andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Jun 21, 2024 6:26:20 GMT
St Oswald numbers
Lab 828
Con 67
TUSC 57
Green 55
LD 32
WP 20
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 21, 2024 6:53:05 GMT
No figures yet from Mansfield, West Bank but the order of parties is apparently Lab > Mansfield Ind > C > Grn > LD > TUSC. I'm surprised the Workers Party didn't stand in that ward. |
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batman
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Post by batman on Jun 21, 2024 8:20:53 GMT
This does not portend well for Ben Bradley. I suspect that Labour are going to lose precious few seats in the former coalfield in this election, even in comparison with the rest of the country. Obviously there will be some that elude the party, for example the seat that Williamson is contesting in Staffordshire has a coalfield minority. But not many this time.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jun 21, 2024 9:04:20 GMT
MANSFIELD West Bank
COLE, Garry Richard (Labour) 169
CHOUDHURY, Faz (Mansfield Independents) 142
WALMSLEY, Steve (Conservative) 98
THORNTON, Shaun Dennis (Green) 14
ALTENKIRCH, Thorsten (Liberal Democrat) 10
SEYMOUR, Karen Rachel Mary (TUSC) 7
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Post by jamesdoyle on Jun 21, 2024 9:15:36 GMT
GWBWI
Lab +167
LDm +58
Grn +15
Con -80
Stick a 2 in front of the Con 80, and that could be seat changes for the GE! (Well, not really, but here's hoping).
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 21, 2024 9:15:54 GMT
This does not portend well for Ben Bradley. I suspect that Labour are going to lose precious few seats in the former coalfield in this election, even in comparison with the rest of the country. Obviously there will be some that elude the party, for example the seat that Williamson is contesting in Staffordshire has a coalfield minority. But not many this time. I agree. Reform will take chunks out of the Tories in the this seat and the old Dukeries coalfield. Labour will win everything in Nottinghamshire this time around. |
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Post by phil156 on Jun 21, 2024 9:52:21 GMT
COVENTRY Radford Mal Mutton (Labour) 1,082 (58%) Stephen James Smith (Conservative) 328 (18%) Julie Spriddle (Green Party) 156 (8%) Cameron Ewart Baxter (Coventry Citizens Party) 128 (7%) Caroline Spence (Liberal Democrat) 98 (5%) Mila Matharu (Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition) 72 (4%) Hi David any chance to see the percentages up or down on this result from last time please, and Mansfield too. Thankyou in appreciation |
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Jun 21, 2024 10:01:44 GMT
This does not portend well for Ben Bradley. I suspect that Labour are going to lose precious few seats in the former coalfield in this election, even in comparison with the rest of the country. Obviously there will be some that elude the party, for example the seat that Williamson is contesting in Staffordshire has a coalfield minority. But not many this time. I agree. Reform will take chunks out of the Tories in the this seat and the old Dukeries coalfield. Labour will win everything in Nottinghamshire this time around. Would still be impressed with Jenrick losing tbh. |
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Post by threecrowns on Jun 21, 2024 10:02:29 GMT
I think he'll be the one Tory to cling on in Notts.
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batman
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Post by batman on Jun 21, 2024 10:41:47 GMT
Not certain though. Even he may have trouble but I incline towards a Con Hold there
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jun 21, 2024 11:32:07 GMT
I think he'll be the one Tory to cling on in Notts. It's a stretch but I think Labour will get enough votes in Newark town and Reform will cannibalise enough Tory votes elsewhere for Labour to sneak it. "A new ark has broken, has it not?" The Tory - Reform switchers went in two by two, hurrah. Like in 2001, I expect normal service will resume at the following General Election. |
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Post by Robert Waller on Jun 21, 2024 11:43:39 GMT
MANSFIELD West Bank COLE, Garry Richard (Labour) 169 CHOUDHURY, Faz (Mansfield Independents) 142 WALMSLEY, Steve (Conservative) 98 THORNTON, Shaun Dennis (Green) 14 ALTENKIRCH, Thorsten (Liberal Democrat) 10 SEYMOUR, Karen Rachel Mary (TUSC) 7 From Election Maps twitter West Bank (Mansfield) Council By-Election Result: 🌹 LAB: 38.4% (+6.6) 🏘️ MI: 32.3% (+5.1) 🌳 CON: 22.3% (-14.4) 🌍 GRN: 3.2% (New) 🔶 LDM: 2.3% (New) 👨🔧 TUSC: 1.6% (New) No RFM (-4.3) as previous. |
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ColinJ
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Post by ColinJ on Jun 21, 2024 12:07:31 GMT
Further to Robert's post, and in reply to phil156 's query of David, here are the Coventry changes (very unspectacular) compared to 2023: Labour -2.1% Conservative -1.5% Green -1.1% Coventry Citizen -0.2% TUSC -0.3% Lib Dem (new) +5.6% |
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Jun 21, 2024 16:51:32 GMT
An update on the statistics for the by elections held in this local electoral year, following the May 2024 local elections.
Up to 21st June, there have now been 16 ordinary by elections since 2nd May 2024.
The Conservatives have defended 7- Held 5 and lost 2 to Labour ( retention rate 71% ) and have gained 1
Labour have defended 4 held 4- (retention rate 100%) and have gained 2
The Lib Dem’s have defended 3, held 3 ( retention rate 100%)
There have been 2 by elections for a seat previously won by an Independent, 1 was won by another Independent and 1 was gained by the Conservatives.
Overall totals and net changes
Con 6 (-1)
Lab 6 (+2)
LD 3 (=)
Ind 1 (-1)
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Post by phil156 on Jun 22, 2024 8:59:22 GMT
Further to Robert's post, and in reply to phil156 's query of David, here are the Coventry changes (very unspectacular) compared to 2023: Labour -2.1% Conservative -1.5% Green -1.1% Coventry Citizen -0.2% TUSC -0.3% Lib Dem (new) +5.6% Cheers Colin much appreciated |
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