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Post by marksenior on Oct 17, 2013 22:59:45 GMT
Dalston result LD 506 Con 476 Lab 186 UKIP 167 Green 27
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andrea
Non-Aligned
Posts: 7,772
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Post by andrea on Oct 17, 2013 23:05:14 GMT
LD hold Barnfield - Luton
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Post by marksenior on Oct 17, 2013 23:05:45 GMT
LD hold Luton
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Oct 17, 2013 23:09:21 GMT
LUTON Barnfield
Clive MEAD (Liberal Democrats) 674
Francis STEER (Labour Party Candidate) 635
Geoff SIMONS (Conservative and Unionist Party) 397
Simon HALL (Green Party) 63
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Post by AdminSTB on Oct 17, 2013 23:26:46 GMT
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Post by middleenglander on Oct 18, 2013 0:28:15 GMT
Carlisle, Dalston - Lib Dem gain from Conservative | Party | 2013 votes | 2013 share | since 2012 | since 2011 | since 2010 | since 2008 | | Lib Dem | 506 | 37.2% | -14.6% | +15.0% | +2.9% | -13.0% | | Conservative | 476 | 34.9% | +10.8% | -14.2% | -12.6% | -5.5% | | Labour | 186 | 13.7% | -1.6% | -7.5% | -4.5% | +4.3% | | UKIP | 167 | 12.3% | +3.6% | +4.7% | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Green | 27 | 2.0% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Total votes | 1,362 |
| -631 | -894 | -2,252 | -933 |
Swing, if meaningful, Lib Dem to Conservative ~13% since 2012 and ~4% since 2008, but Conservative to Lib Dem ~15% since 2011 and ~8% since 2010 Chichester, Westbourne - Conservative hold Amended| Party | 2013 votes | 2013 share | since 2011 | since 2007 | since 2003 | | Conservative | 184 | 41.3% | -18.6% | -30.8% | -22.4% | | UKIP | 106 | 23.8% | from nowhere | from nowhere | +7.4% | | Green | 85 | 19.1% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Lib Dem | 68 | 15.2% | -24.9% | -12.7% | from nowhere | | Patria | 3 | 0.7% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Labour |
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| -19.9% | | Total votes | 446 |
| -414 | -171 | -168 |
Swing not particularly meaningful Luton, Barnfield - Lib Dem hold | Party | 2013 votes | 2013 share | since 2011 "top" | since 2011 "average" | since 2007 "top" | since 2007 "average" | | Lib Dem | 674 | 37.9% | +3.2% | +3.2% | -0.4% | -0.5% | | Labour | 635 | 35.7% | +4.1% | +5.3% | +25.6% | +22.2% | | Conservative | 397 | 22.3% | -4.3% | -5.1% | -1.4% | -1.3% | | Green | 63 | 4.1% | -3.0% | -3.4% | -0.8% | -0.9% | | Independent |
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| -18.0% | -18.2% | | UKIP |
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| -4.9% | -5.0% | | Total votes | 1,769 |
| -819 | -683 | -1,020 | -986 |
Swing Lib Dem to Labour ~1% since 2011 and some 12% since 2007 Neath & Port Talbot, Sandsfield East - Labour hold | Party | 2013 votes | 2013 share | since 2012 "top" | since 2012 "average" | since 2008 "top" | since 2008 "average" | | Labour | 718 | 59.7% | +23.1% | +23.0% | +29.7% | +31.9% | | Barry Kirk * | 222 | 18.5% | -5.2% | -9.1% | +6.4% | +5.9% | | UKIP | 154 | 12.8% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Plaid Cymru | 69 | 5.7% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Conservative | 40 | 3.3% | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | from nowhere | | Independent James |
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| -40.9% | -42.7% | | Independent James & Wills |
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| -35.8% | |
| | Neath Port Talbot Ratepayers |
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| -17.0% | -16.9% | | Total votes | 1,203 |
| -1,623 | -1,225 | -1,853 | -1,727 |
Barry Kirk contested by-election as Port Talbot Residents Association, 2012 as Neath Port Talbot Independent Party and 2008 as New Millennium Bean Party Swing not particularly meaningful South Lakeland, Levens - Lib Dem hold | Party | 2013 votes | 2013 share | since 2012 | since 2011 | since 2008 | | Lib Dem | 569 | 57.0% | +1.2% | +1.3% | -7.1% | | Conservative | 430 | 43.0% | +2.8% | +3.5% | +7.1% | | Green |
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| | Labour |
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| -4.8% |
| | Total votes | 999 |
| -139 | -198 | -150 |
Swing Lib Dem to Conservative ¾% since 2012, ~1% since 2011 and 7% since 2008 Thurrock, Stifford Clays - Labour hold | Party | 2013 votes | 2013 share | since 2011 | since 2010 | since 2007 | | Labour | 646 | 36.8% | -8.3% | -0.4% | -4.3% | | Conservative | 570 | 32.5% | +5.6% | -2.3% | -2.1% | | UKIP | 504 | 28.7% | +4.3% | +8.5% | from nowhere | | Lib Dem | 35 | 2.0% | -1.5% | from nowhere | from nowhere | | BNP |
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| -7.8% | -23.8% | | Total votes | 1,755 |
| -188 | -1,428 | -74 |
Swing Labour to Conservatives 7% since 2011 and ~1% since 2007 but Conservative to Labour ~1% since 2010
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Post by Andrew_S on Oct 18, 2013 0:50:24 GMT
UKIP polled 24.72% in yesterday's by-elections in the wards where they stood: 931 votes out of 3,766.
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Post by middleenglander on Oct 18, 2013 7:48:39 GMT
UKIP polled 24.72% in yesterday's by-elections in the wards where they stood: 931 votes out of 3,766. Slightly wayward arithmetic. Yes 931 votes out of 4,766 (not 3,766) in the 4 wards contested or 19.5%. |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Oct 18, 2013 8:23:47 GMT
I'd like the Greens to do well, but I'm not convinced it's good territory for us. If we can get ahead of the LibDems I'd be very happy. Absolutely delighted with our performance in Westbourne. Obviously we scooped up votes that would have gone to Labour, but it could have been even better - the LibDem candidate was a member of the Green Party until a few weeks ago, and only stood for them because he thought there would be no 'left' candidate. Comes to something when the LibDems have to 'borrow' candidates from the Greens  Patria won't get more than a handful of votes, IMHO Got that right! |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Oct 18, 2013 8:33:54 GMT
I think the vote share changes since 2011 for Westbourne are wrong? Should be -20.7 for Con and -22.8 for LibDem I think. And from 2007, LibDem should be -12.7?
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Post by David Ashforth on Oct 18, 2013 9:52:47 GMT
Who or what is Patria??!? Their Leader, Treasurer and Press Officer & Nominating Officer and Chairman are all former BNP members. www.patria-uk.org/who-we-are/ |
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Post by middleenglander on Oct 18, 2013 9:58:46 GMT
I think the vote share changes since 2011 for Westbourne are wrong? Should be -20.7 for Con and -22.8 for LibDem I think. And from 2007, LibDem should be -12.7? Yes I had it wrong but think the 2011 result was Lib Dem 345 not the 315 quoted at the top of this thread. |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Oct 18, 2013 10:32:13 GMT
I think the vote share changes since 2011 for Westbourne are wrong? Should be -20.7 for Con and -22.8 for LibDem I think. And from 2007, LibDem should be -12.7? Yes I had it wrong but think the 2011 result was Lib Dem 345 not the 315 quoted at the top of this thread. Checking the council website, you're right about the incorrect LibDem number - and I think that's down to me! The figures come from Andrew's LEAP site, and guess who he got his Chi 2011 figures from... Sorry  |
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Post by marksenior on Oct 18, 2013 11:09:52 GMT
Didcot TC All Saints Lab gain from Conservative Lab 383 Con 236 LD 211 No Desc 56
Lewes TC Bridge LD hold 1 and gain 1 from Greens LD 408/355 Lab 247/231 Green 132/120 UKIP 113/105 Con 106/92
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Oct 18, 2013 11:22:58 GMT
"Patria" registered on 9 November, 2012, with leader Ian Johnson. Their alternative ballot paper descriptions are: *We Dare *Our People First And Always *Defend the Nation *Land and People I would hazard a guess that they don't understand what the alternative ballot paper descriptions are there for because a candidate standing for "We Dare" or "Land and People" ain't gonna get many votes. |
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Post by greatkingrat on Oct 18, 2013 12:14:42 GMT
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Post by finsobruce on Oct 18, 2013 20:05:04 GMT
Thurrock Lab 646 Con 570 UKIP 504 LD 35 Good to hold the seat and therefore retain control of the council, but unusual to see both the Tory and the UKIP vote go up in a Labour held seat with our vote declining. I can't recall many (any?) other examples recently, but please let me know if I'm wrong.  |
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Oct 18, 2013 20:12:47 GMT
For a bunch of fascists that's quite beautifully done |
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Post by Andrew_S on Oct 18, 2013 22:46:21 GMT
UKIP polled 24.72% in yesterday's by-elections in the wards where they stood: 931 votes out of 3,766. Slightly wayward arithmetic. Yes 931 votes out of 4,766 (not 3,766) in the 4 wards contested or 19.5%. The mistakes usually happen when I don't add up the votes myself from scratch. I got the totals from another source. |
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cefin
Non-Aligned
Posts: 906 
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Post by cefin on Oct 19, 2013 9:03:45 GMT
The Thurrock result is a clear indication that the Conservatives are splitting the UKIP vote and their supporters and MP's need to be reminded that continuing to vote Conservative will result in a Labour government at the next election.
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