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Post by stb12 on Mar 13, 2024 21:28:20 GMT
St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire
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Post by bigfatron on Mar 16, 2024 11:08:55 GMT
There have been relatively recent MRP polls giving narrow wins to each of Labour, Lib Dems and Tories here. This looks like a genuine three-way marginal.
Two of my daughters live in this constituency so I will pick up the odd hint of how itās going. One (living in St Neots) has already been canvassed by the Lib Dems and both have had Lib Dem leafletsā¦ nothing yet from any of the others but itās early days.
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Post by doktorbš³ļøāšš³ļøāā§ļø on May 15, 2024 4:42:40 GMT
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bsjmcr
Non-Aligned
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Post by bsjmcr on May 18, 2024 1:49:53 GMT
x.com/tomorrowsmps/status/1791383787906949306?s=46&t=ChpsB0QIjJdidQnGdQbkoQSeems to have caused a bit of a furore. The ānon-localā factor will obviously play into the Lib Demsā hands on top of the fact this was on āLabourās non-target listā (I wouldnāt be surprised āthat listā will supplement the bar charts on their leaflets) Having said that, surely she isnāt the only London councillor chosen for a non-London seat (and this isnāt a million miles away from London), target or otherwise, in other words, have similarly non-local candidates received similar receptions in non London seats or is there a bit of a race element here. Mid Cambridgeshire particularly doesnāt seem like fertile ground for that kind of thinking but I wouldnāt be surprised if there were undertones amongst some of the strength of feeling. I get the anger if it really is that local members didnāt have any say, but itās not like thereās an abundance of Labour councillors in the area and they need to select quickly for the potentially imminent GEā¦
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Ports
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Post by Ports on May 18, 2024 7:01:25 GMT
(I wouldnāt be surprised āthat listā will supplement the bar charts on their leaflets) I can tell you for sure that in both Romsey and Southampton North and I'm Maidenhead it has (albeit presented poorly).
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on May 23, 2024 16:00:13 GMT
Stephen Ferguson standing as an independent here. Local councillor in St Neots. Claims to be annoyed by the Labour selection, but has a very high opinion of himself and would probably have been tempted to do it anyway.
That main impact of this is probably Ā£500 extra revenue for Electoral Services but this does make it slightly less likely that the seat will change hands.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on May 23, 2024 16:28:08 GMT
I think the Ā£500 goes to HM Treasury, but yep.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on May 31, 2024 5:51:54 GMT
| Con | Lab | Lib/LD |
| | | | | | | | 1974 | 46.2% | 25.0% | 28.8% | | | 1974 | 46.7% | 27.8% | 25.6% | | | 1979 | 55.4% | 24.1% | 19.8% | | | 1983 | 58.9% | 12.3% | 28.7% | | | 1987 | 61.7% | 13.2% | 25.0% | | | 1992 | 60.5% | 16.0% | 22.0% | | |
| Con | Lab | LD | Ref/UKIP | Grn | | | | | | | | | 1997 | 50.0% | 25.2% | 18.3% | 5.6% | 0.9% | | 2001 | 49.2% | 24.5% | 22.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% | | 2005 | 50.1% | 18.7% | 27.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | | 2010 | 51.2% | 10.4% | 29.4% | 4.2% | 1.4% | | 2015 | 53.1% | 18.5% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 4.9% | | 2017 | 54.7% | 30.0% | 12.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | | 2019 | 51.3% | 18.8% | 26.8% | | 1.7% | |
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Post by carolus on Jun 7, 2024 15:05:32 GMT
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right
Conservative
Posts: 18,338
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Post by right on Jun 25, 2024 9:48:40 GMT
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Post by bigfatron on Jun 29, 2024 10:26:45 GMT
Just arrived in St Neots for the first time in three weeks. - six Lib Dem communications including 2 personalised letters - four Tory leaflets - one each from Labour, Green, Reform, Party of Women and Indy It does appear to be a two horse raceā¦
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cogload
Lib Dem
I jumped in the river and what did I see...
Posts: 9,134
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Post by cogload on Jul 7, 2024 17:21:55 GMT
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bsjmcr
Non-Aligned
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Post by bsjmcr on Jul 7, 2024 22:30:29 GMT
Bit ironic though for the Lib Dem here that if he chose to stay in South Cambs heād have double the numerical majority.
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Jul 8, 2024 9:43:15 GMT
I don't think choosing has anything to do with it - South Cambs selected a long time before this one, this was just one where he could win the selection.
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OWL
Forum Regular
Posts: 168
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Post by OWL on Jul 11, 2024 9:52:51 GMT
Didn't quite realise the boundaries of this one - extending into the Cambridge ring road (of sorts), including Girton College etc.
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bsjmcr
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Post by bsjmcr on Jul 11, 2024 14:08:05 GMT
Didn't quite realise the boundaries of this one - extending into the Cambridge ring road (of sorts), including Girton College etc.Ā Cambridge Ring Road University.
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Jul 11, 2024 16:13:11 GMT
Not just Girton, because Cambridge's boundaries haven't been revised in about 80 years it also includes a bunch of areas that look to all intents and purposes like they're part of Cambridge itself - about half the new Eddington development, the Meadows Estate in Arbury, randomly half a dozen houses in Kings Hedges because the boundary zigzags rather than following the road.
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bsjmcr
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Post by bsjmcr on Jul 12, 2024 23:44:34 GMT
Not just Girton, because Cambridge's boundaries haven't been revised in about 80 years it also includes a bunch of areas that look to all intents and purposes like they're part of Cambridge itself - about half the new Eddington development, the Meadows Estate in Arbury, randomly half a dozen houses in Kings Hedges because the boundary zigzags rather than following the road. Fortunately, Cambridge and South Cambs share their bin collection service, so no confusion there in terms of bin colours/days on a given street.
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YL
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Either Labour leaning or Lib Dem leaning but not sure which
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Post by YL on Jul 13, 2024 9:49:44 GMT
Cambridge's city boundary is a real mess, and this means the constituency boundaries are a bit of a mess too. I'd move the city boundary in the north at least to the A14, as well as bringing in the overspill in the Cherry Hinton and Trumpington areas, though of course if the official city were bigger more of it would have to be excluded from the main Cambridge constituency.
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Post by Davıd Boothroyd on Jul 13, 2024 10:28:26 GMT
If you think Cambridge has a bad local authority boundary then I donāt know what you would say about Norwich.
In practice Cambridge expansion is much less of a problem than might appear because there are joint planning arrangements with South Cambridgeshire district council which basically work well.
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