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Post by bjornhattan on Jan 27, 2021 4:28:49 GMT
I appreciate the world has moved on since Dec, but I've just seen this and had a quick look, and see that no-one has posted any attempts. I felt it deserved some response. No research or anything, just going on gut feel but I my best guesses were: 1) Seats represented by a knighted MP 2) Most marginal seats 3) Seats with largest population 4) Seats with an 'x' in the name. Was I close to some of them? I had the same as you for 1. 3 I think is seats that have had a majority under 100 on the current boundaries, and 4 is seats with a w, x or z. On 2 I had absolutely no idea, but looking at it now I think you may be right. I think 4 might be j, q, x, or z. None of the Newcastle constuencies (upon Tyne or under Lyme) are highlighted, so Jarrow and St. Austell and Newquay must have other reasons.
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Post by David Ashforth on Jan 27, 2021 10:07:08 GMT
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ricmk
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Post by ricmk on Jan 27, 2021 14:29:51 GMT
I had the same as you for 1. 3 I think is seats that have had a majority under 100 on the current boundaries, and 4 is seats with a w, x or z. On 2 I had absolutely no idea, but looking at it now I think you may be right. I think 4 might be j, q, x, or z. None of the Newcastle constuencies (upon Tyne or under Lyme) are highlighted, so Jarrow and St. Austell and Newquay must have other reasons. And now over-thinking it, if it's those four letters I'd describe as "The letters scoring more than 5 in Scrabble"
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Adrian
Co-operative Party
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Post by Adrian on Jan 28, 2021 16:42:48 GMT
I think 4 might be j, q, x, or z. None of the Newcastle constuencies (upon Tyne or under Lyme) are highlighted, so Jarrow and St. Austell and Newquay must have other reasons. And now over-thinking it, if it's those four letters I'd describe as "The letters scoring more than 5 in Scrabble" I think they've all been got now except no. 2. 1 is knights/dames, 3 is seats that have been ultra-marginal on current boundaries, 4 is seats with J/Q/X/Z.
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Post by andrewteale on Jan 30, 2021 21:44:44 GMT
Chemsford 2019. LD 31 (+26) C 21 (-31) Ind 3 (+3) South Woodham Ferrers Council Taxpayers Assoc 2 (+2). Changes based on 2015: Ind gain from C Broomfield and the Walthams (1) Galleywood (1) Rettendon and Runwell (1) LD gain from C Chelmer Village and Beaulieu Park (2) Goat Hall (1) Great Baddow East (3) Great Baddow West (2) The Lawns (2) Marconi (1) Moulsham and Central (3) Moulsham Lodge (1) Patching Hall (2) St Andrews (2) Springfield North (3) Trinity (2) Waterhouse Farm (2) South Woodham Ferrers Council Taxpayers Assoc gain from C South Woodham - Elmwood and Woodville (2) Split wards in 2019 were: Broomfield and the Walthams: 1Ind/2C Chelmer Village and Beaulieu Park: 2LD/1C Galleywood: C/Ind Rettendon and Runwell: Ind/C South Woodham - Elmwood and Woodville: 2 South Woodham Ferrers Council Taxpayers Assoc/1C
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Post by relique on Feb 3, 2021 8:46:57 GMT
I did those maps of my "département". These are the legislative constituencies from 1958 to 2017.
I couldn't get the software to draw boundaries, so I had to use several blue, several red, several pink and several yellow to designate the right-wing (including gaullist and giscardien), the communists and insoumis, the socialists and the macronists respectively.
There's no map for 1986 since the election was a list-proportional election.
The boundaries are not perfect inside the cities (I need more information on that).
There are very few constituencies without much change.
The Dunkerque constituency has mostly been left-wing, even though it was once one constituency (by Albert Denvers), then two (with one going right-wing in 1993) then one again by my comrade republican left Christian Hutin (MRC then MDC)
To the right, the Lille-Lambersart and Lille-Marcq-en-Baroeul constituencies have been mostly right-wing (though with LREM now). The Flandre constituency (south of Dunkerque) has mostly been right-wing except between 1997 and 2002 with Monique Denise (PS), deputy mayor of Dunkerque (not in the constituency).
The Douai-South-East (then East) constituency (mining country) has also been communist for a long time, but not in 1958. Saint-Amand has also long been communist except in 1958 and in 1973 when a former socialist (who left in 1970 when the socialists signed a common platform with the communists and joined UDF) took it for one term.
Different maps but for the same Département. Here is a map of the results at the "cantonales" level, which is the local government for the Département du Nord. Some "cantons" have seen some change between 1958 and 1982, mostly they were divided at some point. But no big boundary change other than that until the 2015 election (where two people were elected on a ticket in half the cantons).
Like last time, I had limited possibilities for colours. So every shade of blue is right-wing politicians (some gaullists, some UDF, etc..). Every shade of pink is socialists (or left-wing close to PS). Every shade of red (and orange-red in the bottom half of the map) is for communists politicians.
There are a few orange cantons in the 2000s-2010s around Lille which are Modem (centrist) politicians.
The Nord Département (the most populous nowadays) has mostly been controlled by socialists except in the 1992-1998 period and since 2015.
(The term was always 6 years but until 2015 it was half-renewed every three years; there might have been some by-elections organised at the same time as the partial renewal)
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Post by David Ashforth on Feb 5, 2021 12:59:22 GMT
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Post by andrewteale on Feb 7, 2021 22:57:44 GMT
Thanet 2019. C 25 (+7) Lab 20 (+16) Thanet Ind 7 (+7) Grn 3 (+3) Ind 1 UKIP 0 (-33). Changes based on 2015 (deep breath, here we go): C gain from UKIP Beacon Road (1) Birchington South (3) Cliffsend and Pegwell (1) Cliftonville East (2) Westbrook (1) C and Grn gain from Ind and UKIP Thanet Villages (1+1) Grn gain from C St Peters (1) Grn gain from UKIP Central Harbour (1) Ind gain from C Viking (1) Lab gain from UKIP Central Harbour (1) Cliftonville West (3) Dane Valley (1) Eastcliff (3) Margate Central (1) Nethercourt (2) Newington (2) Salmestone (2) Sir Moses Montefiore (1) Thanet Ind gain from UKIP Dane Valley (2) Garlinge (1) Northwood (3) Westgate-on-Sea (1) Split wards in 2019 were: Beacon Road: C/Lab Central Harbour: 2Lab/1Grn Dane Valley: 2 Thanet Ind/1Lab Garlinge: Thanet Ind/C St Peters: 2C/1Grn Thanet Villages: 2C/1Grn Viking: 2C/1Ind Westgate-on-Sea: 2C/1 Thanet Ind
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European Lefty
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Post by European Lefty on Feb 7, 2021 23:56:28 GMT
And now over-thinking it, if it's those four letters I'd describe as "The letters scoring more than 5 in Scrabble" I think they've all been got now except no. 2. 1 is knights/dames, 3 is seats that have been ultra-marginal on current boundaries, 4 is seats with J/Q/X/Z. Is it something to do with unusually good Green performances?
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Post by David Ashforth on Feb 8, 2021 10:37:01 GMT
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Post by johnloony on Feb 9, 2021 13:58:51 GMT
From someone on Twitter: "The Rockies are new, young and virile and fresh from the Laramide orogeny, tall and lanky teenagers on the geological scale. The Appalachian mountains are old, formed hundreds of millions of years ago before the dinosaurs walked the Earth. They are ancients, elders, witnesses to half a billion years of life coming and going. To be tall is not a virtue. To be small is not a sin. The Appalachians are eroding under the weight of time, slowly shrinking and returning to the Earth from which they sprang."
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Post by johnloony on Feb 9, 2021 14:29:17 GMT
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Post by John Chanin on Feb 9, 2021 16:32:24 GMT
From someone on Twitter: "The Rockies are new, young and virile and fresh from the Laramide orogeny, tall and lanky teenagers on the geological scale. The Appalachian mountains are old, formed hundreds of millions of years ago before the dinosaurs walked the Earth. They are ancients, elders, witnesses to half a billion years of life coming and going. To be tall is not a virtue. To be small is not a sin. The Appalachians are eroding under the weight of time, slowly shrinking and returning to the Earth from which they sprang." The Appalachians interestingly aren’t really a single chain of mountains at all, but a double chain which cross each other. One derives from the Caledonian orogeny and the other from the Hercynian orogeny.
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Post by andrewteale on Feb 10, 2021 17:37:03 GMT
Herefordshire 2019. Ind 18 (+10) C 13 (-16) It's Our County 8 (-4) Grn 7 (+5) LD 7 (+5). Changes based on 2015 (deep breath, here we go): C gain from Ind Holmer Grn gain from C Birch Bishops Frome and Cradley Grn gain from Ind Leominster South Grn gain from It's Our County Central Greyfriars Ind gain from C Bobblestock Castle Golden Valley North Golden Valley South Hagley Kerne Bridge Penyard Saxon Gate Stoney Street Weobley Ind gain from It's Our County Aylestone Hill Kings Acre Tupsley It's Our County gain from C College Hampton LD gain from C Hinton and Hunderton Ross East Ross North Ross West LD gain from It's Our County Ledbury West Ross North was a postponed poll. The It's Our County councillor in Whitecross was elected while ineligible, and It's Our County held the resulting by-election.
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Post by minionofmidas on Feb 11, 2021 12:54:47 GMT
Belmont "rural" appears to be badly misnamed. Without looking it up, I suppose it's the part of a former parish of Belmont that wasn't annexed by Hereford at some point, but it certainly looks weird now.
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Feb 11, 2021 14:25:13 GMT
Belmont "rural" appears to be badly misnamed. Without looking it up, I suppose it's the part of a former parish of Belmont that wasn't annexed by Hereford at some point, but it certainly looks weird now. No, Belmont Rural parish broke away from Clehonger parish in 2000 to cover the Belmont Estate. I suppose the name was picked by some marketing whiz.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Feb 11, 2021 19:56:09 GMT
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Post by Arthur Figgis on Feb 11, 2021 20:02:00 GMT
At least someone gets it.
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J.G.Harston
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Post by J.G.Harston on Feb 11, 2021 21:53:12 GMT
Isle of Axholme in the Midlands?
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Khunanup
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Post by Khunanup on Feb 11, 2021 23:01:24 GMT
At least someone gets it. Yeah, the Wirral is the true north West, but we knew that anyway... 😜
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