Post by Robert Waller on Feb 17, 2024 15:39:39 GMT
This is based on the original profile by sirbenjamin, and the analysis of boundary changes in the second paragraph by Pete Whitehead, and updates by myself
Dating from 1997, the Erith and Thamesmead constituency is an early example of a cross-borough creation. It comprised wards from Bexley and Greenwich and left them enough for two whole seats each, which was as neat as it gets, though in the 2023 review a cross-boundary Greenwich-Bromley seat was created, Eltham & Chislehurst. It is also a fairly rare example of a seat that straddles the border of the 1889-1965 county of London (or, in modern terms, the statutory Inner London-Outer London border).
Whether Erith & Thamesmead is a moderately safe or a very safe Labour seat is largely determined by what proportion of the seat comes respectively from the borough of Greenwich and the borough of Bexley. The previous review in 2010 strengthened the Bexley element at the expense of Greenwich and the 2023 changes here (initial, revised and final) essentially reversed that process. 12,000 Bexley voters were removed in the Northumberland Heath and West Heath wards - Northumberland Heath is marginal (which is more than can be said for most of the wards here) and West Heath quite safely Conservative. In place of these came 19,000 voters in the wards of Glyndon and Shooters Hill in Greenwich. Glyndon has been one of the safest Labour wards in Greenwich & Woolwich and Shooters Hill one of the safest Labour wards in Eltham. The notional effect of these changes was clearly to increase Labour's majority dramatically in a hypothetical 2019 general election. The Conservatives were never likely to come any closer than they actually did in 2019 so they won't be too upset, especially as this might have benefited them in at least one neighbouring constituency.
The constituency runs along the length of the Thames for around seven miles, but there are no road or rail connections to the other side of the river - the nearest being the DLR and Crossrail rail tunnels to the West and the Dartford crossing to the East. So, while Bexley and Greenwich are neighbourly enough to share a seat, Newham, Barking & Dagenham and Havering are relatively inaccessible, despite their watery proximity.
The largely planned community of Thamesmead, which spans both Greenwich and Bexley, is a strangely isolated place, lacking in facilities and transport connections, and was for some years considered a failed project. Built largely on former marshland in the 1960s it was originally intended to house more than 100,000 residents but development proved to be far slower than that, the focus (and the proposed Jubilee Line) switched to Docklands, and Thamesmead arguably became a bit of a white elephant. It is not as deprived as it once was, but the population is still under half the original target, at around 47,000.
On the western edge of the Thamesmead area are three prisons (including the notorious Belmarsh) and the adjacent Woolwich Crown Court, which perhaps don't make for the most warming of welcomes to those visiting the area – not that there are very many of these. This is a part of London that is quite easily forgotten, possibly even for its residents, and the difference in visitor/tourist numbers between this seat and Greenwich & Woolwich next door must be one of the biggest gulfs between neighbouring seats, if such a metric has ever been quantified.
The riverside areas sloping eastwardly towards Erith remain somewhat underdeveloped, with nature reserves sitting slightly incongruously alongside relatively heavy industry, mirroring Rainham on the opposite side, despite the twain ne'er meeting. Erith is home to a number of wholesale food suppliers, including the ubiquitous Frymax who provide oils to chip shops everywhere. Further inland, Abbey Wood - terminus of the Southern branch of Crossrail - and Belvedere are more typically suburban and less ethnically mixed than Thamesmead. The seat also includes some of Plumstead, often cited as the home of six-time world snooker champion Steve ‘Interesting’ Davis, though he actually grew up in Abbey Wood and later moved out and up to develop his career based in Romford.
The Labour vote isn't confined to Thamesmead; Belvedere and Erith also vote that way locally. In the most recent London borough elections in May 2022 Labour won all three of the Bexley borough wards within Erith & Thamesmead comfortably – in increasing order of margin, Belvedere (by 55% to 35% Conservative, top candidates), Erith (69% to 31%) and Thamesmead East (70% to 24%). They also won all five Greenwich wards, as they have (including their predecessors before boundary changes) in every local election in the 21st century, though both Shooters Hill and Abbey Wood elected other candidates in the 1980s and 1990s. In 2022, however, both of these favoured Labour over their nearest rivals by more than three to one, and Plumstead & Glyndon, Thamesmead Moorings and the new ward of West Thamesmead by nearer four to one.
The heart of the original Thamesmead development is to be found in Thamesmead Moorings ward, including the starkly modernist towers reminiscent of Putney constituency’s Alton estate in Roehampton, as well as the distinctive lakes (York University campus?), although many other of the initial housing block features have been replaced by low rise housing in cul-de-sacs. West Thamesmead ward, though, was created to cater for a new population in the recent Peabody development just to the east of the Woolwich Royal Arsenal, around Broadwater Road, for example. In 2022 West Thamesmead only had an electorate as yet of 6,557, the smallest of any of the wards in this seat, and also returned a turnout of less than 24%; it is expected to ‘grow into’ its allocation of two councillors, though less likely to threaten Labour’s local hegemony.
Abbey Wood is named after Lesnes Abbey (1178 to 1525, when it had less than seven monks and was thus dissolved by Cardinal Wolsey), which is over the border in Bexley borough but also in Erith & Thamesmead constituency as it’s situated in Belvedere ward. As a neighbourhood it was successively developed north of Bostall Heath by the Royal Arsenal Cooperative Society (RACS) between 1900 and 1914, then as housing for 7,000 munitions workers during the First World War, and finally 3,000 dwellings by the LCC between 1956 and 1959. Each of these was predominantly intended for working class residents and Abbey Wood remains largely ungentrified, as it is rather remote from the fashionable areas of London. Plumstead is also far from glamorous; though there are green spaces here in the form of the eponymous Common and the large Woolwich Cemetery. The housing near Plumstead station is older, more cramped and more terraced than that near the Common, and is located in the very strongly Labour Plumstead & Glyndon ward.
The ‘Erith’ section of this constituency are also largely downmarket, though Belvedere has a very small higher value pocket around Eardley Road, and Erith ward itself, though it focuses on the slightly shabby town centre around the station, at the confluence of three urban A roads, the A220, A206 and A2016, also boasts a small pocket of more middle class housing in the west of the ward round Lesney Park Road and a stretch of Bexley Road. A fair part of what may be classed as the town of Erith is no longer in this seat, especially as Northumberland Heath, which includes the immediately post war Lesney Farm estate, has been transferred to Bexleyheath & Crayford.
The most striking aspect of the demographic profile of Erith & Thamesmead is its ethnicity. When Thamesmead was first developed from the late 1960s it was mainly seen as a white working class area – and indeed some of the Droog gang scenes in Kubrick’s A Clockwork Orange were filmed there. However in the 21st century it has become one of, if not the, most concentrated site of Black African settlement. Already in the 2011 census Erith & Thamesmead had the highest percentage of all 650 seats for possession of an African passport (9.4%), and by the 2021 census Erith & Thamesmead ranked as the second highest of all constituencies for Black residents (30.6% on new boundaries) – up from 8th highest in 2011. The largest proportions of all are in Thamesmead itself: almost a majority (49.8%) at MSOA level in Crossway Park, the eastern riverfront section of the development, but also 43.5% in Thamesmead Birchmere Park, and even 43.9% in the newer West Thamesmead. The figure in South Thamesmead is 38%. The next highest concentration is in Abbey Wood: 37.5% Black in its North MSOA and 28.1% in Abbey Wood South. Erith East (near the river) is over 27% Black, and Glyndon is 31%. The lower proportions are in Belvedere, Erith West - both around 20% - and lowest of all in Lesnes Abbey MSOA, less than 9%. The Asian population (13.6%) across the constituency is found at its greatest levels in Plumstead High Street MSOA (34%). Belvedere, Erith West and Lesnes Abbey are the only majority White neighbourhoods.
The second most extreme level of demographic figures for the Erith & Thamesmead constituency involves the high level of social housing. At over 31%, this places the seat within the top 30 in England and Wales on this variable. Looking at the 2021 census details, there is a majority of social housing in Thamesmead Birchmere Park (62.7%) and a near majority in South Thamesmead (49%) and Abbey Wood North (42%). The whole of Thamesmead is not dominated by this tenure sector, however. Crossway Park is only 29% social rented and West Thamesmead only 25%. This latter mainly new development does have over 37% private rented housing, though, a figure only exceeded within the constituency by Plumstead High Street (39%). Erith & Thamesmead overall is only 43% owner occupied, and the only majorities are in Plumstead South 56%), Erith West (68%) and Lesnes Abbey (79%) as well as the new arrival, Shooters Hill (60%). Every single MSOA has a majority of households deprived in at least one dimension apart from Shooters Hill (48%), reaching a peak of 66% in Thamesmead Birchmere Park and 65% in Abbey Wood North.
Turning to occupational class, the managerial and professional percentage is exceptionally low for a Greater London seat, at only 26.5% in the 2021 census. It reaches its peak in Shooters Hill, newly transferred from Eltham, at 40.5%, and it creeps over 30% in Erith West and Plumstead South, but this is not a predominantly middle class constituency. Routine and semi-routine jobs are almost as prevalent, spread very evenly across the whole seat. As elsewhere in the capital, though, the educational qualifications will surprise some, with a well above average proportion of residents with qualifications to at least degree level – and even more that the highest such figure are in some of the most deprived neighbourhoods, such as the Crossway Park section of Thamesmead (41%) and Abbey Wood (South 38%, North 36%); but this would be to miss the value placed on education especially in African communities. There is also a high percentage with no qualifications though, chiefly in long-established areas like Plumstead High Street (25%). This reflects the complexity of the mosaic of communities within Erith & Thamesmead as a whole.
There are few complications in political and electoral preference, though. As we have seen, every ward was won by Labour in the May 2022 local elections. The Conservatives came surprisingly close in the 2019 general election, reducing the majority to under 4,000. This may well have been a reflection of the Bexley parts of the seat being considerably more Brexity than London as a whole, but also the loss of any 'incumbency bonus' as Teresa Pearce stood down after nine years and Abena Oppong-Asare became the new MP. Not only were both of these factors outmoded in the July 2024 general election, and not only did all the opinion polling and byelection evidence suggest a huge anti-Conservative swing, but the notional figures even for 2019 in the new boundaries, published in January 2024 by Rallings and Thrasher, increased that baseline to a lead of over 10,000.
In the actual contest the Conservative share was indeed more than halved, but something if a surprise was that it was the Reform party that advanced into second place, unlike several constituencies in more inner south east London, where the Greens did so. This is the legacy of that high preference for Brexit compared with most of Greater London, itself connected with the 'white working class' presence in Erith & Thamesmead. That is only one of a number of key minorities in the seat, though, and overall it remains very safely Labour
2021 Census, new boundaries
Age 65+ 10.1% 544/575
Age 0-15 23.3% 22/575
Owner occupied 43.0% 534/575
Private rented 25.7% 99/575
Social rented 31.4% 28/575
White 46.1% 544/575
Black 30.6% 2/575
Asian 13.6% 75/575
Managerial & professional 26.4% 467/575
Routine & Semi-routine 25.3% 228/575
Degree level 37.0% 167/575
No qualifications 19.9% 197/575
Students 9.5% 108/575
General Election 2024: Erith and Thamesmead
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Abena Oppong-Asare 22,246 55.1 −3.3
Reform UK Michael Pastor 5,944 14.7 +9.7
Conservative Richard Mark 5,564 13.8 −14.4
Green Sarah Barry 3,482 8.6 +5.8
Liberal Democrats Pierce Chalmers 1,872 4.6 −0.3
Workers Party Mohammed Shahed 1,071 2.7 N/A
Independent Diana Diamond 200 0.5 N/A
Lab Majority 16,302 40.4 +10.3
Turnout 40,379 51.2 −5.0
Registered electors 78,886
Labour hold
Swing 6.5 Lab to Reform
General Election 2019: Erith and Thamesmead
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Abena Oppong-Asare 19,882 48.0 -9.5
Conservative Joe Robertson 16,124 39.0 +4.0
Brexit Party Tom Bright 2,246 5.4 New
Liberal Democrats Sam Webber 1,984 4.8 +3.1
Green Claudine Letsae 876 2.1 +1.0
CPA Richard Mitchell 272 0.7 +0.2
Lab Majority 3,758 9.1 -13.5
Turnout 41,284 63.3 -0.5
Registered electors 65,399
Labour hold
Swing 6.7 Lab to C
Boundary Changes
Erith and Thamesmead consists of
81.4% of Erith and Thamesmead
12.6% of Greenwich & Woolwich
14.2% of Eltham
1.4% of Bexleyheath & Crayford
Map
boundarycommissionforengland.independent.gov.uk/review2023/9bc0b2ea-7915-4997-9d4a-3e313c0ceb51/london/London_137_Erith%20and%20Thamesmead_Landscape.pdf
2019 Notional Results on New Boundaries (Rallings and Thrasher)
Dating from 1997, the Erith and Thamesmead constituency is an early example of a cross-borough creation. It comprised wards from Bexley and Greenwich and left them enough for two whole seats each, which was as neat as it gets, though in the 2023 review a cross-boundary Greenwich-Bromley seat was created, Eltham & Chislehurst. It is also a fairly rare example of a seat that straddles the border of the 1889-1965 county of London (or, in modern terms, the statutory Inner London-Outer London border).
Whether Erith & Thamesmead is a moderately safe or a very safe Labour seat is largely determined by what proportion of the seat comes respectively from the borough of Greenwich and the borough of Bexley. The previous review in 2010 strengthened the Bexley element at the expense of Greenwich and the 2023 changes here (initial, revised and final) essentially reversed that process. 12,000 Bexley voters were removed in the Northumberland Heath and West Heath wards - Northumberland Heath is marginal (which is more than can be said for most of the wards here) and West Heath quite safely Conservative. In place of these came 19,000 voters in the wards of Glyndon and Shooters Hill in Greenwich. Glyndon has been one of the safest Labour wards in Greenwich & Woolwich and Shooters Hill one of the safest Labour wards in Eltham. The notional effect of these changes was clearly to increase Labour's majority dramatically in a hypothetical 2019 general election. The Conservatives were never likely to come any closer than they actually did in 2019 so they won't be too upset, especially as this might have benefited them in at least one neighbouring constituency.
The constituency runs along the length of the Thames for around seven miles, but there are no road or rail connections to the other side of the river - the nearest being the DLR and Crossrail rail tunnels to the West and the Dartford crossing to the East. So, while Bexley and Greenwich are neighbourly enough to share a seat, Newham, Barking & Dagenham and Havering are relatively inaccessible, despite their watery proximity.
The largely planned community of Thamesmead, which spans both Greenwich and Bexley, is a strangely isolated place, lacking in facilities and transport connections, and was for some years considered a failed project. Built largely on former marshland in the 1960s it was originally intended to house more than 100,000 residents but development proved to be far slower than that, the focus (and the proposed Jubilee Line) switched to Docklands, and Thamesmead arguably became a bit of a white elephant. It is not as deprived as it once was, but the population is still under half the original target, at around 47,000.
On the western edge of the Thamesmead area are three prisons (including the notorious Belmarsh) and the adjacent Woolwich Crown Court, which perhaps don't make for the most warming of welcomes to those visiting the area – not that there are very many of these. This is a part of London that is quite easily forgotten, possibly even for its residents, and the difference in visitor/tourist numbers between this seat and Greenwich & Woolwich next door must be one of the biggest gulfs between neighbouring seats, if such a metric has ever been quantified.
The riverside areas sloping eastwardly towards Erith remain somewhat underdeveloped, with nature reserves sitting slightly incongruously alongside relatively heavy industry, mirroring Rainham on the opposite side, despite the twain ne'er meeting. Erith is home to a number of wholesale food suppliers, including the ubiquitous Frymax who provide oils to chip shops everywhere. Further inland, Abbey Wood - terminus of the Southern branch of Crossrail - and Belvedere are more typically suburban and less ethnically mixed than Thamesmead. The seat also includes some of Plumstead, often cited as the home of six-time world snooker champion Steve ‘Interesting’ Davis, though he actually grew up in Abbey Wood and later moved out and up to develop his career based in Romford.
The Labour vote isn't confined to Thamesmead; Belvedere and Erith also vote that way locally. In the most recent London borough elections in May 2022 Labour won all three of the Bexley borough wards within Erith & Thamesmead comfortably – in increasing order of margin, Belvedere (by 55% to 35% Conservative, top candidates), Erith (69% to 31%) and Thamesmead East (70% to 24%). They also won all five Greenwich wards, as they have (including their predecessors before boundary changes) in every local election in the 21st century, though both Shooters Hill and Abbey Wood elected other candidates in the 1980s and 1990s. In 2022, however, both of these favoured Labour over their nearest rivals by more than three to one, and Plumstead & Glyndon, Thamesmead Moorings and the new ward of West Thamesmead by nearer four to one.
The heart of the original Thamesmead development is to be found in Thamesmead Moorings ward, including the starkly modernist towers reminiscent of Putney constituency’s Alton estate in Roehampton, as well as the distinctive lakes (York University campus?), although many other of the initial housing block features have been replaced by low rise housing in cul-de-sacs. West Thamesmead ward, though, was created to cater for a new population in the recent Peabody development just to the east of the Woolwich Royal Arsenal, around Broadwater Road, for example. In 2022 West Thamesmead only had an electorate as yet of 6,557, the smallest of any of the wards in this seat, and also returned a turnout of less than 24%; it is expected to ‘grow into’ its allocation of two councillors, though less likely to threaten Labour’s local hegemony.
Abbey Wood is named after Lesnes Abbey (1178 to 1525, when it had less than seven monks and was thus dissolved by Cardinal Wolsey), which is over the border in Bexley borough but also in Erith & Thamesmead constituency as it’s situated in Belvedere ward. As a neighbourhood it was successively developed north of Bostall Heath by the Royal Arsenal Cooperative Society (RACS) between 1900 and 1914, then as housing for 7,000 munitions workers during the First World War, and finally 3,000 dwellings by the LCC between 1956 and 1959. Each of these was predominantly intended for working class residents and Abbey Wood remains largely ungentrified, as it is rather remote from the fashionable areas of London. Plumstead is also far from glamorous; though there are green spaces here in the form of the eponymous Common and the large Woolwich Cemetery. The housing near Plumstead station is older, more cramped and more terraced than that near the Common, and is located in the very strongly Labour Plumstead & Glyndon ward.
The ‘Erith’ section of this constituency are also largely downmarket, though Belvedere has a very small higher value pocket around Eardley Road, and Erith ward itself, though it focuses on the slightly shabby town centre around the station, at the confluence of three urban A roads, the A220, A206 and A2016, also boasts a small pocket of more middle class housing in the west of the ward round Lesney Park Road and a stretch of Bexley Road. A fair part of what may be classed as the town of Erith is no longer in this seat, especially as Northumberland Heath, which includes the immediately post war Lesney Farm estate, has been transferred to Bexleyheath & Crayford.
The most striking aspect of the demographic profile of Erith & Thamesmead is its ethnicity. When Thamesmead was first developed from the late 1960s it was mainly seen as a white working class area – and indeed some of the Droog gang scenes in Kubrick’s A Clockwork Orange were filmed there. However in the 21st century it has become one of, if not the, most concentrated site of Black African settlement. Already in the 2011 census Erith & Thamesmead had the highest percentage of all 650 seats for possession of an African passport (9.4%), and by the 2021 census Erith & Thamesmead ranked as the second highest of all constituencies for Black residents (30.6% on new boundaries) – up from 8th highest in 2011. The largest proportions of all are in Thamesmead itself: almost a majority (49.8%) at MSOA level in Crossway Park, the eastern riverfront section of the development, but also 43.5% in Thamesmead Birchmere Park, and even 43.9% in the newer West Thamesmead. The figure in South Thamesmead is 38%. The next highest concentration is in Abbey Wood: 37.5% Black in its North MSOA and 28.1% in Abbey Wood South. Erith East (near the river) is over 27% Black, and Glyndon is 31%. The lower proportions are in Belvedere, Erith West - both around 20% - and lowest of all in Lesnes Abbey MSOA, less than 9%. The Asian population (13.6%) across the constituency is found at its greatest levels in Plumstead High Street MSOA (34%). Belvedere, Erith West and Lesnes Abbey are the only majority White neighbourhoods.
The second most extreme level of demographic figures for the Erith & Thamesmead constituency involves the high level of social housing. At over 31%, this places the seat within the top 30 in England and Wales on this variable. Looking at the 2021 census details, there is a majority of social housing in Thamesmead Birchmere Park (62.7%) and a near majority in South Thamesmead (49%) and Abbey Wood North (42%). The whole of Thamesmead is not dominated by this tenure sector, however. Crossway Park is only 29% social rented and West Thamesmead only 25%. This latter mainly new development does have over 37% private rented housing, though, a figure only exceeded within the constituency by Plumstead High Street (39%). Erith & Thamesmead overall is only 43% owner occupied, and the only majorities are in Plumstead South 56%), Erith West (68%) and Lesnes Abbey (79%) as well as the new arrival, Shooters Hill (60%). Every single MSOA has a majority of households deprived in at least one dimension apart from Shooters Hill (48%), reaching a peak of 66% in Thamesmead Birchmere Park and 65% in Abbey Wood North.
Turning to occupational class, the managerial and professional percentage is exceptionally low for a Greater London seat, at only 26.5% in the 2021 census. It reaches its peak in Shooters Hill, newly transferred from Eltham, at 40.5%, and it creeps over 30% in Erith West and Plumstead South, but this is not a predominantly middle class constituency. Routine and semi-routine jobs are almost as prevalent, spread very evenly across the whole seat. As elsewhere in the capital, though, the educational qualifications will surprise some, with a well above average proportion of residents with qualifications to at least degree level – and even more that the highest such figure are in some of the most deprived neighbourhoods, such as the Crossway Park section of Thamesmead (41%) and Abbey Wood (South 38%, North 36%); but this would be to miss the value placed on education especially in African communities. There is also a high percentage with no qualifications though, chiefly in long-established areas like Plumstead High Street (25%). This reflects the complexity of the mosaic of communities within Erith & Thamesmead as a whole.
There are few complications in political and electoral preference, though. As we have seen, every ward was won by Labour in the May 2022 local elections. The Conservatives came surprisingly close in the 2019 general election, reducing the majority to under 4,000. This may well have been a reflection of the Bexley parts of the seat being considerably more Brexity than London as a whole, but also the loss of any 'incumbency bonus' as Teresa Pearce stood down after nine years and Abena Oppong-Asare became the new MP. Not only were both of these factors outmoded in the July 2024 general election, and not only did all the opinion polling and byelection evidence suggest a huge anti-Conservative swing, but the notional figures even for 2019 in the new boundaries, published in January 2024 by Rallings and Thrasher, increased that baseline to a lead of over 10,000.
In the actual contest the Conservative share was indeed more than halved, but something if a surprise was that it was the Reform party that advanced into second place, unlike several constituencies in more inner south east London, where the Greens did so. This is the legacy of that high preference for Brexit compared with most of Greater London, itself connected with the 'white working class' presence in Erith & Thamesmead. That is only one of a number of key minorities in the seat, though, and overall it remains very safely Labour
2021 Census, new boundaries
Age 65+ 10.1% 544/575
Age 0-15 23.3% 22/575
Owner occupied 43.0% 534/575
Private rented 25.7% 99/575
Social rented 31.4% 28/575
White 46.1% 544/575
Black 30.6% 2/575
Asian 13.6% 75/575
Managerial & professional 26.4% 467/575
Routine & Semi-routine 25.3% 228/575
Degree level 37.0% 167/575
No qualifications 19.9% 197/575
Students 9.5% 108/575
General Election 2024: Erith and Thamesmead
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Abena Oppong-Asare 22,246 55.1 −3.3
Reform UK Michael Pastor 5,944 14.7 +9.7
Conservative Richard Mark 5,564 13.8 −14.4
Green Sarah Barry 3,482 8.6 +5.8
Liberal Democrats Pierce Chalmers 1,872 4.6 −0.3
Workers Party Mohammed Shahed 1,071 2.7 N/A
Independent Diana Diamond 200 0.5 N/A
Lab Majority 16,302 40.4 +10.3
Turnout 40,379 51.2 −5.0
Registered electors 78,886
Labour hold
Swing 6.5 Lab to Reform
General Election 2019: Erith and Thamesmead
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour Abena Oppong-Asare 19,882 48.0 -9.5
Conservative Joe Robertson 16,124 39.0 +4.0
Brexit Party Tom Bright 2,246 5.4 New
Liberal Democrats Sam Webber 1,984 4.8 +3.1
Green Claudine Letsae 876 2.1 +1.0
CPA Richard Mitchell 272 0.7 +0.2
Lab Majority 3,758 9.1 -13.5
Turnout 41,284 63.3 -0.5
Registered electors 65,399
Labour hold
Swing 6.7 Lab to C
Boundary Changes
Erith and Thamesmead consists of
81.4% of Erith and Thamesmead
12.6% of Greenwich & Woolwich
14.2% of Eltham
1.4% of Bexleyheath & Crayford
Map
boundarycommissionforengland.independent.gov.uk/review2023/9bc0b2ea-7915-4997-9d4a-3e313c0ceb51/london/London_137_Erith%20and%20Thamesmead_Landscape.pdf
2019 Notional Results on New Boundaries (Rallings and Thrasher)
| Lab | 24792 | 55.2% |
| Con | 13992 | 31.2% |
| LD | 2583 | 5.8% |
| BxP | 2048 | 4.6% |
| Grn | 1180 | 2.6% |
| Oth | 296 | 0.7% |
| Majority | 10800 | 24.1% |
