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Post by BossMan on Aug 11, 2023 18:19:10 GMT
Incumbent- Stephen Mold, Conservative.
Police, Fire and Crime Commissioner.
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andrea
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Post by andrea on Aug 14, 2023 14:19:08 GMT
Labour candidate is Danielle Stone (a Cllr in West Northamptonshire)
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carolus
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Post by carolus on Aug 22, 2023 19:53:16 GMT
2021: Con - 102,752 (53.2%) Lab - 53,166 (27.5%) LD - 29,621 (15.33%) Reform UK - 7,715 (4.0%)
In 2016 Con won by 5% over Lab in the first round and 8.4% in the second. In 2012 Con won by 5.3% over Lab in the first round and 14.6% in the second.
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ricmk
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Post by ricmk on Aug 23, 2023 19:35:05 GMT
Worth noting that Stephen Mold is a controversial figure locally. This article: www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-northamptonshire-66382095 gives a good flavour of how he goes about things. However the experience of Northants County Council is that we haven’t yet found anything that will stop Tory candidates getting elected here. I wouldn’t be shocked if he was encouraged to step aside for an alternative candidate though.
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Aug 24, 2023 8:47:08 GMT
I would say that after the usual suspects, this is probably the first county that would flip in the event of a very large national lead, but it would have to be very large (ie reflecting the current polls, give or take) rather than merely large (high single digits).
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weld
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Post by weld on Aug 24, 2023 11:25:16 GMT
Yep. This is a barometer for Labour having good vibes (they ran the County Council 'til 2005)
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ricmk
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Post by ricmk on Sept 8, 2023 20:10:59 GMT
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carolus
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Post by carolus on Sept 8, 2023 21:13:57 GMT
Sounds like those councillors think the reselection process was a bit of a Moldy swizz?
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ricmk
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Post by ricmk on Oct 16, 2023 17:05:28 GMT
This won't do anything to calm tensions here:
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Post by mattbewilson on Oct 16, 2023 21:44:31 GMT
Yep. This is a barometer for Labour having good vibes (they ran the County Council 'til 2005) tho without the plurality of the vote
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The Bishop
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Post by The Bishop on Oct 18, 2023 11:51:31 GMT
Yep. This is a barometer for Labour having good vibes (they ran the County Council 'til 2005) tho without the plurality of the vote Pretty sure Labour had a *plurality* in 1997 and 2001 at least. Northamptonshire was btw the only county council that they gained outright in the 1993 elections, there were high hopes of taking Cumbria but messing up the nominations in two normally safe Labour seats put paid to that. Cheshire was missed by a literal handful of votes in one division.
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Post by batman on Oct 18, 2023 14:39:09 GMT
Labour achieved a clear lead in the popular vote over the Conservatives, by several thousands, in Northamptonshire in both the 1997 & 2001 general elections. I'm certain that this would have carried through to the county council elections held on the same day both years
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andrewp
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Post by andrewp on Oct 18, 2023 14:50:57 GMT
Labour achieved a clear lead in the popular vote over the Conservatives, by several thousands, in Northamptonshire in both the 1997 & 2001 general elections. I'm certain that this would have carried through to the county council elections held on the same day both years The Tories were just ahead in 2001 According to Rallings and Thrasher. Labour got the most votes in the Northants county council elections in 1973, 1981, 1993 and 1997 but not ( quite) 2001. 1973 Lab lead by 6.7% 1977 Con lead by 32.5% 1981 Lab lead by 2.6% 1985 Con lead by 1.9% 1989 Con lead by 2.7% 1993 Lab lead by 4.6% 1997 Lab lead by 5,3% 2001 Con lead by 0.4% 2005 Con lead by 8.5% 2009 Con lead by 32.1% 2013 Con lead by 10.1% 2017 Con lead by 23.3% In 2001 Labour were ahead by 43.8% to 41.2% in the General election in Northamptonshire,. The Conservatives were ahead by 44.1.% to 43.7% in the CC elections
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Post by batman on Oct 18, 2023 17:17:45 GMT
that's quite a difference in 2001. Looks like some LD voters in the general election voted Conservative in the CC elections (the Labour share of the vote is almost the same)
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weld
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Post by weld on Oct 19, 2023 4:04:53 GMT
Labour achieved a clear lead in the popular vote over the Conservatives, by several thousands, in Northamptonshire in both the 1997 & 2001 general elections. I'm certain that this would have carried through to the county council elections held on the same day both years 2009 Con lead by 32.1% 2013 Con lead by 10.1%2017 Con lead by 23.3% UKIP surge in 2013 rather than some sort of Milifandom methinks.
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maxque
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Post by maxque on Oct 19, 2023 4:32:48 GMT
2009 Con lead by 32.1% 2013 Con lead by 10.1%2017 Con lead by 23.3% UKIP surge in 2013 rather than some sort of Milifandom methinks. Using LEAP, it's 51-19 in 2009 (with LDs on 21), 36-26 in 2013 (with UKIP on 22) and 51-28 in 2017.
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ricmk
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Post by ricmk on Dec 10, 2023 17:02:52 GMT
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ricmk
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Post by ricmk on Jan 25, 2024 10:00:07 GMT
And the bad press just keeps on coming: www.nnjournal.co.uk/p/whats-the-hold-upEven with Jonny Bugg hired to firm up the PFCC operation, I bet that if this wasn't a Tory commissioner, the Government and press would be making hay with the Northants shenanigans. Maybe if Wellingborough goes red it indicates the PCC race might be competitive overall. Hard to think of a worse incumbent who will be defending.
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ricmk
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Post by ricmk on Feb 20, 2024 11:00:21 GMT
Confirmation Panel today on new choice of Chief Fire Officer - this is one of the very few checks on the PFCC that has any teeth. Will the Tories who are unhappy with him go as far as vetoing the Chief Officer appointment?
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carolus
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Post by carolus on Mar 1, 2024 20:55:28 GMT
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