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Post by Admin Twaddleford on Jul 30, 2021 13:50:59 GMT
Hyndburn
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Post by carolus on Mar 3, 2022 21:02:21 GMT
Current council: Lab 21, Con 12, 2 Ind. Both independents are in Overton, one originally elected as Lab (up this year), one as Con.
Split wards:
Rishton - 2 Con, 1 Lab. Con defend. Con gain by 2.2% in 2021.
St Oswalds - 2 Con, 1 Lab. Con defend. Con gain by 4.5% in 2021.
Other wards of interest:
St Andrew's - 2 Con. Con defend. Con hold and Con gain in double election in 2021 - C 550*, 372*, L 364, 312.
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 8,595 
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Post by iain on Apr 6, 2022 10:04:07 GMT
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Post by lancastrian on May 3, 2022 22:50:25 GMT
Current council: Lab 21, Con 12, 2 Ind. Both independents are in Overton, one originally elected as Lab (up this year), one as Con. Split wards: Rishton - 2 Con, 1 Lab. Con defend. Con gain by 2.2% in 2021. St Oswalds - 2 Con, 1 Lab. Con defend. Con gain by 4.5% in 2021. Other wards of interest: St Andrew's - 2 Con. Con defend. Con hold and Con gain in double election in 2021 - C 550*, 372*, L 364, 312. Updating this with recent developments: The council is now: Lab 15 Con 12 Ind 6, plus 2 formerly Labour held seats vacant. The Independents now are the above mentioned pair in the Overton ward, Jenny Molineux (elected as Labour, up this week) and Patrick McGinley (elected as Conservative, up in 2023), plus the recent additions of Diane Fielding (Labour, Spring Hill, 2022), Eamonn Higgins (Labour, Huncoat, 2023), Bernadette Parkinson (Labour, Netherton, 2022) and the council leader Miles Parkinson (Labour, Altham, 2023). There will be a double election on Thursday in St Oswald's following the resignation of Labour councillor Chris Knight, and a by election will have to be held in Overton after the resignation of their other councillor, former Labour MEP Michael Hindley. The seats up for election were elected as: Lab 8 Con 4 But are currently: Lab 4 Con 4 Ind 3 Vacant 1 The seats not being contested are: Lab 11 Con 8 Ind 3 Vacant 1. So Labour need to win 7 seats, a loss of one since these seats were last contested, to restore their majority this week. Winning 6 would give them exactly half the seats with one still vacant. None of the Independents are defending their seats. |
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Post by lancastrian on May 4, 2022 0:14:03 GMT
The Conservatives made a net gain of four seats last year. However, apart from the vacancy in St Oswald's, all the wards where they made gains either have a Conservative defence this year or are not up, as Hyndburn elects by thirds but most wards have only two councillors. For those that are up, none are particularly safe: Split wards: Rishton - 2 Con, 1 Lab. Con defend. Con gain by 2.2% in 2021. St Oswalds - 2 Con, 1 Lab. Con defend. Con gain by 4.5% in 2021. Other wards of interest: St Andrew's - 2 Con. Con defend. Con hold and Con gain in double election in 2021 - C 550*, 372*, L 364, 312. In St Andrew's the second Conservative is up this year, having trailed in well behind the long serving Peter Britcliffe in the double election caused by his daughter's election as MP. The last two elections with no Britcliffe on the ballot have resulted in Labour wins. The double election in St Oswald's I suspect will result in one seat each for the two parties. Overton has also split it's representation recently, the last three elections going Lab/Con/Lab, even if none of them currently sit under those colours. The Conservative challenger this year is Gareth Molineux, husband of Jenny and yet another former Labour councillor. Elsewhere, the most obvious chance for a Tory gain is probably timokane 's seat in Clayton-le-Moors, where the Tories haven't won since 2008, but the winning margins are never big. Of course the national picture has worsened considerably for the Conservatives since the 2021 elections, if they are to make gains at all they will be reliant on the turmoil in the local Labour group making an impact. If anyone is going to upset the Labour-Conservative duopoly at the ballot box, best-placed could be the localist Independent standing again in Rishton after a decent third place last year, and Malcolm Pritchard, former Labour/UKIP/Independent councillor, is attempting to get his old Milnshaw seat back. His daughter is not a candidate this year. With the improved national picture I'd expect Labour should get at least the seats they need for a majority this week if not make gains themselves, could have been interesting otherwise though. |
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Post by lancastrian on May 6, 2022 13:07:34 GMT
Lab 6 (-2)
Con 6 (+2)
Lab gain Rishton from Con
Con gain Clayton-le-Moors, Huncoat and the by election seat in St Oswald's (term ends 2023) from Labour.
Council is now Lab 17 Con 14 Ind 3 plus one vacancy, in Overton ward, which Labour won with 803 to 559 for the Conservatives.
Clayton-le-Moors:
Peter Edwards - Conservative - 594
Timothy O’Kane - Labour - 512
Surprisingly bad result for Labour to lose their seat in St Oswald's, especially considering the predictably large gap between the two Tory (and Labour) candidates. Candidate choice might have been an unfortunate factor in Huncoat as well.
St Oswald's:
Marlene Haworth - Cons - 1006
Zak Khan - Cons - 734
Glen Harrison - Labour - 641
Wajid Hussain - Labour - 375
Janet Brown - Ind. - 285
Paul Brown - Reform- 120
Richard Oakley - Reform - 35
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Post by Andrew_S on May 7, 2022 4:50:02 GMT
Popular vote / using top vote method in St Oswald's.
Lab 6,427
Con 5,997
Ind 945
Reform UK 512
Lab 46.3%
Con 43.2%
Ind 6.8%
Reform UK 3.7%
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Hyndburn
May 7, 2022 5:34:50 GMT
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Post by rcronald on May 7, 2022 5:34:50 GMT
Popular vote / using top vote method in St Oswald's. Lab 6,427 Con 5,997 Ind 945 Reform UK 512 Lab 46.3% Con 43.2% Ind 6.8% Reform UK 3.7% Seems like a bad result for Labour. |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 31,044
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Post by The Bishop on May 10, 2022 14:01:02 GMT
The local party has become something of a dumpster fire, for reasons somewhat obscure to outsiders (but widely thought to involve the former Labour MP)
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Post by Andrew_S on May 11, 2022 7:12:56 GMT
Popular vote / using top vote method in St Oswald's. Lab 6,427 Con 5,997 Ind 945 Reform UK 512 Lab 46.3% Con 43.2% Ind 6.8% Reform UK 3.7% Seems like a bad result for Labour. It's better for them than Pendle where the Tories were still ahead in the popular vote. |
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Hyndburn
May 11, 2022 7:28:54 GMT
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Post by rcronald on May 11, 2022 7:28:54 GMT
Seems like a bad result for Labour. It's better for them than Pendle where the Tories were still ahead in the popular vote. In general, The results in Lancashire outside of Rossendale (Hyndburn,Pendle,Burnley) seem pretty bad for Labour. |
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batman
Labour
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Post by batman on May 11, 2022 8:42:56 GMT
topping the popular vote in Hyndburn and Burnley, which are Conservative seats, is well short of disastrous. Labour has consistently underperformed in Pendle local elections (even more so than general ones) for as long as I can remember.
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Hyndburn
May 11, 2022 8:44:35 GMT
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Post by rcronald on May 11, 2022 8:44:35 GMT
topping the popular vote in Hyndburn, which is a Conservative seat, is well short of disastrous. But only topping it by 3% is not really good since the constituency is a marginal. |
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The Bishop
Labour
Down With Factionalism!
Posts: 31,044
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Post by The Bishop on May 11, 2022 10:36:48 GMT
It's better for them than Pendle where the Tories were still ahead in the popular vote. In general, The results in Lancashire outside of Rossendale (Hyndburn,Pendle,Burnley) seem pretty bad for Labour. I think the Burnley results were actually Labour's best at a local level for a few years. |
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batman
Labour
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Post by batman on May 11, 2022 10:49:35 GMT
topping the popular vote in Hyndburn, which is a Conservative seat, is well short of disastrous. But only topping it by 3% is not really good since the constituency is a marginal. I agree, it's not good, but it isn't disastrous either. |
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batman
Labour
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Post by batman on May 11, 2022 10:50:36 GMT
I wasn't that surprised by the Tories winning the St Oswald's by-election; they've frequently won that ward (it's basically Oswaldtwistle isn't it?) before. What will be of more concern is the very large scale of that victory.
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Hyndburn
May 11, 2022 11:38:38 GMT
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Post by rcronald on May 11, 2022 11:38:38 GMT
In general, The results in Lancashire outside of Rossendale (Hyndburn,Pendle,Burnley) seem pretty bad for Labour. I think the Burnley results were actually Labour's best at a local level for a few years. How did we get to the point where the racial divide in Pendle is almost like the American south? |
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on May 11, 2022 13:26:13 GMT
I think the Burnley results were actually Labour's best at a local level for a few years. How did we get to the point where the racial divide in Pendle is almost like the American south? We didn't? |
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Sibboleth
Labour
'Sit on my finger, sing in my ear, O littleblood.'
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Post by Sibboleth on May 11, 2022 15:20:20 GMT
How did we get to the point where the racial divide in Pendle is almost like the American south? We didn't? This year, for instance, the Conservatives won Bradley and Labour won Marsden & Southfield. The issue is that Labour, specifically, have polled very poorly in local elections (clearly worse than they do in certainly most General Elections) in Colne for fifteen years and have polled even worse in the Yorkshire parts of the district for longer. There are clearly a bunch of issues that need to be resolved, but it's unlikely to be purely about the racial issue and I can think of a lot of places where Labour are or can be competitive in GEs but where party organisation and the local government record are far worse... |
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Post by swallowswift on May 11, 2022 16:23:52 GMT
My relatives live in Pendle. I think the comparison with the US south isn't so very far off. Racial conversations seem very common.
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