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Post by Admin Twaddleford on Jul 30, 2021 13:56:34 GMT
Welwyn Hatfield
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Post by moosalini on Sept 28, 2021 11:37:14 GMT
Welwyn Hatfield is a Conservative run council with 28 Conservatives, 10 Liberal Democrats, 9 Labour and 1 independent. There are 48 seats divided into 16 wards with 3 seats each. For 2022, this is when the opposition is mainly up for election. The Liberal Democrats are defending 4 seats. 1 (elected as a Liberal Democrat) Independent. Labour are defending 5. Conservatives are defending 6.
The Conservatives are defending 6 seats. 4 seats which are safe. These are: Brookmans Park, Northaw, Welwyn East and Welwyn West, They are vulnerable in Hatfield East and Hatfield Villages.
The Liberal Democrats are defending 4 seats. These are: Peartree (a Labour/Liberal Democrat ward), Panshanger, Sherrards and Welham Green. In 2021. seats were taken by the Conservatives bar 1 in Welham as it was 2 seats were up.
Labour are defending 5 seats. Haldens, Hatfield Central, Hatfield South West, Hollybush and Howlands. The Conservatives won all seats in 2021.
Handside ward is a bit of a conundrum. If the Independent, Siobhan Elam, stands with the full backing of the Liberal Democrats she might win. On the other hand without that backing I see the Conservatives winning this seat.
If the Conservatives lose both Hatfield seats it will be 26/22 with Conservatives in control.
If the Conservatives win all the seats they won in 2021 this would be 37/11 with the Conservatives in control.
The Conservative maximum is 38 and least is 26.
The Liberal Democrats and Independents maximum is 10 and least is 6.
Labour, if they win in Hatfield their maximum is 11 and their least is 4.
Independent maximum 1 and least is 0.
The Conservatives showed in 2021 they can most of these seats. If the Conservatives are rampant this will be a landslide for them.
The seat up in 2022 with the party currently holding the seats.
Brookmans Park - Conservative.
Haldens - Labour
Handside - Independent (elected a Liberal Democrat)
Hatfield Central - Labour
Hatfield East - Conservative
Hatfield South West - Labour
Hatfield Villages - Conservative
Hollybush - Labour
Howlands - Labour
Northaw and Cuffley - Conservative
Panshanger - Liberal Democrat
Peartree - Liberal Democrat
Sherrards - Liberal Democrat
Welham Green and South Hatfield - Liberal Democrat
Welwyn East - Conservative
Welwyn West - Conservative
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Post by heslingtonian on Sept 29, 2021 6:22:47 GMT
The Welwyn Hatfield Lib Dems don't appear to be especially happy campers right now with leadership changes and councillors going Independent. Unlike much of Hertfordshire, Welwyn Hatfield appears to be becoming more Conservative.
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Post by bluelabour on Oct 4, 2021 16:13:20 GMT
Unlike much of Hertfordshire, Welwyn Hatfield appears to be becoming more Conservative. Why is this? What makes it different to say, Letchworth or Hitchin? |
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Post by heslingtonian on Oct 4, 2021 18:26:29 GMT
Unlike much of Hertfordshire, Welwyn Hatfield appears to be becoming more Conservative. Why is this? What makes it different to say, Letchworth or Hitchin? The divide in Hertfordshire generally appears to be an East-West one. The East of the County such as Broxbourne and East Herts is stronger Leave territory, is relatively blue collar and has more spiritually in common with Essex than the Thames Valley. The West of the county was more Remain-voting, is more professional classes and has a more stronger Lib Dem presence eg Three Rivers, St Albans, Watford etc. Although it's not in either clearly defined territory I would say the demographics of Welwyn Hatfield are closer to the Eastern half of the county than the Western half. |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Oct 4, 2021 18:46:32 GMT
The Welwyn Hatfield Lib Dems don't appear to be especially happy campers right now with leadership changes and councillors going Independent. Unlike much of Hertfordshire, Welwyn Hatfield appears to be becoming more Conservative. While that was emphatically true a decade or so ago (apparent since the turn of the century really) you would not have said that on recent form until this May. The Tories had some appalling results here from the 2017 county council elections onwards, especially in 2018 when the Lib Dems came from nowhere to win wards like Panshangar and Sherrards (whicht hey repeated the following year). Meanwhile Hatfield certainly appeared to be trending (back to) Labour. I speculated ahead of what would have been the 2020 elections that the Conservatives could become the third party on this council and that could have happened had the results from the previous couple of years been repeated. In the event they enjoyed landslide results in both those delayed elections and the county elections in May this year. The Lib Dems had apparently come from nowhere in some of these wards and have apparently gone back there now. I was unable to explain the Lib Dem surge which occurred in the last few years and the massive Conservative recovery this year was equally unexpected and (to me) inexplicable. It has to be said that the 2021 elections were pretty peculiar and in general very good for the governing party so I wouldn't want to read too many long term trends into those. I don't expect they will be repeating their gains in the likes of Hatfield Central and South West nor their near clean sweep in Welwyn Garden next May, but thanks to the gains this May their majority is at least safe until 2024. |
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Apr 6, 2022 12:36:00 GMT
17 Con/Lab/LD
5 Abolish the TV License (Handside, Hatfield SW, Peartree, Sherrards, Welham Green & Hatfield South) - one of these is Melvyn Jones who has been a frequent candidate for Abolishing Hatfield Town Council
4 Green (Handside, Hatfield East, Sherrards, Welwyn West)
1 For Britain (Welham Green & Hatfield South)
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Post by Pete Whitehead on May 6, 2022 11:15:48 GMT
Labour gained the two Conservative seats in Hatfield (East and Villages) but lost South West to the Lib Dems (who also regained their second seat in Handside). A return to the poor form of 2018/19 (only worse) but cushioned by the landslide victory last year, so I think that Con 26 LD 12 Lab 10
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Post by batman on May 6, 2022 11:41:43 GMT
the defeated Conservative candidate in Hatfield SW is my cousin
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Post by Pete Whitehead on May 12, 2022 18:26:49 GMT
Borough total (top vote in Handside) | Con | 10834 | 38.2% | | Lab | 8982 | 31.7% | | LD | 7767 | 27.4% | | Grn | 538 | 1.9% | | TV | 228 | 0.8% | | FB | 19 | 0.1% |
Parliamentary constituency | Con | 9758 | 36.4% | | Lab | 8703 | 32.5% | | LD | 7535 | 28.1% | | Grn | 538 | 2.0% | | TV | 228 | 0.9% | | FB | 19 | 0.1% |
Welwyn Garden City | Con | 3639 | 28.7% | | Lab | 4335 | 34.2% | | LD | 4476 | 35.3% | | Grn | 101 | 0.8% | | TV | 134 | 1.1% | | FB | 0 | 0.0% |
Hatfield (inc Welham Green) | Con | 2702 | 33.4% | | Lab | 3080 | 38.1% | | LD | 2068 | 25.6% | | Grn | 130 | 1.6% | | TV | 94 | 1.2% | | FB | 19 | 0.2% |
TV = Abolish the TV License FB = For Britain You might want to add this one to your spreadhseet Andrew_S |
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