|
Post by greenhert on Apr 20, 2018 14:26:03 GMT
And Aaron Curry, the Liberal National elected for Bishop Auckland in 1931, was ex-Liberal as well. I should have said highest since its creation in 1885; because the Liberal Nationals never stood against the Conservatives and allied with them I have counted them as Conservatives.
|
|
|
Post by timrollpickering on Apr 20, 2018 15:59:34 GMT
In 1931 it was more the case that the Liberal Party had organised factions divided over the approach to the National Government and tariffs, rather than a more modern concept of breakaway parties. Curry was pretty much a standard Liberal who happened to take the Simonite line initially but would subsequently leave with the Samuelite.
|
|
|
Post by Andrew_S on Apr 20, 2018 17:27:41 GMT
Another interesting category of seat is those that have changed hands a few times but have never been very close at any one election. An example might be Bristol West where the majority hasn't been below 1,400 votes.
|
|
|
Post by Pete Whitehead on Apr 20, 2018 18:48:21 GMT
South Derbyshire is a good example of that
|
|
|
Post by Pete Whitehead on Apr 20, 2018 18:50:59 GMT
Or Brent North - straight from safe Conservative to safe Labour more or less
|
|
spqr
Non-Aligned
Posts: 1,877
|
Post by spqr on Apr 21, 2018 0:52:57 GMT
Yes, you must find it difficult being in a party with someone so far on the left. Anyone know why he changed and pivotal reasons? Temple-Morris made it clear he was unhappy with William Hague's pledge not to consider adopting the European single currency for 10 years. This revelation was leaked to the press by none other than Alastair Campbell, which set tongues wagging about defection. Hague preempted this by removing the Conservative whip from Temple-Morris in late 1997; after approximately seven months as an Independent, he did what everyone had expected in the first place and joined the Labour Party. He was always a One-Nation, moderate type, of sound party stock (his father, a QC, had also been a Conservative MP) and well-known in Tory circles for his Europhile views. Contrary to what neilm (presumably jokingly) suggests, he seems to be firmly on the moderate wing of Labour. In 2011 he contributed a chapter on 'progressive politics' to the Fabian Society publication What's Next for Labour? Ideas for a New Generation, alongside those notable raging lefties Admiral Lord West, Graham Stringer and Eric Joyce.
|
|
neilm
Non-Aligned
Posts: 25,023
|
Post by neilm on Apr 21, 2018 1:08:36 GMT
Temple Morris is only 80, which surprises me given that he looked positively ancient (at least to me) whenever he was on TV in the 90s to promote his curious brand of party loyalty, with his odd nicotine coloured hair.
|
|
spqr
Non-Aligned
Posts: 1,877
|
Post by spqr on Apr 21, 2018 1:13:33 GMT
Temple Morris is only 80, which surprises me given that he looked positively ancient (at least to me) whenever he was on TV in the 90s to promote his curious brand of party loyalty, with his odd nicotine coloured hair. I suppose the great advantage of looking old when you're younger is that by the time you actually are old you won't have changed that much.
|
|
|
Post by hullenedge on Apr 26, 2018 18:43:05 GMT
Liberal median performance (GB only) 1955-70:- For the seats contested at every election 1955-70:-
|
|
|
Post by pragmaticidealist on Apr 29, 2018 12:26:36 GMT
The results in West Bromwich East and Birmingham Erdington last year were strikingly similar. Labour won the former by 58.0% to 38.2% (and a majority of 7,713) and the latter by 58.0% to 38.4% (and a majority of 7,285). Both, of course, also have fairly prominent MPs.
|
|
The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 38,455
Member is Online
|
Post by The Bishop on Apr 29, 2018 13:00:27 GMT
I think it is also the case that the Tories talked up their prospects in both in the days after the GE was called.
|
|
|
Post by bjornhattan on Apr 29, 2018 21:03:16 GMT
I think it is also the case that the Tories talked up their prospects in both in the days after the GE was called. Nick Timothy was famously from the latter.
|
|
|
Post by Andrew_S on Apr 29, 2018 23:22:31 GMT
Temple Morris is only 80, which surprises me given that he looked positively ancient (at least to me) whenever he was on TV in the 90s to promote his curious brand of party loyalty, with his odd nicotine coloured hair. He looked more than middle-aged on the 1979 election clip I posted a couple of months ago, mainly because he was already grey-haired.
|
|
neilm
Non-Aligned
Posts: 25,023
|
Post by neilm on Apr 30, 2018 8:32:03 GMT
Temple Morris is only 80, which surprises me given that he looked positively ancient (at least to me) whenever he was on TV in the 90s to promote his curious brand of party loyalty, with his odd nicotine coloured hair. He looked more than middle-aged on the 1979 election clip I posted a couple of months ago, mainly because he was already grey-haired. It had a curious yellow tint, IIRC.
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Apr 30, 2018 11:39:11 GMT
The last time the Conservatives got over 80% of the vote in a by-election was in Bristol West in 1951.
Bristol West by-election, 1951
CON - 22,216 (81.4%) +22.5 LAB - 5,072 (18.6%) -11.4
CON HOLD Maj. 17,144 (62.8%) +33.9
|
|
|
Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Apr 30, 2018 11:43:51 GMT
The last time the Conservatives got over 80% of the vote in a by-election was in Bristol West in 1951. Bristol West by-election, 1951CON - 22,216 (81.4%) +22.5LAB - 5,072 (18.6%) -11.4CON HOLD Maj. 17,144 (62.8%) +33.9And for the last three elections the Conservatives haven't even got 18.6% in Bristol West. Funnly how things change.
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Apr 30, 2018 11:59:18 GMT
The last time the Conservatives got over 80% of the vote in a by-election was in Bristol West in 1951. Bristol West by-election, 1951CON - 22,216 (81.4%) +22.5LAB - 5,072 (18.6%) -11.4CON HOLD Maj. 17,144 (62.8%) +33.9And for the last three elections the Conservatives haven't even got 18.6% in Bristol West. Funnly how things change. Yes. Similar to Brighton, Pavilion where the Conservatives got over 70% of the vote in 1969! The Tories did have a Councillor in Bristol West going into the 2016 election. Of course we must note that the Bristol West where the Tories have only polled 18% in the last 3 elections has different boundaries to the 1950s.
|
|
|
Post by LDCaerdydd on Apr 30, 2018 12:07:20 GMT
|
|
|
Post by greatkingrat on Apr 30, 2018 14:12:42 GMT
So who will win the race for the 2015 intake?
MPs who are already ministers are
Oliver Dowden, Parliamentary Secretary (Minister for Implementation) (Cabinet Office) Victoria Atkins, Parliamentary Under-Secretary of State for Crime, Safeguarding and Vulnerability (Home Office); Minister for Women Nus Ghani, Parliamentary Under-Secretary of State for Transport Suella Braverman, Parliamentary Under-Secretary of State (Exiting the European Union) Kit Malthouse, Parliamentary Under-Secretary of State for Family Support, Housing and Child Maintenance (Work and Pensions) Lucy Frazer, Parliamentary Under-Secretary of State (Justice) Rishi Sunak, Parliamentary Under-Secretary of State (Minister for Local Government) (Housing, Communities and Local Government) Kelly Tolhurst, Assistant Government Whip Mims Davies, Assistant Government Whip Amanda Milling, Assistant Government Whip Jo Churchill, Assistant Government Whip Wendy Morton, Assistant Government Whip
Also two have been appointed to party roles
James Cleverly, Deputy Chairman Maria Caulfield, Vice Chairman for Women
Of course, if none of them make it to Cabinet before the next general election, it could be a Labour MP. Corbyn's cabinet would likely contain several 2015 MPs, such as Keir Starmer, Angela Rayner and Rebecca Long-Bailey.
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on May 4, 2018 1:19:36 GMT
After the result of West Tyrone
Number of by-elections held in this parliament: 1
Top 5 votes in the 1 constituency at the 2017 general election: 1. SF 22,060 2. DUP 11,718 3. SDLP 5,635 4. UUP 2,253 5. Alliance 1,000
Top 5 votes in the 1 by-election during this parliament: 1. SF 16,346 2. DUP 8,390 3. SDLP 6,254 4. UUP 2,909 5. Alliance 1,130
Changes in vote 1. SF -5,714 2. DUP -3,328 3. Green NI -427 (did not stand) 4. CISTA -398 (did not stand) 5. Alliance +130 6. SDLP +619 7. UUP +656
Change in vote 1. SF -4.06 2. DUP -3.00 3. Alliance +0.93 4. UUP +3.12 5. SDLP +4.90
Total number of votes cast in the 1 constituency at the 2017 general election: 43,486 Total number of votes cast in the 1 subsequent byelection: 35,029
|
|