Clark
Forum Regular
Posts: 747
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Post by Clark on May 26, 2024 9:56:38 GMT
Yes - although I am Labour, I don't always agree with the party machine. I supported Dennis Cannavan in Falkirk West all those years ago for the similar reason I hope Corbyn wins this time. Peter Lee in Blaenau Gwent is another example. I don't take myself too seriously on this forum - I mainly use it to learn from other contributors such as Pete and Batman then adding my own tidbits now and then. Peter Law. 
Peter Lee was the Durham miner's leader who has a new town named after him. *
* He was also the first Labour leader of a county council.
haha, yes of course - he sadly passed away not long after if I remember correctly |
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Sg1
Conservative
Posts: 1,085 
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Post by Sg1 on May 26, 2024 10:06:19 GMT
Still nun the wiser though. Punnery is a nasty Habit to get into |
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Post by iainbhx on May 26, 2024 11:32:48 GMT
The comments are critical but further analysis/polling(?) is promised:- What the frulg does "Expert data analysis" mean? Did they do a proper opinion poll, or did they just pull some numbers out of a hippopotamus's bottom? Given that the source does odd things with adjusted subsamples and has been caught at it several times, they may as well have been. |
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on May 26, 2024 11:42:13 GMT
This reminds of the PollCat 2022 London local elections "forecasts" - they weren't necessarily wildly incorrect in terms of outcome, but the process seemed to be pretty questionable. Also the figures only add up to 99%...
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on May 26, 2024 12:52:14 GMT
This reminds of the PollCat 2022 London local elections "forecasts" - they weren't necessarily wildly incorrect in terms of outcome, but the process seemed to be pretty questionable. Also the figures only add up to 99%... If you have only three candidates and they get exactly a third of the vote each, then round to the nearest digit you have 33% + 33% + 33% = 99%. That's the simplest example but generally, rounded figures with more than two options won't always add up to 100%. |
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johnloony
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Post by johnloony on May 26, 2024 14:15:54 GMT
This reminds of the PollCat 2022 London local elections "forecasts" - they weren't necessarily wildly incorrect in terms of outcome, but the process seemed to be pretty questionable. Also the figures only add up to 99%... If you have only three candidates and they get exactly a third of the vote each, then round to the nearest digit you have 33% + 33% + 33% = 99%. That's the simplest example but generally, rounded figures with more than two options won't always add up to 100%. You don't even need more than 2 candidates for that to happen. If A has exactly 51.5% and B has exactly 48.5% then they get rounded up to 52 and 49. I have often thought that (particularly when the top two candidates are close together) there should be a convention that if numbers are rounded up or down to the nearest whole number, the accuracy should be applied more to the difference than the absolute numbers themselves. e.g. A 51.48% B 48.52% should be rounded to A 51% B 48% instead of A 51% B 49% because the difference of 3% is more accurate than 4% or 2%. |
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Post by doktorb🏳️🌈🏳️⚧️ on May 26, 2024 16:01:15 GMT
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mboy
Liberal
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Posts: 23,806
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Post by mboy on May 26, 2024 16:14:12 GMT
Islington North CLP don't know one of their own councillors? ROFL. Maybe these CLP clowns should get more involved locally instead of arguing all the time about Iran and Hamas.
Candidates are always imposed when an election is called. Boo fricking hoo.
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maxque
Non-Aligned
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Post by maxque on May 26, 2024 16:16:17 GMT
Islington North CLP don't know one of their own councillors? ROFL. Maybe these CLP clowns should get more involved locally instead of arguing all the time about Iran and Hamas. Candidates are always imposed when an election is called. Boo fricking hoo. To be fair, he is a councillor in Islington South and Finsbury CLP, not Islington North. |
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john07
Labour & Co-operative
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Post by john07 on May 26, 2024 16:17:46 GMT
Yes - although I am Labour, I don't always agree with the party machine. I supported Dennis Cannavan in Falkirk West all those years ago for the similar reason I hope Corbyn wins this time. Peter Lee in Blaenau Gwent is another example. I don't take myself too seriously on this forum - I mainly use it to learn from other contributors such as Pete and Batman then adding my own tidbits now and then. Peter Law. Peter Lee was the Durham miner's leader who has a new town named after him. * I thought that Peter and Lee were a popular beat combo from the 1980s? |
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Post by finsobruce on May 26, 2024 16:30:50 GMT
Peter Law. Peter Lee was the Durham miner's leader who has a new town named after him. * I thought that Peter and Lee were a popular beat combo from the 1980s? Welcome Home john.  |
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Post by finsobruce on May 26, 2024 16:32:13 GMT
Islington North CLP don't know one of their own councillors? ROFL. Maybe these CLP clowns should get more involved locally instead of arguing all the time about Iran and Hamas. Candidates are always imposed when an election is called. Boo fricking hoo. To be fair, he is a councillor in Islington South and Finsbury CLP, not Islington North. miles away! |
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maxque
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Post by maxque on May 26, 2024 16:42:23 GMT
To be fair, he is a councillor in Islington South and Finsbury CLP, not Islington North. miles away! Well, I assume the number of Labour local councillors whose wards are within a mile of Islington North is quite high. |
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Post by noorderling on May 26, 2024 16:50:32 GMT
I thought that Peter and Lee were a popular beat combo from the 1980s? Welcome Home john. Peters and Lee 🎶 |
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Post by finsobruce on May 26, 2024 17:13:02 GMT
Well, I assume the number of Labour local councillors whose wards are within a mile of Islington North is quite high. Yes, remembering them all is a terrible problem.  |
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on May 26, 2024 20:20:12 GMT
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bsjmcr
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Post by bsjmcr on May 26, 2024 20:22:01 GMT
Interesting black hole between 2015-2020 there... |
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johnloony
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Post by johnloony on May 26, 2024 21:40:55 GMT
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Post by Lord Twaddleford on May 26, 2024 21:43:05 GMT
Odd, I was under that impression that Corbyn was a republican...  |
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Post by norflondon on May 26, 2024 22:02:17 GMT
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