EU: Scottish Independence after Brexit?

[jollyroger93]

Scotland would vote no again.

[gwynthegriff]

Mar 9, 2016 15:48:02 GMT jollyroger93 said:

Scotland would vote no again.

I think that would be quite likely.

[afleitch]

Mar 9, 2016 15:19:08 GMT ntyuk1707 said:

I'm sure you've all heard the SNP's rhetoric that is holding a second referendum on independence should Scotland vote to remain a part of the European Union should the rest of the United Kingdom vote to leave. What are your thoughts on this?

Except that isn't what they are saying. They are committed to independence (as they have been for 80 years) but independence won't be fast tracked on the back of an EU vote. Given that it was 45% last time, is between 45 and 50% in terms of polls at the moment and that theoretical voting intention post withdrawal from the EU is over 50%, then there is a little movement in it's favour. A further Labour drubbing in 2020 is more likely to set an independence referendum in motion than the result this year.

[Pete Whitehead]

Mar 23, 2016 20:15:21 GMT @boogieeck said:

If the UK votes approx 52-48 to leave while within that Scotland voted 60-40 to stay, then there will be another referendum. Scotland would then be voting on whether to leave the UK to join the EU both probably on unfavourable terms, such as Euro membership, Schengen membership, border controls and capital flight.

Scotland would be angry that nobody agreed to its utterly reasonable demands and would vote 55-45 to stay in the UK

I wonder if the UK votes 52-48 to remain with Scotland voting 60-40 remain and the rest of the UK voting 51-49 to leave (or something similar which I should think is mathematically possible), do we get to tell Scotland to frack off and stay in the EU by themselves?

[No Offence Alan]

Mar 23, 2016 20:36:54 GMT @boogieeck said:

Its a fair point. What I would say to you and similarly to Scottish nationalists is this.

Do you think a claimed technical victory is ever going to be enough on a 51-49 result? In reality as we see anything that falls short of 60-40 is short of what is needed to settle either question either way.

The 1997 referendum for devolution in Wales passed by 50.3% to 49.7%. I don't recall any significant campaign to abolish the Welsh Assembly (now Government) since.