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Post by tonygreaves on Oct 6, 2019 17:04:48 GMT
What is significant about this poll is not the way Opinium plays fast and loose with the LD vote (watch out for a biggish rise next time?) but the way that Labour is on 23%. all the polls are showing one really important thing - Labour is buggered.
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Deleted
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Opinium
Oct 6, 2019 17:21:17 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Oct 6, 2019 17:21:17 GMT
The Corbyn Boris face to face has Corbyn unchanged and Boris down
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Opinium
Oct 6, 2019 18:05:20 GMT
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Post by andrew111 on Oct 6, 2019 18:05:20 GMT
The London crossbreak has LD on 11%, and Opinium have removed the table which asks people how they voted in the EU election (it is still in the index) suggesting there was a really poor match.
Dodgy poll
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Deleted
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Opinium
Oct 6, 2019 18:08:24 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Oct 6, 2019 18:08:24 GMT
Crossbreaks are always rubbish. 10% MoE and the Lib Dems are very likely to be at 20% in London
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Opinium
Oct 6, 2019 18:23:49 GMT
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Post by andrew111 on Oct 6, 2019 18:23:49 GMT
Crossbreaks are always rubbish. 10% MoE and the Lib Dems are very likely to be at 20% in London Yes, but without them publishing the weightings you cant tell which ones they have upweighted. If they weight to region they are introducing potentially large errors because the actual sample sizes are very small.
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Deleted
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Opinium
Oct 19, 2019 17:39:08 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Oct 19, 2019 17:39:08 GMT
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Post by tonygreaves on Oct 20, 2019 22:57:00 GMT
No changes there then.
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Post by thinwhiteduke on Oct 26, 2019 17:50:23 GMT
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jamie
Top Poster
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Post by jamie on Oct 27, 2019 15:30:09 GMT
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Post by tonygreaves on Oct 27, 2019 15:48:47 GMT
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johng
Labour
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Post by johng on Oct 27, 2019 16:15:56 GMT
Question phrasing is everything.
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Deleted
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Opinium
Nov 2, 2019 17:55:38 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Nov 2, 2019 17:55:38 GMT
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Post by tonygreaves on Nov 2, 2019 18:19:37 GMT
No. Peak Con. All the way down now but the question is - how far and how fast?
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Vibe
Non-Aligned
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Opinium
Nov 2, 2019 18:24:40 GMT
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Post by Vibe on Nov 2, 2019 18:24:40 GMT
Do we really think the Tories are as high as 42%? I mean, they COULD be, but does seem pretty high. Possibly - for now. I think I will wait until we get to see manifestos and see how many seats the likes of the BP and GN's field before I take these polls seriously.
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Deleted
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Opinium
Nov 3, 2019 12:58:14 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Nov 3, 2019 12:58:14 GMT
Best pm
Bors 37 minus 2 Corbyn 18 plus 2
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Deleted
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Opinium
Nov 3, 2019 13:16:31 GMT
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Post by Deleted on Nov 3, 2019 13:16:31 GMT
Best pm
Boris 29 minus 3 Corbyn 16 plus 3 Swinson 12 plus 1 Farage 9 unchanged
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Jack
Reform Party
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Post by Jack on Nov 9, 2019 19:43:13 GMT
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Post by curiousliberal on Nov 9, 2019 19:51:05 GMT
Can that squeeze last, and how much further can it go?
The public talk of a BxP/Con pact and Farage's decision not to stand may be proving very damaging.
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Post by andrewp on Nov 9, 2019 19:54:11 GMT
Can that squeeze last, and how much further can it go? The public talk of a BxP/Con pact and Farage's decision not to stand may be proving very damaging. If the Brexit Party only get 6%, the Conservatives would be pretty happy. in the constituency profile pieces that pop up in the newspapers at the moment, most of those who say that they are voting for the Brexit Party seem to be Labour voters who say they will never vote Conservative.
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Post by beesknee5 on Nov 9, 2019 19:58:40 GMT
If the brexit party vote is moving back to Labour as suggested by the poll then it may affect results in the North East.
Personally I'm not convinced the drop is genuine and would want to see more evidence
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