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Post by Admin Twaddleford on Jul 30, 2021 13:45:48 GMT
Cambridge
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Post by carolus on Jul 30, 2021 18:28:03 GMT
Council currently 27 Lab, 12 LD, 2 Green, 1 Ind, after boundary changes this year.
2021 was a pretty poor set of results for the Lib Dems, with a lot of split wards, and most of those splits have LDs up for election in 2022.
6 LD defenses, and I think the only one that looks fairly safe is Queen Edith's (unless the Independent who topped the poll finds a friend!). There are four other split wards: East Chesterton (1LD, 2L), Market (2LD, 1L), Newnham (2LD, 1L), West Chesterton (1LD, 2L). Trumpington has three LDs but not especially comfortably over the top Lab last time.
Labour have eight - six in non-split wards where no-one looks close. One in Abbey where they lost the other two seats to the Greens in May, and Castle (2L, 1LD).
A long time to go, and I'm a distant observer, but assuming 2022 doesn't go quite as badly as 2021 for us, I'd guess a reasonably plausible outcome would be little change on the current numbers - LD gain Castle and lose East Chesterton (and possibly West), Green gain Abbey.
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Aug 3, 2021 10:06:36 GMT
I wouldn't be surprised to see a fairly significant difference from the results this year, for a number of reasons. Firstly, there was clearly a lot of split-ticket voting this year from people who actually wanted a mixture of LD/Lab/Green councillors, and it's not clear how they'll act when they only have one vote and have to make a definite decision. Secondly, there will probably be more intensive targeting this time. On the one hand, that benefits the LDs and the Greens because they can concentrate on a smaller number of wards. On the other hand, Labour has traditionally had a hefty advantage in terms of activist numbers and may be able to concentrate them more effectively where it counts. Thirdly, there's the impact where there has been a breakthrough. A good councillor can attract a personal vote, a bad councillor may find that whilst his constituents are in principle supportive of his party, that doesn't mean they'll vote for him if he doesn't do anything. I think this has a been a problem faced by the Cambridge Greens where previous iterations of the local party have broken through before, so we'll have to see if it's third time lucky for them.
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Post by matureleft on Aug 3, 2021 10:30:07 GMT
Labour organisation and focus is normally pretty tight. Assuming they've managed to get some decent councillors in place (and the party has tended to find them) the campaigns will be sharp and will have already started (effectively). The Lib Dems are defending across a lot of the city.
Of course the national context plays a part but local election campaigns here often get past a fair bit of that noise.
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Oct 6, 2021 11:23:01 GMT
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Oct 13, 2021 10:32:49 GMT
Anna Smith elected as new group leader, and hence council leader from the next council meeting.
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Post by sjorford on Dec 12, 2021 20:16:03 GMT
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Post by Phil Rodgers on Mar 3, 2022 21:10:16 GMT
There was a coin toss at the count to decide this, and Rob Dryden won it, so Russ McPherson is up in Cherry Hinton this year. |
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iain
Lib Dem
Posts: 8,595 
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Post by iain on Apr 6, 2022 9:40:23 GMT
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Post by East Anglian Lefty on Apr 6, 2022 9:49:53 GMT
The independent in Coleridge campaigns against the degradation of chalk streams, which is the favoured NIMBY tactic de jour in South Cambridgeshire. I had always assumed they were a Green and lived somewhere round Shelford. The indie in West Chesterton is an academic and XR activist.
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Post by matureleft on Apr 6, 2022 10:27:05 GMT
Some blasts from my past (1980s to early 1990s). Richard Robertson running again in Petersfield (and being nominated by Frank Gawthrop and his partner). Eric Barrett-Payton standing for the Tories - his candidature must be a signal of a lost cause. Jean Glasberg now a Green - not sure when she must have left Labour. The Reynolds family still signing Tory nomination papers. The Hipkins supporting the Greens - John Hipkin has been on a long political journey.
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Post by Pete Whitehead on Apr 6, 2022 15:48:51 GMT
Eastern regional totals (possibly better on a new/other thread)
440 seats
425 Conservative (the entire shortfall is accounted for by St Albans)
347 Labour
334 Lib Dem
212 Green
49 Independents (including No description)
31 Residents
18 TUSC
17 Confelicity (Southend)
8 Reform UK
5 Abolish the TV license
3 Freedom Alliance
3 For Britain
2 Heritage
1 English Democrat
1 Womens Equality Party
1 Communist Part of Britain
1 UK Voice
1 British Democrat
1 Shared Ground formerly Young People`s Party
It gives me no pleasure to observe that the position of Reform UK in this table confirms they are an irrelevance and not a serious party
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Post by greenchristian on Apr 6, 2022 16:05:56 GMT
Eastern regional totals (possibly better on a new/other thread) 440 seats 425 Conservative (the entire shortfall is accounted for by St Albans) 347 Labour 334 Lib Dem 212 Green 49 Independents (including No description) 31 Residents 18 TUSC 17 Confelicity (Southend) 8 Reform UK 5 Abolish the TV license 3 Freedom Alliance 3 For Britain 2 Heritage 1 English Democrat 1 Womens Equality Party 1 Communist Part of Britain 1 UK Voice 1 British Democrat 1 Shared Ground formerly Young People`s Party It gives me no pleasure to observe that the position of Reform UK in this table confirms they are an irrelevance and not a serious party I suggest the general local elections thread would be appropriate. |
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Post by Phil Rodgers on May 2, 2022 17:11:06 GMT
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Post by gwynthegriff on May 2, 2022 17:31:18 GMT
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Post by matureleft on May 3, 2022 12:23:49 GMT
Interesting. Just a sense that the normally very strong Labour team may have weakened a bit - fielding students (particularly in key wards) is normally something that minor parties like the Tories (in Cambridge they are!) do. However I could easily be mistaken. |
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Post by batman on May 3, 2022 13:20:31 GMT
1981 was the year I graduated. I could have sworn that Labour won Cherry Hinton in the CC elections that year. Was there a borough council by-election the same year that the Tories won? I do remember them winning in the ward for a few years more recently, though they are a long way behind now.
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Post by matureleft on May 3, 2022 13:35:51 GMT
1981 was the year I graduated. I could have sworn that Labour won Cherry Hinton in the CC elections that year. Was there a borough council by-election the same year that the Tories won? I do remember them winning in the ward for a few years more recently, though they are a long way behind now. The County Elections in 1981 were fought on old boundaries. Cherry Hinton was divided into two - No 1 and No 2 and I don't think there was a Queen Ediths. Melanie Johnson (later an MP) won No 1. Barrett-Payton won No 2. My memory is a bit shaky on the boundaries - Coleridge then took the top end of Queen Ediths and the top end of Coleridge, so No 2 must have been the bottom end of Coleridge and the bottom of Queen Ediths. Barrett-Payton must be quite old now - he wasn't a youngster then. He's been a Tory activist for many years and a frequent unsuccessful candidate. |
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Post by batman on May 4, 2022 19:03:18 GMT
I hadn't remembered that subdivision; my recollection was that while the boundaries were different (e.g. Newnham didn't include most of the colleges, which were in Market instead for that election, and Coleridge was much more Tory than for the City elections) the ward names were all the same. But then again, perhaps I wasn't fully paying attention or my memory is awry, rare though that is.
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Post by matureleft on May 5, 2022 14:56:46 GMT
I hadn't remembered that subdivision; my recollection was that while the boundaries were different (e.g. Newnham didn't include most of the colleges, which were in Market instead for that election, and Coleridge was much more Tory than for the City elections) the ward names were all the same. But then again, perhaps I wasn't fully paying attention or my memory is awry, rare though that is. This is a useful source. Set up by some people whose names you may recall, one of whom has sadly passed away. You are correct about Coleridge. As you'll see the 1981 election produced a 3 way split. Reynolds, who was elected, remains sufficiently active to be signing nomination papers now. www.rosenstiel.co.uk/camelect/index.htm |
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