Prediction Competition

[greatkingrat]

HIGH PEAK - Lab 41, Con 40, LD 13, Ind 6
NORTH KESTEVEN - Con 64, Ind 36
SEVENOAKS (Cowden) - Con 70, UKIP 30
SEVENOAKS (Crokenhill) - Con 50, Lab 35, UKIP 15
WANDSWORTH - Con 46, Lab 27, LD 17, Grn 4, UKIP 4, Ind 2

[marksenior]

My stab this week

High Peak Lab 45 Con 36 LD 15 Ind 4
N Kesteven Con 56 Ind 44
Sevenoaks Cowden Con 78 UKIP 22
Sevenoaks Crockenhill Lab 42 Con 40 UKIP 18
Wandsworth Con 41 Lab 27 LD 15 Green 7 UKIP 6 Ind 4

[Tony Otim]

Very rushed, but I'll go for:

High Peak
Lab 49.8
Con 31.4
LD 13.4
Ind 5.4

Sevenoaks - Cowden & Hever

Con 69.8
UKIP 30.2


Sevenoaks - Crockenhill & west Hill

Lab 53.8
Con 31.7
UKIP 14.5


North Kesteven

Con 60.2
Linc ind 39.8


Wandsworth

Con 45.7
Lab 25.9
LD 15.9
Grn 4.8
UKIP 4.5
Ind 3.2

[Pete Whitehead]

Wandsworth - Southfields
Con	42.5%
Lab	33.3%
LD	15.2%
Grn	5.4%
UKIP	2.0%
Ind	1.6%
High Peak - Buxton Central
Lab	42.7%
Con	32.9%
LD	19.2%
Ind	5.2%
North Kesteven - Heckington Rural
Ind	50.4%
Con	49.6%
Sevenoaks - Cowden & Hever
UKIP	53.2%
Con	46.8%
Sevenoaks - Crockenhill & West Hill
Lab	40.6%
Con	34.7%
UKIP	24.6%

[Tony Otim]

Interests Sevenoaks prediction, Pete? You're not one generally to be blindly optimistic, so I'm guessing you have some good reason to think that?

[greatkingrat]

The fact that the Conservative candidate doesn't even live in the county may have some impact, although I have no idea how much campaigning the UKIP candidate is doing.

[Pete Whitehead]

Yes there are rational reasons for thinking UKIP may do well, but obviously as this is not a 'normal' prediction month it seemed a good as any to stick my neck out a bit

[Tony Otim]

Fair enough.

[Pete Whitehead]

It turned out not to be a very good prediction

[Robert Waller]

Think Dibs may have won this week, followed by Mark Senior, Tonyotim, GKR, Pete, and me bringing up the rear (completely missed the Dibs-dale factor ... is there a clue there?!)

Nice to have a new winner, in any case, if I'm right (we eagerly await the official figures). Congratulations if so!

[BossMan]

	Buxton C	Heckington Rural	Cowden & Hever	Crokenhill & Well Hill	Southfields	TOTAL
Dibs	25.8	5.2	3	6.6	47.1	87.7
Marksenior	14.8	5.8	1	32.6	42.7	96.9
Tonyotim	23	14.2	17.4	13.6	35.5	103.7
Greatkingrat	13.8	21.8	17	46.6+10	32.7	141.9
Andyajs	19.8	10.2+10	17	66.6+10	26.7	160.3
Pete Whitehead	24.6	7+10	63.4+10	35.3+0.1	27.1	177.5
Robertwaller	25.8	8.2+10	3	96.6+10	34.7	188.3

[dibs]

EDITED