have Mid Beds, Selby and Uxbridge No, no, no, we should target this as well. Obviously |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jun 17, 2023 21:38:10 GMT
The idiot presented on LBC News just referred to this seat as Somerset & Frome as well..
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Post by finsobruce on Jun 17, 2023 21:39:44 GMT
The idiot presented on LBC News just referred to this seat as Somerset & Frome as well.. Is there a 'man from london' that we know who can ring in and put them right? |
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CatholicLeft
Labour
2032 posts until I was "accidentally" deleted.
Posts: 6,247
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Post by CatholicLeft on Jun 17, 2023 21:43:57 GMT
Positive, now the Lib Dems can settle with this and Labour can have Mid Beds, Selby and Uxbridge Lol To be fair, it depends on when the byelection takes place; if Nadine Dorries finally quits after throwing a hissy fit on Monday, one could see a second double byelection day. Somerton and Frome are a definite top target for the Lib Dems, with Labour unlikely to put up anything more than a small local campaign, and there is a fairly large Labour vote to squeeze. In Mid Beds, Labour are not going anywhere and I would be surprised if the Lib Dems would, in that case, not choose to focus on a definite chance to win, rather than take a risk on both, when Labour are likely to be boosted by winning one or both of the earlier byelections. If I were Rishi Sunak, my tactic would be to delay Somerton and Frome until Mid Beds as, in the first place, it would stop three separate possible electoral disasters and maybe have only two. Indeed, having the Lib Dems fighting on two fronts with Labour fighting hard in Mid Beds, the Tories might hope (maybe in vain) to hold on there. I love political machinations. |
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r34t
Non-Aligned
Posts: 831
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Post by r34t on Jun 17, 2023 22:12:25 GMT
Of course if the Labour Party have any sense we'll give the LDs a taste of their own medicine by running a proper campaign in this seat as well as the other three This current seat doesnāt have much of a Labour vote, but after reorganisation the Labour wards in BaNES are included & itās then a 4 way fight. A sitting LDem MP makes them clear favourites š in the new seat |
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CatholicLeft
Labour
2032 posts until I was "accidentally" deleted.
Posts: 6,247
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Post by CatholicLeft on Jun 17, 2023 22:21:58 GMT
Of course if the Labour Party have any sense we'll give the LDs a taste of their own medicine by running a proper campaign in this seat as well as the other three This current seat doesnāt have much of a Labour vote, but after reorganisation the Labour wards in BaNES are included & itās then a 4 way fight. A sitting LDem MP makes them clear favourites š in the new seat 8,354 Labour votes last time are not insignificant. |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jun 17, 2023 23:20:09 GMT
But there isn't really a Labour base in the seat. Frome used to be a Labour constituency but only because it included the Somerset coalfield - which is long gone and was mostly outside the constituency. I suspect those 8,354 votes were spread quite evenly.
Note the Green Party saved its deposit in 2019 and has now taken over as the main anti-Tory party in Frome - might mean they fancy having a run on it as they have a lot of pumped up activists in Bristol who might quite like some campaign practice.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Jun 17, 2023 23:58:12 GMT
Frome itself used to have quite a strong Labour vote as well as one or two rural wards towards the coalfield like Coleford. I expect Labour's vote was concentrated there to a certain extent.
Presumably Robin meant that the new Frome seat will be a three-way fight
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maxque
Non-Aligned
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Post by maxque on Jun 18, 2023 5:10:43 GMT
Councillors in the constituencyL
12 LD + 2 partial ones.
5 Con
4 Grn
1 Vacant
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European Lefty
Labour
Can be bribed with salted liquorice
Posts: 5,525
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Post by European Lefty on Jun 18, 2023 6:48:28 GMT
Of course if the Labour Party have any sense we'll give the LDs a taste of their own medicine by running a proper campaign in this seat as well as the other three This current seat doesnāt have much of a Labour vote, but after reorganisation the Labour wards in BaNES are included & itās then a 4 way fight. A sitting LDem MP makes them clear favourites š in the new seat That's not really the point though is it. If our campaign prevents the LDs winning (or helps prevent it) that's good enough for me |
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