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Post by eastmidlandsright on Feb 16, 2024 0:23:40 GMT
Not a big surprise, Daines will have been in Trump’s ear about this for a while and the relationship between him and Rosendale has notably soured. It does still require more resources to be spent on the primary than they would like but I’d expect Sheehy to win with the level of backing and head start he’s had in the campaign I don’t really understand why Rosendale has run especially considering the long delay. Keeping his safe House seat and building up influence there would really have made more sense And just 6 days after announcing his entry to the Senate race Matt Rosendale is out, conceding that without Trump's support he cannot win. He said that he has not decided yet if he will run for re-election to his house seat. This is fantastic news for Tim Sheehy who now doesn't need to defend his right flank and can immediate take positions most suited for the fight against Tester.
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Post by stb12 on Feb 16, 2024 0:46:18 GMT
Not a big surprise, Daines will have been in Trump’s ear about this for a while and the relationship between him and Rosendale has notably soured. It does still require more resources to be spent on the primary than they would like but I’d expect Sheehy to win with the level of backing and head start he’s had in the campaign I don’t really understand why Rosendale has run especially considering the long delay. Keeping his safe House seat and building up influence there would really have made more sense And just 6 days after announcing his entry to the Senate race Matt Rosendale is out, conceding that without Trump's support he cannot win. He said that he has not decided yet if he will run for re-election to his house seat. This is fantastic news for Tim Sheehy who now doesn't need to defend his right flank and can immediate take positions most suited for the fight against Tester. Some very odd behaviour from him, waited months to announce a run and has now given up after six days. Was Trump endorsing Sheehy really that much of a surprise?
Like you say excellent news for Sheehy and the NRSC, not so good for Tester and the DSCC who would have really been hoping for a difficult and divisive GOP primary
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Post by stb12 on Feb 19, 2024 23:42:13 GMT
Very early snapshot of course and Democrat campaigning will intensify come the general election, but a couple of polls showing Hogan as very competitive against the two main Democrat candidates
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Post by riccimarsh on Feb 20, 2024 5:06:46 GMT
Wisconsin Governor Tony Evers signed new Wisconsin State legislative maps into law today… bizarrely, the GOP voted for them (because they could have been much worse), whereas many Dems voted against them (because they wanted a better Dem gerrymander after decades of the reverse). It will be interesting to see how Wisconsin votes in the future.
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Post by stb12 on Feb 20, 2024 12:57:52 GMT
California US Senate jungle primary poll
Very good for Schiff including the second place as Garvey being 2nd would wrap up the general election as well barring something extraordinary
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Post by eastmidlandsright on Feb 20, 2024 13:35:29 GMT
Very early snapshot of course and Democrat campaigning will intensify come the general election, but a couple of polls showing Hogan as very competitive against the two main Democrat candidates That is about where I expected the race to start. Hogan will most likely fade over time but the Democrats will have money and time here that they would have preferred not to.
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Post by eastmidlandsright on Feb 20, 2024 13:40:28 GMT
California US Senate jungle primary poll Very good for Schiff including the second place as Garvey being 2nd would wrap up the general election as well barring something extraordinary The funniest part of this is that Schiff has been running ads trying to boost Garvey while Porter has being running ads trying to boost Eric Early (a more right wing Republican).
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Post by timmullen on Feb 20, 2024 13:45:27 GMT
Very early snapshot of course and Democrat campaigning will intensify come the general election, but a couple of polls showing Hogan as very competitive against the two main Democrat candidates That is about where I expected the race to start. Hogan will most likely fade over time but the Democrats will have money and time here that they would have preferred not to. Trone is very wealthy so could largely self fund (as he’s doing in the primary) if he comes through that primary, and he seems to have a slim but comfortable poll lead against Alsobrooks. Trone also has a pretty moderate voting record in the House, and has donated to Republicans in the past. It could also be interesting to watch Trump; Hogan’s going to need to squeeze out every single Republican vote, and if Trump opposes him that may keep a small but vital few Republican voters skipping the race.
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Post by stb12 on Feb 22, 2024 9:04:56 GMT
Meghan McCain’s response to Kari Lake reaching out…
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Post by stb12 on Feb 26, 2024 19:05:45 GMT
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Post by stb12 on Feb 28, 2024 19:24:49 GMT
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Post by timmullen on Feb 28, 2024 21:22:59 GMT
I’ve put that in the US politics thread as I didn’t think it was strictly an election prior to the 2026 midterms when he’ll step down from the Senate.
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Post by stb12 on Feb 29, 2024 8:20:40 GMT
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Post by timmullen on Mar 5, 2024 19:46:19 GMT
Kyrsten Sinema has announced that she will not seek re-election in Arizona setting up a likely duel between Kari Lake and Rep Ruben Gallego.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Mar 5, 2024 19:47:25 GMT
Kyrsten Sinema not standing for re-election in Arizona. She was regularly polling in the low 20s and in third place. Helps the Democrats chances of retaining the Senate.
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CatholicLeft
Labour
2032 posts until I was "accidentally" deleted.
Posts: 6,315
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Post by CatholicLeft on Mar 5, 2024 21:17:40 GMT
Kyrsten Sinema not standing for re-election in Arizona. She was regularly polling in the low 20s and in third place. Helps the Democrats chances of retaining the Senate. If President Biden is re-elected, she is pretty much guaranteed a government post
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Post by eastmidlandsright on Mar 5, 2024 21:21:21 GMT
Kyrsten Sinema not standing for re-election in Arizona. She was regularly polling in the low 20s and in third place. Helps the Democrats chances of retaining the Senate. If President Biden is re-elected, she is pretty much guaranteed a government post Yet one more reason to hope that Biden loses.
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Post by stb12 on Mar 6, 2024 0:07:37 GMT
Sinema got a lot of stick particularly from Democrats and I understand why, both from a political perspective and because she doesn’t seem the most likeable person at times
However in an increasingly partisan political world she did try and be a deal maker, even in the Senate which is famous for that it is becoming quite rare. She also tended to focus on what she thought was possible rather than political rhetoric so I believe there are positive qualities that will be missed
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Post by stb12 on Mar 6, 2024 9:07:48 GMT
As recent polling had indicted Adam Schiff has topped the poll in the California Jungle Primary, with Steve Garvey finishing a comfortable second As Schiff was clearly hoping for by promoting Garvey in recent weeks this all but guarantees him election to the Senate, whereas a General Election fight against Katie Porter as a fellow Democrat would have been more uncertain www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-primary-elections/california-senate-results?amp=1
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Post by eastmidlandsright on Mar 6, 2024 10:26:06 GMT
I will never understand why so many people thought that two Democrats would advance to the general election. For that to happen it would have needed both a very close race between the two leading Democrats and the GOP vote to splinter. The latter never looked likely once Garvey entered the race.
It is however an absolute humiliation for Katie Porter who is currently sitting on just 13% of the vote. I doubt her political career is over but such a poor showing is a real setback and of course there is unlikely to be another open Senate seat in California for 20 years or more.
In other news Rep Steve Womack (R-AR) survived a challenge from his right by defeating state senator Clint Penzo 54-46. Penzo had run hard against Womack (a Scalise loyalist) for voting against Jim Jordan as Speaker.
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