|
|
Post by Daft H'a'porth A'peth A'pith on Nov 21, 2022 11:22:33 GMT
Parliamentary Prediction Competition for the City of Chester by election.
1st December 2022
The 9 candidates as a reminder are:
Jeanie Barton - Reform UK
Paul Bowers - Green
Samantha Dixon - Labour
Cain Griffiths - UKIP
Ron Herd - Liberal Democrats
Richard Hewison - Rejoin EU
Howling Hope - The Official Monster Raving Loony Party
Chris Quartermaine - Freedom Alliance
Liz Wardlaw - Conservative
Rules
1. Predict the Exact percentage score for each of the 9 candidates, to 1 decimal place.
2. Your total predictions must add up to 100%.
3. You will be penalised the amount you are above / below 100%, so please check your predictions carefully.
4. You will be penalised 11.1 points for each candidate missing from your prediction.
5. You will be penalised 11.1 points for predicting the wrong winner.
6. Deadline for Predictions is close of Poll, 10pm on Thursday 1st December 2022.
8. The Winner is the person with the lowest score once scores, including any penalties, have been calculated after the by election.
|
|
batman
Labour
Posts: 8,922 
Member is Online
|
Post by batman on Nov 28, 2022 12:33:47 GMT
Lab 43.5 C 21.7 LD 13.4 Green 7.9 Reform UK 4.7 Rejoin EU 2.8 FA 2.4 UKIP 1.9 OMRLP 1.7
|
|
peterl
Green
Monarchic Technocratic Localist
Posts: 8,248
|
Post by peterl on Nov 28, 2022 14:36:15 GMT
Lab 54.5 C 25.4 LD 7.8 Green 4.2 Reform UK 3.1 FA 1.8 Rejoin EU 1.5 UKIP 1.2 OMRLP 0.5
|
|
johnloony
Conservative
Posts: 21,835
Member is Online
|
Post by johnloony on Nov 28, 2022 16:05:46 GMT
Lab 62.1 Con 18.8 LD 11.8 Grn 3.5 RefUK 1.9 UKIP 0.7 OMRLP 0.5 Rejoin EU 0.4 FrAll 0.3
|
|
|
|
Post by kevinf on Nov 28, 2022 16:21:15 GMT
Lab 51, Con, 22, LibDem 9.5, Green 7.5, Reform 5, Ukip 3, Rejoin 1, OMRLP 0.5, Freedom 0.5
|
|
|
|
Post by Daft H'a'porth A'peth A'pith on Nov 28, 2022 19:08:37 GMT
All 4 entries accepted.
As usual a like on your post, from me, means entry excepted.
|
|
batman
Labour
Posts: 8,922
Member is Online
|
Post by batman on Nov 28, 2022 21:41:25 GMT
All 4 entries accepted.
As usual a like on your post, from me, means entry excepted.
you mean accepted DHAA |
|
|
|
Post by Daft H'a'porth A'peth A'pith on Nov 29, 2022 6:41:45 GMT
All 4 entries accepted.
As usual a like on your post, from me, means entry excepted.
you mean accepted DHAA I think I'll leave that error in there.  |
|
|
|
Post by Richard Cromwell on Nov 30, 2022 16:05:08 GMT
City of Chester| LAB | 65.9% | | CON | 24% | | LDEM | 6% | | GRN | 3.3% | | Reform | 0.8% | | Rejoin | 0% | | UKIP | 0% | | Freedom Alliance | 0% | | OMRLP | 0% |
|
|
Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,351
|
Post by Tony Otim on Nov 30, 2022 21:32:32 GMT
Lab 56.8
Con 27.8
LD 5.1
Grn 3.6
RefUK 3.3
UKIP 1.8
OMRLP 0.9
Rejoin 0.5
Freedom Alliance 0.2
|
|
|
|
Post by Daft H'a'porth A'peth A'pith on Dec 1, 2022 10:32:19 GMT
Reform UK Jeanie Barton 2.6
Green Paul Bowers 2
Labour Samantha Dixon 57.3
UKIP Cain Griffiths 0.7
Liberal Democrats Rob Herd 6.3
Rejoin EU Richard Hewison 0.5
Monster Raving Loony Howling Laud Hope 0.6
Freedom Alliance Chris Quartermaine 0.2
Conservative Liz Wardlaw 29.8
|
|
|
|
Post by Daft H'a'porth A'peth A'pith on Dec 1, 2022 10:33:02 GMT
Low turn out so far.
You still have to 10pm to enter.
DHAA
|
|
|
|
Post by Pete Whitehead on Dec 1, 2022 10:49:40 GMT
I didn't even remember this is happening today.
|
|
|
|
Post by Daft H'a'porth A'peth A'pith on Dec 1, 2022 10:51:35 GMT
I didn't even remember this is happening today.
I only just remembered to enter and I'm running the competition.
|
|
carlton43
Non-Aligned
Posts: 48,525
Member is Online
|
Post by carlton43 on Dec 1, 2022 11:28:09 GMT
I didn't even remember this is happening today. But what a comment on the unreality of the political times. I too was completely unaware this was actally happening NOW. It is because most practical politics have left me adrift and behind. They have no reality and no longer make any sense to me. Thus they don't matter and have no relevence to me. I literally don't care who wins or what changes there are in each party. All is but toys........signifying nothing! Rather sad. |
|
|
|
Post by Daft H'a'porth A'peth A'pith on Dec 1, 2022 16:15:41 GMT
Competition still open if anyone can be bothered.
|
|
|
|
Post by Pete Whitehead on Dec 1, 2022 17:37:00 GMT
| Lab | 55.2% | | Con | 27.2% | | LD | 8.4% | | Ref | 4.2% | | Grn | 2.9% | | UKIP | 0.9% | | Rejoin | 0.6% | | OMRLP | 0.4% | | FA | 0.2% |
|
|
|
|
Post by Daft H'a'porth A'peth A'pith on Dec 1, 2022 18:57:26 GMT
All 9 predictions made so far have been accepted.
Closing deadline as usual is close of poll, 10pm.
|
|
|
|
Post by LDCaerdydd on Dec 1, 2022 21:01:06 GMT
Don’t have time to do this properly (work/life busy), will make time for the next two.
FWIW: Labour 63% on a 39% turnout.
|
|
|
|
Post by bjornhattan on Dec 1, 2022 21:12:11 GMT
Jeanie Barton - Reform UK - 5.1%
Paul Bowers - Green - 3.5%
Samantha Dixon - Labour - 53.5%
Cain Griffiths - UKIP - 1.4%
Ron Herd - Liberal Democrats - 9.4%
Richard Hewison - Rejoin EU - 0.4%
Howling Hope - The Official Monster Raving Loony Party - 0.5%
Chris Quartermaine - Freedom Alliance - 0.3%
Liz Wardlaw - Conservative - 25.9%
|
|
