Prediction Competition - July & August 2024

[batman]

I disagree. Somehow or other, you will continue to win. I wish I knew how you did it.

[sanders]

Aug 14, 2024 8:56:03 GMT batman said:

CAERPHILLY, Aberbargoed & Bargoed : PC 49 Lab 43 Green 8

ISLINGTON, Hillrise : Lab 35 Ind Stoeker 28 Green 26 LD 9 Ind Parr-Reid 2

STIRLING, Dunblane & Bridge of Allan : C 31 Lab 22 SNP 21 Green 13 LD 7 Ind 6. C win on transfers

You got my result right lol. Maybe you are not so bad. 

[batman]

NORTHUMBERLAND, Cramlington Eastfield : Lab 41 C 27 RefUK 11 Green 7 LD 6 Ind Furness 5 Ind Cripps 3

THREE RIVERS, Abbots Langley & Bedmond : LD 57 C 20 Lab 16 Green 7

W.LOTHIAN, Armadale & Blackridge : Lab 41 SNP 24 C 15 Green 11 LD 4 Ind for Sco 3 RefUK 2. Lab win on transfers

[kevinf]

Northumberland
Con 27
Lab 25
Ind Cripps 14
Reform 14
Ind Furness 13
LD 4
Green 3

Three Rivers
LD 58, Con 17, Lab 16, Green 9

West Lothian
Lab 36, SNP 35,, Con 17, Green 7, LD 3, Reform 1.5, I4S 0.5

[Tony Otim]

NOrthumberland: Lab 36.3; Con 25.4; RefUK 23.4; LD 4.9; Grn 4.6; Furness 4.0; Cripps 1.4
Three Rivers: LD 56.4; Con 18.6; Lab 15.8; Grn 9.2
West Lothian: Lab 42.2; SNP 30.1; Con 11.5; RefUK 8.6; Grn 4.7; LD 1.7; I4S 1.2

[andrewp]

Northumberland, Lab 42 Con 25 REFUK 14 Cripps 9 Furness 4 LD 3 Green 3
Three Rivers. LD 60 Con 21 Lab 11 Green 8
West Lothian. Lab 42 SNP 31 Con 15 Green 4 LD 4 RefUK 3 IFS 1. Lab win

[iainbhx]

Northumberland UA, Cramlington Eastside : Con 34 Lab 32 Rfm 14 Grn 8 Ind Cripps 5 Ind Furness 4 LDm 3

Three Rivers DC, Abbots Langley & Bedmond: LDm 54 Con 24 Lab 14 Grn 8

West Lothian SUA, Armadale & Blackridge : Lab 36 SNP 30 Con 16 Grn 8 Rfm 6 LDm 3 ISP 1 (Lab win on Transfers)

[corradino]

Northumberland: Lab 29, Con 26, Reform 17, Cripps (Ind) 16, LD 5, Furness (Ind) 4, Green 3.

Three Rivers: LD 48, Con 21, Lab 19, Green 12.

West Lothian: Lab 38, SNP 26, Con 19, Green 6.5, LD 4, Reform 4, Ind for Scotland 2.5. Lab win after transfers

[Robert Waller]

Northumberland: Lab 36, Con 30, Reform 17, Cripps (Ind) 6, LD 4, Furness (Ind) 2, Green 5.

Three Rivers: LD 58.5, Con 20, Lab 14, Green 7.5.

West Lothian: Lab 41, SNP 31, Con 12, Green 6, LD 3, Reform 4, Ind for Scotland 3. Lab win after transfers

[rightleaning]

Northumberland UA, Cramlington Eastside : Lab 33, Con 31, Rfm 16, Grn 9, Ind Cripps 4, Ind Furness 4, LD 3
Three Rivers DC, Abbots Langley & Bedmond: LD 57, Con 22, Lab 12, Grn 9
West Lothian SUA, Armadale & Blackridge : Lab 39, SNP 30, Con 14, Grn 8, Rfm 5, LD 3 ISP 1 (Lab win on Transfers)

[robbienicoll]

After the excitement last week we have 8 entries for the week, all on time and correct.

Cramlington Eastfield, Northumberland: 6 Labour gain from Conservative, with iainbhx and kevinf Conservative hold.

Abbots Langley and Bedmond, Three Rivers: 100% Liberal Democrat hold, with majorities ranging from 27% (corradino) to 41% (kevinf).

Armadale and Blackridge, West Lothian: 100% Labour ahead on first preferences and ultimate gain from Independent after transfers, with first preference majorities ranging from 1% (kevinf) to 17% (batman).

Results available at - docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1cLgpnyqfcoqltnGa8ZKGRF-U7Rfs_74eRYGoISMNgYI/edit?usp=sharing - good luck to all for the final result to come!

[Robert Waller]

Congrats to iainbhx for the week; he also moves up to second for the month behind Tony Otim.

[corradino]

Herts, Bedwell: Lab 43, Con 28, Reform 15, Green 8, LD 6.

Wychavon, Badsey & Aldington: Con 43, Lab 41,Ind 9, LD 7.

" Harvington & Norton: Con 48, LD 35, Lab 11, Ind (Reeves) 6.

[batman]

HERTFORDSHIRE, Bedwell : Lab 50 C 23 RefUK 12 LD 8 Green 7

WYCHAVON, Badsey & Aldington : C 47 Lab 36 LD 10 Ind 7

WYCHAVON, Harvington & Norton : C 46 LD 36 Lab 13 Ind 5

[Tony Otim]

Herts: Lab 47.1; Con 27.1; RefUK 11.7; LD 8.9; Grn 5.2
Wychavon B&A: Con 40.8; Lab 33.8; Robinson 15.5; LD 9.9
Wychavon H&N: Con 40.2; LD 32.3; Reeves 21.5; Lab 6.0

[kevinf]

Herts - Lab 46, Con 25, LD 12, Ref 9, Green 8
Wychavon B&A - Con 41, Lab 39, LD 13, Ind 7
Wychavon H&N - LD 38, Con 36, Lab 16, Ind 10

[andrewp]

Hertfordshire. Lab 53 Con 23 RefUK 10 LD 9 Green 5
Wychavon, Badsey & Aldington. Con 40 Lab 35 Ind 16 LD 9
Wychavon, Harvington & Norton, Con 40 LD 36 Ind 14 Lab 10

[Robert Waller]

Herts, Bedwell: Lab 47, Con 25, Reform 14, Green 6, LD 8.

Wychavon, Badsey & Aldington: Con 43, Lab 42,Ind 5, LD 10.

Wychavon, Harvington & Norton: Con 45, LD 35, Lab 10, Ind (Reeves) 10.

[iainbhx]

Hertfordshire CC, Bedwell: Lab 49 Con 24 RefUK 13 LDm 9 Grn 5

Wychavon DC, Badsey & Aldington: Con 50 Lab 33 LDm 10 Ind 7

Wychavon DC, Harvington & Norton: Con 40 LDm 37 Ind 18 Lab 5

[nyx]

Herts, Bedwell: Lab 45, Con 29, Reform 13, Green 7, LD 6

Wychavon, Badsey & Aldington: Lab 44, Con 41, LD 8, Ind 7

Wychavon, Harvington & Norton: LD 45, Con 38, Ind 11, Lab 6