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Post by Benjamin on Sept 14, 2018 12:18:57 GMT
Hopefully we'll get the full preferences spreadsheet eventually, but percentage transfers in each round:
Exclusion of Lib: Con 23.1, Ind C 23.1, Lab 15.4, LD 15.4, n/t 15.4, Ind M 7.7
Exclusion of Ind M: Ind C 51.2, n/t 14.6, LD 12.2, Con 9.8, SNP 7.3, Lab 2.4, Grn 2.4
Exclusion of Grn: SNP 37.2, LD 22.5, Lab 18.2, n/t 8.9, Ind C 7.8, Con 5.4
Exclusion of Ind C: n/t 26.5, Con 22.1, SNP 19.5, LD 18.9, Lab 12.9
Exclusion of LD: n/t 35.4, Lab 25.9, Con 21.7, SNP 17.1
Exclusion of Lab: n/t 55.1, SNP 23.7, Con 21.2
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Post by boogieeck on Sept 14, 2018 12:28:41 GMT
Interesting
I was mistaken, to Labour voters the SNP is marginally preferable to the Conservatives. Majority however prefer to not transfer.
LD plurality NT, then Labour, Cons then SNP
Greens look like a SNP offshoot, maybe with savvy voters who can posture with 1st pref then transfer safe in knowledge etc .
OK, its Fife, and its a snap shot. But parties should be looking at where their 2nd prefs go to and come from to determine who they can and cannot do coalitions with.
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Post by Benjamin on Sept 14, 2018 12:39:33 GMT
Also interesting is the percentage of 2nd, 3rd etc. preferences for each candidate: 1st preferences: Con 37.3, SNP 28.1, Lab 12.0, LD 9.1, Ind C 8.4, Grn 4.2, Ind M 0.6, Lib 0.2 2nd preferences: n/t 31.0, LD 15.5, Ind C 14.1, Grn 12.4, Lab 10.1, SNP 6.5, Con 6.2, Ind M 3.7, Lib 0.6 3rd preferences: n/t 53.3, LD 9.7, Ind C 8.7, Lab 7.5, Grn 6.9, Ind M 6.7, SNP 3.3, Con 2.3, Lib 1.0 publications.fifedirect.org.uk/c64_PreferenceSummary_Report_All_Contests_07092018_000425.pdfConservatives the least popular second and third preference of all the significant parties, very closely followed by the SNP. |
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Tony Otim
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Post by Tony Otim on Sept 14, 2018 12:43:25 GMT
Also interesting is the percentage of 2nd, 3rd etc. preferences for each candidate: 1st preferences: Con 37.3, SNP 28.1, Lab 12.0, LD 9.1, Ind C 8.4, Grn 4.2, Ind M 0.6, Lib 0.2 2nd preferences: n/t 31.0, LD 15.5, Ind C 14.1, Grn 12.4, Lab 10.1, SNP 6.5, Con 6.2, Ind M 3.7, Lib 0.6 3rd preferences: n/t 53.3, LD 9.7, Ind C 8.7, Lab 7.5, Grn 6.9, Ind M 6.7, SNP 3.3, Con 2.3, Lib 1.0 publications.fifedirect.org.uk/c64_PreferenceSummary_Report_All_Contests_07092018_000425.pdfConservatives the least popular second and third preference of all the significant parties, very closely followed by the SNP. Yes but it must be remembered that the cons and SNP had significantly more 1st preferences and so had sognificantly fewer potential 2nd and 3rd prefs compared to say the lib dems. |
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Post by boogieeck on Apr 11, 2019 20:58:41 GMT
If i may revive a thread EDINBURGH UA; Leith Walk (Lab resigned): Candidates: ALEXANDER, Steven (UKIP) CALDWELL, Jack (Liberal Democrat) GARDNER, Nick (Labour) ILLINGWORTH, Kevin (Independent) JACOBSEN, David Don (Socialist Labour Party) LAIRD, Tim (Libertarian) MCCROSKIE, Dan (Conservative) MUNN, Rob (SNP) SCOTT, John Ferguson (Independent) SLATER, Lorna (Green) STIRLING, Paul Mitchell (For Britain) "Tim" Laird, I am fairly sure will in fact be Tam (Thomas) Laird, Leader of the Scottish Libertarian Party. Pleasant company over a pint, rabid Yesser however. When a party leader cant even get known by the correct Christian name, the party is in trouble. Aberdeen Labour are cluttering up the internet for Nick Gardner. Dan McCroskrie is a nice guy. I last met him when he was handing out "Strong and Stable " banners at Theresa May's famous "gathering in a forest" meeting four miles from my home. His candidature is evidence of one of the many malaises in the Scottish Conservative Party as was his candidature in the Western Isles. He hails from Ayrshire. He is employed by Central office, who now micro manage the entire Scottish Party. This month they are re-selecting MSPs for elections due in over two years time. Their MPs include at least two who were employed directly by the party prior to being elected with no other electoral/political/business/career track record in their <30 years. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Apr 11, 2019 21:27:06 GMT
If i may revive a thread EDINBURGH UA; Leith Walk (Lab resigned): Candidates: ALEXANDER, Steven (UKIP) CALDWELL, Jack (Liberal Democrat) GARDNER, Nick (Labour) ILLINGWORTH, Kevin (Independent) JACOBSEN, David Don (Socialist Labour Party) LAIRD, Tim (Libertarian) MCCROSKIE, Dan (Conservative) MUNN, Rob (SNP) SCOTT, John Ferguson (Independent) SLATER, Lorna (Green) STIRLING, Paul Mitchell (For Britain) "Tim" Laird, I am fairly sure will in fact be Tam (Thomas) Laird, Leader of the Scottish Libertarian Party. Pleasant company over a pint, rabid Yesser however. When a party leader cant even get known by the correct Christian name, the party is in trouble. Aberdeen Labour are cluttering up the internet for Nick Gardner. Dan McCroskrie is a nice guy. I last met him when he was handing out "Strong and Stable " banners at Theresa May's famous "gathering in a forest" meeting four miles from my home. His candidature is evidence of one of the many malaises in the Scottish Conservative Party as was his candidature in the Western Isles. He hails from Ayrshire. He is employed by Central office, who now micro manage the entire Scottish Party. This month they are re-selecting MSPs for elections due in over two years time. Their MPs include at least two who were employed directly by the party prior to being elected with no other electoral/political/business/career track record in their <30 years. A Libertarian being such a staunch nationalist strikes me as slightly odd for some reason. |
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Post by jimboo2017 on Apr 14, 2019 22:07:05 GMT
If i may revive a thread "Tim" Laird, I am fairly sure will in fact be Tam (Thomas) Laird, Leader of the Scottish Libertarian Party. Pleasant company over a pint, rabid Yesser however. When a party leader cant even get known by the correct Christian name, the party is in trouble. Aberdeen Labour are cluttering up the internet for Nick Gardner. Dan McCroskrie is a nice guy. I last met him when he was handing out "Strong and Stable " banners at Theresa May's famous "gathering in a forest" meeting four miles from my home. His candidature is evidence of one of the many malaises in the Scottish Conservative Party as was his candidature in the Western Isles. He hails from Ayrshire. He is employed by Central office, who now micro manage the entire Scottish Party. This month they are re-selecting MSPs for elections due in over two years time. Their MPs include at least two who were employed directly by the party prior to being elected with no other electoral/political/business/career track record in their <30 years. A Libertarian being such a staunch nationalist strikes me as slightly odd for some reason. Will feel at home with the Stalinists and my Trot friends |
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Post by peters on Jul 12, 2019 12:15:38 GMT
If i may revive a thread "Tim" Laird, I am fairly sure will in fact be Tam (Thomas) Laird, Leader of the Scottish Libertarian Party. Pleasant company over a pint, rabid Yesser however. When a party leader cant even get known by the correct Christian name, the party is in trouble. Aberdeen Labour are cluttering up the internet for Nick Gardner. Dan McCroskrie is a nice guy. I last met him when he was handing out "Strong and Stable " banners at Theresa May's famous "gathering in a forest" meeting four miles from my home. His candidature is evidence of one of the many malaises in the Scottish Conservative Party as was his candidature in the Western Isles. He hails from Ayrshire. He is employed by Central office, who now micro manage the entire Scottish Party. This month they are re-selecting MSPs for elections due in over two years time. Their MPs include at least two who were employed directly by the party prior to being elected with no other electoral/political/business/career track record in their <30 years. A Libertarian being such a staunch nationalist strikes me as slightly odd for some reason.
Being a nationalist would be odd indeed for a libertarian, wanting to get rid of another level of government makes perfect sense for one. 
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Post by boogieeck on Oct 17, 2019 0:36:40 GMT
I would love this thread to remain bumped if the you would all humour me.
BTW, Torry in Aberdeen by election due, I know three of the candidates well enough to offer a view. I don't know the one who will win though.
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Tony Otim
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Suffering from Brexistential Despair
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Post by Tony Otim on Oct 17, 2019 19:14:13 GMT
I would love this thread to remain bumped if the you would all humour me. BTW, Torry in Aberdeen by election due, I know three of the candidates well enough to offer a view. I don't know the one who will win though. Well, it will probably be a week or two before I get the thread up for that week's elections, but I'll tag you when I do so you can share your thoughts... Or you could just share them here and now, up to you really... |
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Post by boogieeck on Oct 17, 2019 19:26:18 GMT
The Labour candidate is Willie Young. After that, everything else is an anti climax.
The Lib Dem candidate is Gregor McAbery, uber dull fifty something ex office boy for Nora Radcliffe,
Conservative is Neil Murray, ex copper, you might know him, either through the party or from him delivering drunks to us for sobering. He is OK.
The Nat is also an ex copper, don't know her.
Ward is still represented by the lovely Yvonne Allan (Labour) , who visits B&Q most weekends. and by your ex colleague, the ex Deputy Provost Alan Donnelly, who is currently half way through another of his periodic legal escapades, this time facing criminal charges of sexual assault on a male waiter in the aftermath of the alcohol fuelled council celebrations of the 100th anniversary of the end of WWI. Also by a couple of nondescript Yessers.
All right thinking people and journalists with copy to file will vote for Willie and you know it.
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Post by boogieeck on May 3, 2020 11:03:39 GMT
Cllr Richard Thompson MP for Gordon, has resigned his council seat of Ellon on Aberdeenshire Council. having micro managed his succession as SNP group leader to Cllr Gwyneth Petrie. He was unable to resign earlier as she was on maternity leave. Cllr Petrie has until now also been employed in the office of Gillian Martin MSP. I do not know if this will continue. None of those named would be described as being in the Salmond camp.
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