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Post by middleenglander on Mar 1, 2015 20:50:09 GMT
There were due to be 11 by-elections during March but one has seen an Independent hold following the candidate being returned unopposed. There will therefore be 10 by-elections in the prediction competition:
* 4 on the 5th March
* 0 on 12th March following the candidate being returned unopposed
* 1 on 19th
* 5 on 26th
3 contests are for London Boroughs last contested in 2014
1 is for a County Council last contested in 2013
4 are for Scottish Councils last contested in 2012 plus the unopposed election
2 are for Welsh Councils also elected in 2012
Conservatives are defending 1 seat following the death of the former councillor
Labour is defending 5 seats, 4 following a death and 1 a resignation
SNP is defending 1 seat following a disqualification for non-attendance
UKIP is defending 1 seat following a death
Resident Group is defending 1 seat following a death
An Independent is defending 1 seat following a death along with another returned unopposed.
With nominations available for all 10 of the contested by-elections:
Conservatives have 9 candidates, Labour 8, Lib Dems 5, UKIP 3, Greens 6, SNP 4, Plaid Cymru 2, Independents 7 contesting 6 seats and 1 Llantwit 1st
- a total of 45 candidates plus 1 Independent returned unopposed.
Predictions on this thread by 9.00 am on day of election.
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Post by Robert Waller on Mar 4, 2015 21:18:05 GMT
Brent Kenton: C 57 Lab 34 G 5 LD 4
Camden St Pancras: Lab 71 G 15 C 10 LD 4
Croydon Selhurst: Lab 70 C 14 UKIP 7 G 7 LD 2
Essex Bocking: UKIP 28 C 32 Lab 31 G 4 Ind 5
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Post by marksenior on Mar 4, 2015 23:41:04 GMT
Brent Con 54 Lab 35 LD 6 Green 5
Camden Lab 69 Green 12 LD 10 Con 9
Croydon Lab 65 Con 17 UKIP 9 Green 6 LD 3
Essex Lab 33 Con 31 UKIP 26 Ind 6 Green 4
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Post by Philip Davies on Mar 5, 2015 0:16:29 GMT
Brent - Kenton
Michaela Lichten (Green Party) 5.5
Vincent Lo (Labour Party) 40
Michael Maurice (Conservative Party Candidate) 50
Bob Wharton (Liberal Democrats) 4.5
Camden - St Pancras & Somers Town
Shahin Ahmed (The Conservative Party Candidate) 10.2
Zack Polanski (Liberal Democrats) 5.2
Tina Swasey (Green Party) 12.8
Paul Tomlinson (Labour Party) 71.8
Croydon - Selhurst
Tirena Gunter (Conservative Party Candidate) 12.5
Tracey Hague (Green Party) 7.5
Geoff Morley (Liberal Democrats) 6
Annette Reid (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 11.5
David Wood (Labour Party Candidate) 62.5
Essex - Bocking
Stephen Canning (The Conservative Party Candidate) 33
Michael Ford (UK Independence Party (UKIP)) 28
John Malam (Green Party Candidate) 2.5
Peter Sale (Independent) 2.5
Lynn Watson (The Labour Party Candidate) 34
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Mar 5, 2015 0:38:05 GMT
BRENT Kenton: C 51, Lab 38, GP 7, L Dem 4
CAMDEN St Pancras and Somers Town: Lab 69, C 14, GP 13, L Dem 4
CROYDON Selhurst: Lab 66, C 17, UKIP 10, GP 4, L Dem 3
ESSEX Bocking: C 33, Lab 29, UKIP 27, Ind 7, GP 4
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,299 
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Post by maxque on Mar 5, 2015 1:46:35 GMT
Kenton, Brent: Con 50.8, Lab 32, Grn 11.9, LD 5.3
St Pancras and Somers Town, Camden: Lab 67.6, Grn 17.2, Con 10.5, LD 4.7
Selhurst, Croydon: Lab 58.5, UKIP 14, Con 12.5, Grn 10, LD 5
Bocking, Essex: Con 35.5, UKIP 30.8, Lab 29.2, Grn 2.3, Ind 2.2
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Post by brianj on Mar 5, 2015 3:49:35 GMT
Kenton, Brent: Con 45, Lab 40, Green 9, LibDem 6.
St. Pancras and Somers Town, Camden: Lab 77, Con 10, Green 7, LibDem 6.
Selhurst, Croydon: Lab 56, UKIP 16, Con 14, Green 9, LibDem 7.
Bocking, Essex: UKIP 34, Con 31, Lab 28, Green 4, Ind 3.
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Post by hempie on Mar 5, 2015 8:38:08 GMT
Brent, Kenton: Con 52, Lab 35, Green 7, LD 6
Camden, St. Pancras and Somers Town: Lab 64, Green 17, LD 10, Con 9
Croydon, Selhurst: Lab 55, Con 17, UKIP 13, LD 8, Green 7
Essex, Bocking: Lab 33, Con 28.5, UKIP 27.5, Green 6, Ind 5
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Mar 5, 2015 10:01:00 GMT
Brent LB - Kenton Con 49.2% Lab 36.9% Grn 7.3% LD 6.6% Camden LB - St Pancras & Somers Town Lab 60.4% Grn 18.8% Con 14.4% LD 6.4% Croydon LB - Selhurst Lab 57.1% Con 15.9% UKIP 12.4% Grn 9.9% LD 4.7% Essex CC - Bocking Lab 33.2% Con 32.2% UKIP 26.6% Grn 5.7% Ind 2.3% |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Mar 5, 2015 11:18:11 GMT
Brent:
Con 52.4
Lab 33.6
Grn 7.5
LD 6.5
Camden:
Lab 68.5
Grn 14.1
Con 13.0
LD 4.4
Croydon:
Lab 56.8
Con 16.8
UKIP 11.9
Grn 8.9
LD 5.6
Essex:
Con 34.1
Lab 31.5
UKIP 29.8
Grn 2.5
Ind 2.1
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Post by middleenglander on Mar 5, 2015 11:36:20 GMT
9 entries this week. Tony Otim posted to me last night so his entry is on time. brianj gets 2 addition faults for adding to 102% in Croydon.
Brent: 100% Conservative hold, average majority 15.2% ranging from 5% (brianj) to 23% (Robert Waller)
Camden: 100% Labour hold, average majority 54.1% ranging from 41.6% (Pete Whitehead) to 67% (brianj)
Croydon: 100% Labour hold, average majority 45.2% ranging from 38% (hempie) to 56% (Robert Waller)
Essex: 4 Conservative gain from UKIP, hempie, Mark Senior, Pete Whitehead & PhilDav Labour gain from UKIP, brianj UKIP hold
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Post by middleenglander on Mar 6, 2015 1:53:01 GMT
Brent, Kenton
PhilDav 3.5 faults, David Boothroyd 4.0, hempie 8.9, Pete Whitehead 9.8, Mark Senior 10.3, Tony Otim 11.7, Robert Waller 12.3, briabnj 13.1, Maxque 16.4
Camden, St Pancras & Somers Town
PhilDav 5.6 faults, Robert Waller 9.0, David Boothroyd 9.1, Tony Otim 9.3, brianj 10.9, Maxque 13.4, Mark Senior 13.6, hempie 23.6, Pete Whitehead 24.9
Croydon, Selhurst
Robert Waller 5.0 faults, Mark Senior 15.0, David Boothroyd 17.0, PhilDav 17.9, Maxque 25.9, Pete Whitehead 28.7, Tony Otim 29.3, hempie 32.9, brianj 32.9+2
Essex, Bocking
Tony Otim 6.0 faults, Robert Waller 7.5, Maxque 9.9, David Boothroyd 10.3, Pete Whitehead 5.7+10, PhilDav 8.2+10, hempie 11.6+10, Mark Senior 11.9+10, brianj 15.5+10
and for the week:
33.9 Robert Waller
40.4 David Boothroyd
45.2 PhilDav
56.3 Tony Otim
60.8 Mark Senior
65.7 Maxque
79.2 Pete Whitehead
84.5 brianj
87.0 hempie
Objections please by noon Saturday.
There is no by-election contest next week and one the week after when we have Scotland and Wales through to the end of the month.
Predictions on this thread by 9.00am on day of the election.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Mar 6, 2015 8:32:40 GMT
we have Scotland and Wales through to the end of the month. Oh Joy! though managed to fuck up in London badly enough there's little hope anyway Congratulations to Robert on a strong start to the month |
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Tony Otim
Green
Suffering from Brexistential Despair
Posts: 11,892
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Post by Tony Otim on Mar 7, 2015 13:09:58 GMT
Congratulations to Robert for the week!
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Post by Robert Waller on Mar 18, 2015 20:45:54 GMT
RHYL SOUTH WEST, Denbighshire county council
David Dear (LD) 3%
Diana Hannam (Ind) 7%
Melanie Jones (C) 8%
Pete Prendergast (Lab) 70%
David Wilmot (PC) 12%
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Post by marksenior on Mar 18, 2015 22:42:23 GMT
Rhyll
Lab 60 Plaid 15 Ind 10 Con 9 LD 6
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Mar 19, 2015 0:35:34 GMT
DENBIGHSHIRE Rhyl South West: Lab 59, PC 16, C 13, Ind 8, L Dem 4
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maxque
Non-Aligned
Posts: 9,299
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Post by maxque on Mar 19, 2015 7:12:15 GMT
Rhyl South West, Denbighshire: Lab 68.5, Ind 19.7, PC 6.9, Con 3.8, LD 1.1
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Post by hempie on Mar 19, 2015 7:51:45 GMT
Denbighshire, Rhyl South West: Lab 56, Con 18, Ind 12, PC 8, LD 6
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Post by Philip Davies on Mar 19, 2015 8:52:42 GMT
Denbighshire - Rhyl South West
David Dear (LD) 5
Diana Hannam (Ind) 5
Melanie Jones (C) 7
Pete Prendergast (Lab) 70
David Wilmot (PC) 13
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