Montenegro parliamentary election 2016
Oct 2, 2016 11:47:16 GMT
finsobruce, hedgehog, and 1 more like this
Post by Deleted on Oct 2, 2016 11:47:16 GMT
Parliamentary elections coming up in Montenegro on 16 October.
A small country with only c. 650,000 inhabitants. The 81 member parliament is elected by closed list PR using d'Hondt for seat allocation. There is a 3% threshold, but its reduced for ethnic minorities.
Montenegro has an invitation to join NATO, the government supports this while the pro-Serbian part of the population are against. There has been significant realignment in Montenegro politics recently. Everything in Montenegro politics revolves around whether or not you support long time leader Milo Đukanović and (thereby) continued independence from Serbia, or want him out of the way and some kind of union with the fatherland.
Latest poll: www.cdm.me/politika/kljuc-opozicija-daleko-jaca-od-dps-a
Democratic Party of Socialists of Montenegro (DPS) 37.2
The successor to the old Montenegrin Communist party, now nominally Social Democrats (but de facto Liberals), pro-independence and pro-Western, led by Milo Đukanović (54), who has dominated Montenegro politics since the early 90s and been leader (either as PM or President) 1991-2006, 2008-10, and 2012 onwards - and been in power even while out of office. A few candidates from his junior partner the Liberal Party (pro-LGBT rights, free weed, legal prostitution, free markets, EU and NATO etc.) are running on their list. The two allies currently have 31 seats.
Key Coalition (Koalicija Ključ) 22.7
Triparty opposition alliance led by Miodrag Lekić from the pro-business Conservative and pro-EU Democratic Alliance (DEMOS), who split from the opposition Democratic Front last year. They are allied with Left Populist and SoCon Socialist People's Party of Montenegro (SNP), which are heirs to the pro-Serbian wing of the Communist, and the new Social Liberal United Reform Action (URA) led by 90s and early 00s SDP president Žarko Rakčević, which split from ecologist Darko Pajović SoLib Positive Montenegro, after it decided to back the government. These parties are united in hating Đukanović and NATO, and being pro-Serbia and EU-membership, but not much else and its hard to see them actually ruling Montenegro together. The Key Coalition have 13 seats (URA 2, DEMOS 4 and SNP 7).
Democratic Front (DF) 14.3
An anti-government alliance of the New Serb Democracy (NOVA), Movement for Changes (PzP), Democratic Party of Unity (DSJ), Democratic People's Party (DNP), Workers' Party (RP), Yugoslav Communist Party of Montenegro (JKP) and Democratic Serb Party (DSS) + anti-government NGOs, student orgs, academics, independent personalities and. DNP includes a breakaway fraction of the Socialist People's Party (SNP). All these parties are NatCon, SoCon, pro-Serbian and pro-Russian. JKP and RP are far left economically, the others are right wing populist. Since this is the Balkans that seems to matter little (especially since neither of the leftist parties have any MPs..). They currently have 17 seats combined. New Serb Democracy have 7, Movement for Changes 5, Democratic People's Party 3, Indies 2.
Democratic Montenegro (DSG) 7.1
A 2015 split of SNP moderates. They currently have 2 seats.
Social Democratic Party of Montenegro (SDP) 4.1
Social Democratic and pro-EU party with origin in civil right activists/reformist Communists and anti-Milosevic sentiments (back when Djukanovic was still pally with Milosevic). After a long time as ally of the PDS SDP split in two a year ago and the continuity party is now in opposition. Some of the best people in Montenegro politics are in the SDP. The pro-government breakaway is called Social Democrats of Montenegro (SD). The party have 5 seats # (incl. 1 defector from Positive Montenegro).
Below the threshold:
Bosniak Party (BS) 2.8
SoCon, moderately centre-right minority party currently in government. Because a Bosniak minority party only needs 0.7% to get represented the threshold is irrelevant. Currently have 3 seats.
Social Democrats of Montenegro (SD) 2.2
SDP breakaway formed last year by the party's two vice presidents, who decided to continue to support the government despite its liberal economic policies. Currently have 3 seats #.
Positive Montenegro (PCG) 0.8
Social Liberal Greenies led by biologist and environmental activist Darko Pajović, who in January decided to rescue Đukanović after SDP left the government, and subsequently lost half his party. They have 3 seats left of their 7 (2 went to DEMOS, 1 to SDP and 1 is an Indie).
Others 8.8
This includes the two ethnic minority parties holding the last three seats:
Albanians Decisively, (a brand new alliance of the three major Albanian parties the Albanian Alternative (AA), New Democratic Power (FORCA) and Democratic Union of Albanians (DUA). It currently have 2 seats (1 AA and 1 FORCA). No idea what the difference between AA and FORCA is, but DUA are SoCons led by a rapid homophobe.
Croatian Civic Initiative, Conservative and pro-EU Crotian minority party, which currently have 1 seat (and will keep it; Croats have a special 0.35% threshold).
# Its a bit unclear whether the SDP/SD balance is 6/2 or 5/3 at the moment.
A small country with only c. 650,000 inhabitants. The 81 member parliament is elected by closed list PR using d'Hondt for seat allocation. There is a 3% threshold, but its reduced for ethnic minorities.
Montenegro has an invitation to join NATO, the government supports this while the pro-Serbian part of the population are against. There has been significant realignment in Montenegro politics recently. Everything in Montenegro politics revolves around whether or not you support long time leader Milo Đukanović and (thereby) continued independence from Serbia, or want him out of the way and some kind of union with the fatherland.
Latest poll: www.cdm.me/politika/kljuc-opozicija-daleko-jaca-od-dps-a
Democratic Party of Socialists of Montenegro (DPS) 37.2
The successor to the old Montenegrin Communist party, now nominally Social Democrats (but de facto Liberals), pro-independence and pro-Western, led by Milo Đukanović (54), who has dominated Montenegro politics since the early 90s and been leader (either as PM or President) 1991-2006, 2008-10, and 2012 onwards - and been in power even while out of office. A few candidates from his junior partner the Liberal Party (pro-LGBT rights, free weed, legal prostitution, free markets, EU and NATO etc.) are running on their list. The two allies currently have 31 seats.
Key Coalition (Koalicija Ključ) 22.7
Triparty opposition alliance led by Miodrag Lekić from the pro-business Conservative and pro-EU Democratic Alliance (DEMOS), who split from the opposition Democratic Front last year. They are allied with Left Populist and SoCon Socialist People's Party of Montenegro (SNP), which are heirs to the pro-Serbian wing of the Communist, and the new Social Liberal United Reform Action (URA) led by 90s and early 00s SDP president Žarko Rakčević, which split from ecologist Darko Pajović SoLib Positive Montenegro, after it decided to back the government. These parties are united in hating Đukanović and NATO, and being pro-Serbia and EU-membership, but not much else and its hard to see them actually ruling Montenegro together. The Key Coalition have 13 seats (URA 2, DEMOS 4 and SNP 7).
Democratic Front (DF) 14.3
An anti-government alliance of the New Serb Democracy (NOVA), Movement for Changes (PzP), Democratic Party of Unity (DSJ), Democratic People's Party (DNP), Workers' Party (RP), Yugoslav Communist Party of Montenegro (JKP) and Democratic Serb Party (DSS) + anti-government NGOs, student orgs, academics, independent personalities and. DNP includes a breakaway fraction of the Socialist People's Party (SNP). All these parties are NatCon, SoCon, pro-Serbian and pro-Russian. JKP and RP are far left economically, the others are right wing populist. Since this is the Balkans that seems to matter little (especially since neither of the leftist parties have any MPs..). They currently have 17 seats combined. New Serb Democracy have 7, Movement for Changes 5, Democratic People's Party 3, Indies 2.
Democratic Montenegro (DSG) 7.1
A 2015 split of SNP moderates. They currently have 2 seats.
Social Democratic Party of Montenegro (SDP) 4.1
Social Democratic and pro-EU party with origin in civil right activists/reformist Communists and anti-Milosevic sentiments (back when Djukanovic was still pally with Milosevic). After a long time as ally of the PDS SDP split in two a year ago and the continuity party is now in opposition. Some of the best people in Montenegro politics are in the SDP. The pro-government breakaway is called Social Democrats of Montenegro (SD). The party have 5 seats # (incl. 1 defector from Positive Montenegro).
Below the threshold:
Bosniak Party (BS) 2.8
SoCon, moderately centre-right minority party currently in government. Because a Bosniak minority party only needs 0.7% to get represented the threshold is irrelevant. Currently have 3 seats.
Social Democrats of Montenegro (SD) 2.2
SDP breakaway formed last year by the party's two vice presidents, who decided to continue to support the government despite its liberal economic policies. Currently have 3 seats #.
Positive Montenegro (PCG) 0.8
Social Liberal Greenies led by biologist and environmental activist Darko Pajović, who in January decided to rescue Đukanović after SDP left the government, and subsequently lost half his party. They have 3 seats left of their 7 (2 went to DEMOS, 1 to SDP and 1 is an Indie).
Others 8.8
This includes the two ethnic minority parties holding the last three seats:
Albanians Decisively, (a brand new alliance of the three major Albanian parties the Albanian Alternative (AA), New Democratic Power (FORCA) and Democratic Union of Albanians (DUA). It currently have 2 seats (1 AA and 1 FORCA). No idea what the difference between AA and FORCA is, but DUA are SoCons led by a rapid homophobe.
Croatian Civic Initiative, Conservative and pro-EU Crotian minority party, which currently have 1 seat (and will keep it; Croats have a special 0.35% threshold).
# Its a bit unclear whether the SDP/SD balance is 6/2 or 5/3 at the moment.
