Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
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Post by Tony Otim on May 26, 2019 10:25:59 GMT
Slovakia PS/S (Progressive Slovakia, Liberals) 20.1%. - 4 seats (+4) SMER (Social Democrats) 15.7% - 3 seats (-1) LSNS (People's Party Our Slovakia) 12% -2 seats (+2) KDH (Christian Democrats) 9.7%. - 2 seats (=) SaS (Freedom and Solidarity) 9.6% - 2 seats (+1) OlENO (Ordinary People) 5.3% - 1 seats (=) SMK (Party of the Hungarian Community) 5%. 0 seat (-1) SNS (Slovak National Party) 4.1% 0 KU 3.8% 0 Sme Rodina (We Are Family) 3.8% 0 MosLH (Hungarian minority) 2.6% (-1) Is that a result, partial result or exit poll? In any case, SMER not top 😮😮😮
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andrea
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Post by andrea on May 26, 2019 10:30:40 GMT
Slovakia PS/S (Progressive Slovakia, Liberals) 20.1%. - 4 seats (+4) SMER (Social Democrats) 15.7% - 3 seats (-1) LSNS (People's Party Our Slovakia) 12% -2 seats (+2) KDH (Christian Democrats) 9.7%. - 2 seats (=) SaS (Freedom and Solidarity) 9.6% - 2 seats (+1) OlENO (Ordinary People) 5.3% - 1 seats (=) SMK (Party of the Hungarian Community) 5%. 0 seat (-1) SNS (Slovak National Party) 4.1% 0 KU 3.8% 0 Sme Rodina (We Are Family) 3.8% 0 MosLH (Hungarian minority) 2.6% (-1) Is that a result, partial result or exit poll? In any case, SMER not top 😮😮😮 Slovakia papers say it is the "unconfirmed final result" dennikn.sk
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Tony Otim
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Suffering from Brexistential Despair
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Post by Tony Otim on May 26, 2019 10:31:47 GMT
Is that a result, partial result or exit poll? In any case, SMER not top 😮😮😮 Slovakia papers say it is the "unconfirmed final result" dennikn.skVERY good result for Progressive Slovakia in that case...
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andrea
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Post by andrea on May 26, 2019 11:00:48 GMT
Turnout at 12:00
France: 19.26% (15.7 in 2014)
Italy (7901 polling places out of 7915) 16.72% (16.65 in 2014)
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Post by Adam in Stroud on May 26, 2019 11:25:17 GMT
Slovakia PS/S (Progressive Slovakia, Liberals) 20.1%. - 4 seats (+4) SMER (Social Democrats) 15.7% - 3 seats (-1) LSNS (People's Party Our Slovakia) 12% -2 seats (+2) KDH (Christian Democrats) 9.7%. - 2 seats (=) SaS (Freedom and Solidarity) 9.6% - 2 seats (+1) OlENO (Ordinary People) 5.3% - 1 seats (=) SMK (Party of the Hungarian Community) 5%. 0 seat (-1) SNS (Slovak National Party) 4.1% 0 KU 3.8% 0 Sme Rodina (We Are Family) 3.8% 0 MosLH (Hungarian minority) 2.6% (-1) Only just noted the existence of a party called We Are Family, and the possibilities this would have opened up for ChUK to also name themselves after a Sister Sledge song, possibly Lost In Music. As an independent, Mr Field is of course just Frankie. Then again, if OIENO could be translated as Common People, we'd have the option of parties named after Pulp songs. Chuku's lot would obviously have been Sorted For E's and Whizz Something Changed while Brexit Party could be Help The Aged This Is Hardcore
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on May 26, 2019 12:01:03 GMT
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Harry Hayfield
Green
Cavalier Gentleman (as in 17th century Cavalier)
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Post by Harry Hayfield on May 26, 2019 13:06:17 GMT
Given that in most countries turnout is up and with suggestions that ALDE and G-EFA are going to do very well indeed, when the new EU commission president is chosen, do you think they will say to the new British PM "Europe voted in protest to Brexit, even your country saw people turn against Brexit, commit to a second referendum to be held on October 31st 2019, and we will let you leave on November 1st 2019 if the verdict is still LEAVE with no deal!"
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,337
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Post by Tony Otim on May 26, 2019 13:31:50 GMT
Given that in most countries turnout is up and with suggestions that ALDE and G-EFA are going to do very well indeed, when the new EU commission president is chosen, do you think they will say to the new British PM "Europe voted in protest to Brexit, even your country saw people turn against Brexit, commit to a second referendum to be held on October 31st 2019, and we will let you leave on November 1st 2019 if the verdict is still LEAVE with no deal!" No.
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Post by Antiochian on May 26, 2019 13:35:49 GMT
Given that in most countries turnout is up and with suggestions that ALDE and G-EFA are going to do very well indeed, when the new EU commission president is chosen, do you think they will say to the new British PM "Europe voted in protest to Brexit, even your country saw people turn against Brexit, commit to a second referendum to be held on October 31st 2019, and we will let you leave on November 1st 2019 if the verdict is still LEAVE with no deal!" They will "let us leave"? How kind of them...
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Post by Andrew_S on May 26, 2019 13:55:54 GMT
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andrea
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Post by andrea on May 26, 2019 14:00:41 GMT
Mind you that South has always lower turnouts. It is down in Sicily and Campania by 1 point. Same as 2014 in Calabria (11 vs 10.6) and Puglia (13.7 vs 13.6). It is not raising in the North compared to 2014, it is pretty much stable so far (Lombardia 20.8% compared to 20.5; Veneto 19.6 vs 19.1, Piemonte 19.8 vs 19.9 and Liguria 20.1 vs 19.9)
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on May 26, 2019 14:13:17 GMT
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Georg Ebner
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Roman romantic reactionary Catholic
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Post by Georg Ebner on May 26, 2019 14:16:53 GMT
Predicting the OutCome of the EP-election in Austria is since the Ibiza-video and the end of ÖVP&FPÖ difficult. In general FPÖ doesn't have those SPÖ/ÖVP-voters, who were born as such and would neverever elect another party (except perhaps 2-3% of traditional GermanNationals). As a result, they fell in the EP-election of 2004 to only 6.3%. On the other hand they had a basement of ~10% (2002; 2006), who were quite loyal; these have been increasing recently to ~15% and FPÖ has been able to "harden" this initially fluid crowd, to create its own distinct milieu (ex grege: Strache has had 800.000 FaceBook-followers!). So, if Strache had continued without any shame, FPÖ might have fallen below these 15%; as he stepped immediately down, 15% should be the party's low-limit (and the 35% in the PresidentialElection 2016 would be the maximum). If the GeneralElection was held tomorrow, i'd say, that FPÖ would probably end above 20%. In the EuropeanElection i guess, that while the rightradical (exSPÖ BlueCollars) wing around Kickl will be reenergized, many of the moderate wing around Hofer will be too hardbroken and stay at home (some will go to Kurz). So the FPÖ could end at 15-20%. ÖVP 35, SPÖ 25-30, NEOS and GREENS 5-10, PILZ 0-5. What's a GermanNational? A neo-Anschlusser?? Yes, those, who were dreaming of a german republic (or at least an Anschluss to Bismarck/Hitler-Germany): the liberal bourgeoisie. (Although most of them have adopted after 1945 the position of "1 cultural nation, 2 political nations")
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on May 26, 2019 14:18:52 GMT
Le Figaro reports that Ile-de-France has the lowest turnouts so far.
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andrea
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Post by andrea on May 26, 2019 14:22:19 GMT
Le Figaro reports that Ile-de-France has the lowest turnouts so far. Don't they have a longer voting hours in Ile de France (20PM) rather than 6pm?
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Post by Antiochian on May 26, 2019 14:30:37 GMT
What's a GermanNational? A neo-Anschlusser?? Yes, those, who were dreaming of a german republic (or at least an Anschluss to Bismarck/Hitler-Germany): the liberal bourgeoisie. (Although most of them have adopted after 1945 the position of "1 cultural nation, 2 political nations") Or three if you include the DDR!
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Post by Devil Wincarnate on May 26, 2019 14:31:56 GMT
Le Figaro reports that Ile-de-France has the lowest turnouts so far. Don't they have a longer voting hours in Ile de France (20PM) rather than 6pm? Not sure to be honest. Sounds like it'll be record turnout across France though, so sounds like the area is lagging behind the rest rather than seeing a decline in participation.
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Georg Ebner
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Post by Georg Ebner on May 26, 2019 14:56:44 GMT
Austria: TurnOut +10%
Probably mostly leftwingers (but quite some could break for Kurz this time) and few from FPÖ's HardRight.
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Foggy
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Post by Foggy on May 26, 2019 15:07:40 GMT
Austrian 'trend prognosis', which doesn't appear to be a proper exit poll:
ÖVP 7 seats SPÖ 5 FPÖ 3 Greens 2 [3 if Brexit happens] NEOS 1
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andrea
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Post by andrea on May 26, 2019 15:09:12 GMT
Cyprus
exit polls
Disy (EPP) 30% (-8) Communists 29 (+2) DIKO (Democrats) 13 (+2) EDEK (Social Democrats) 10 (+2) NI (far right) 9 (+6)
In mid afternoon the turnout of Turkish Cypriots was 5,87%
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