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Post by batman on Jul 8, 2024 11:40:15 GMT
People do seem to be getting a little overexcited about this seat. Labour did require a double-digit swing to win here and it shouldn't be regarded as some sort of shock that they only narrowly achieved it. Has there been a medium-term demographic drift to the Tories on Teesside? Yes, it does seem so, but it was still only one short of electing a full Labour slate and it required a very favourable boundary change to enable them to hold their sole seat. Labour's underperformance is only relative, it was still a very clear improvement (in terms of Lab v Con) on 2019. The Hartlepool by-election result looks very strange looking at it 3 years later. EDIT : in fact the result here was very close to the national swing, so I really can't see it as a shock. It's only a shock in the same way that Labour "only" getting a 10% swing in Battersea in 1997 was a shock, i.e. it really wasn't.
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bsjmcr
Non-Aligned
Posts: 1,579
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Post by bsjmcr on Jul 8, 2024 14:11:21 GMT
Good to see two of Truss’ most fervent backers, Coffey and this guy, go down with the ship with her though.
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Post by andrewp on Jul 8, 2024 14:13:34 GMT
Good to see two of Truss’ most fervent backers, Coffey and this guy, go down with the ship with her though. Was he one of her most fervent backers? He was Defitnely one of Johnson’s.
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Post by swingometer on Jul 8, 2024 14:41:03 GMT
Good to see two of Truss’ most fervent backers, Coffey and this guy, go down with the ship with her though. Was he one of her most fervent backers? He was Defitnely one of Johnson’s. He was fanatic about the mini budget and of course served as Housing Secretary during her premiership
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