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Post by carlton43 on May 31, 2024 14:04:28 GMT
If it's "jobs for the boys" does that mean Izzard is, or isn't, eligible? What if it’s an all-woman shortlist?? Well, no one at all could possibly contend that he was 'all-woman'!! |
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Post by edgbaston on May 31, 2024 14:07:36 GMT
So it was someone who was angry with Russel Moyle being a good soldier or a credible accuser? It may not be mutually exclusive. |
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Post by greenhert on Jun 8, 2024 9:36:44 GMT
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Post by evergreenadam on Jun 28, 2024 21:04:05 GMT
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Post by wickofthesouth on Jun 28, 2024 21:07:51 GMT
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Post by Defenestrated Fipplebox on Jun 28, 2024 21:14:36 GMT
Extraordinary if true (and could just be late stage campaign panic or expectations management), but Ailbhe is a suitably sober correspondent not given to hyperbole. |
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Post by batman on Jun 28, 2024 21:16:56 GMT
As I said elsewhere, I can certainly see the Greens winning in the trendier areas in the SW of the constituency, I can even see them doing OK in Rottingdean, but I don't see them being all that close to Labour in Moulsecoomb, Woodingdean or any of the Lewes district wards included.
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Post by wickofthesouth on Jun 28, 2024 21:26:36 GMT
As I said elsewhere, I can certainly see the Greens winning in the trendier areas in the SW of the constituency, I can even see them doing OK in Rottingdean, but I don't see them being all that close to Labour in Moulsecoomb, Woodingdean or any of the Lewes district wards included. I don't see a Green gain here as possible either, I'm just surprised that at least some people in the top Labour apparently do. |
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Post by matureleft on Jun 28, 2024 21:40:42 GMT
As I said elsewhere, I can certainly see the Greens winning in the trendier areas in the SW of the constituency, I can even see them doing OK in Rottingdean, but I don't see them being all that close to Labour in Moulsecoomb, Woodingdean or any of the Lewes district wards included. I don't see a Green gain here as possible either, I'm just surprised that at least some people in the top Labour apparently do. The removal of Russell-Moyle and the substitution of Ward has certainly caused some discomfort (although Russell-Moyle has been pretty careful about it). But to take advantage of that another party has to have a credible candidate and campaign at rather short order. |
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Post by Johncrane on Jun 28, 2024 21:41:13 GMT
As I said elsewhere, I can certainly see the Greens winning in the trendier areas in the SW of the constituency, I can even see them doing OK in Rottingdean, but I don't see them being all that close to Labour in Moulsecoomb, Woodingdean or any of the Lewes district wards included. I don't see a Green gain here as possible either, I'm just surprised that at least some people in the top Labour apparently do. maybe they're seeing something in the first batches of postal votes? |
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Foggy
Non-Aligned
Yn Ennill Yma
Posts: 6,135 
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Post by Foggy on Jun 28, 2024 22:22:09 GMT
As I said elsewhere, I can certainly see the Greens winning in the trendier areas in the SW of the constituency, I can even see them doing OK in Rottingdean, but I don't see them being all that close to Labour in Moulsecoomb, Woodingdean or any of the Lewes district wards included. Was in Moulsecoomb a few weeks ago and it struck me that if the University of Brighton students were still in residence the Greens could get close to topping the poll in that area, but the timing of the election should mean it's comfortable for Labour there. |
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john07
Labour & Co-operative
Posts: 15,785
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Post by john07 on Jun 28, 2024 22:47:20 GMT
As I said elsewhere, I can certainly see the Greens winning in the trendier areas in the SW of the constituency, I can even see them doing OK in Rottingdean, but I don't see them being all that close to Labour in Moulsecoomb, Woodingdean or any of the Lewes district wards included. Was in Moulsecoomb a few weeks ago and it struck me that if the University of Brighton students were still in residence the Greens could get close to topping the poll in that area, but the timing of the election should mean it's comfortable for Labour there. The key thing is that few students will still be in residence in early July. The University of Brighton Summer term ended nearly a month ago. Those in residences will have been evicted to make way for summer lets. Most students will have gone home. Even if local, they will likely be in another constituency. I do not see the votes of students being pivotal in many constituencies, and certainly none in July. |
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Post by greenchristian on Jun 30, 2024 13:48:16 GMT
As I said elsewhere, I can certainly see the Greens winning in the trendier areas in the SW of the constituency, I can even see them doing OK in Rottingdean, but I don't see them being all that close to Labour in Moulsecoomb, Woodingdean or any of the Lewes district wards included. I don't see a Green gain here as possible either, I'm just surprised that at least some people in the top Labour apparently do. 100% of the work we're doing in Brighton is defending Pavilion. Owr Kemptown campaign will consist entirely of a freepost and the candidate attending any hustings and responding to emails and media requests. So if we are causing Labour a serious problem here then we must also be causing them a problem in other demographically similar seats. |
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Post by wickofthesouth on Jul 2, 2024 10:46:19 GMT
I don't see a Green gain here as possible either, I'm just surprised that at least some people in the top Labour apparently do. 100% of the work we're doing in Brighton is defending Pavilion. Owr Kemptown campaign will consist entirely of a freepost and the candidate attending any hustings and responding to emails and media requests. So if we are causing Labour a serious problem here then we must also be causing them a problem in other demographically similar seats. I don't think that's quite true. Officially the Greens are focusing on Pavilion. But there appears to be a decent number of disgruntled Labour activists who will work for the Greens in Kemptown but not Pavilion. I imagine something will have been found for them to do. And then of course there's the work some of them are doing entirely on their own initiative, such as this chap. x.com/RupertWilkinso8/status/1808025311679816083Still a safe Labour hold though of course. |
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Post by John Chanin on Jul 2, 2024 10:59:31 GMT
And then of course there's the work some of them are doing entirely on their own initiative, such as this chap. |
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Ports
Non-Aligned
Posts: 605
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Post by Ports on Jul 2, 2024 11:14:55 GMT
Funny, there was a historian of the US also called Rupert Wilkinson who was from this area too I believe. I presume just a coincidence.
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Post by Ron Swanson on Jul 2, 2024 11:21:34 GMT
I think that the Greens will do pretty well in seats in places like Brighton, obviously Bristol and so on...
Because people will most likely feel that they can vote Green and not be concerned about a Tory government being returned.
Whether that will translate into more than one seat in the next Parliament, we'll soon see - I think they'll hold Pavilion with a reduced but decent majority.
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